Posted on 10/21/2006 3:13:37 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
JUBILANT DEMOCRATS SHOULD RECONSIDER their order for confetti and noisemakers, BARRON's claims in their next edition. The Democrats, as widely reported, are expecting GOP-weary voters to flock to the polls in two weeks and hand them control of the House for the first time in 12 years -- and perhaps the Senate, as well. Even some Republicans privately confess that they are anticipating the election-day equivalent of Little Big Horn. Pardon our hubris, but we just don't see it.
Our analysis -- based on a race-by-race examination of campaign-finance data -- suggests that the GOP will hang on to both chambers, at least nominally. We expect the Republican majority in the House to fall by eight seats, to 224 of the chamber's 435. At the very worst, our analysis suggests, the party's loss could be as large as 14 seats, leaving a one-seat majority. But that is still a far cry from the 20-seat loss some are predicting. In the Senate, with 100 seats, we see the GOP winding up with 52, down three.
Developing...
They have used this same tactic in 2000, it didn't work.
They have used this same tactic in 2002, it didn't work.
They have used this same tactic in 2004, it didn't work.
why would it work now? wishful thinking? that and a dollar will buy you a bag of chips, but it won't win you any elections.
My wife and I will be in Spain on election day. We are voting today.
More than once?
It is but rarely. Most of the board is easy going and like any group there are the "I was here first" crowd. Welcome aboard!
Sure. We're gonna steal the election anyway. At least that's what the Democrats will claim on November 8.
Forget what they say, you are advocating vote fraud.
A new proud moment on FR! I'm sure management is so happy for your suggestion.
I hope you try it and they catch you.
All Barron's did was go against the standard conventional wisdom that's been buzzing in the mainstream media for years. People nowadays can get their news from a variety of sources, instead of just CNN and three network newscasts, major newspapers like the WaPo, the NYT and the LAT, and Time and Newsweek magazines. The left winged spin is not a monopoly over this country anymore. This country is full of conservatives, which is why conservative talk radio and FOX News are popular. The product and packaging of liberalism is flawed. Consumers are going elsewher.
I'm not advocating anything of the sort. I guess you can't spot sarcasm without the sarcasm tag.
Lots of people read the posts on this site, and that kind of crap hurts the election effort.
349 posts and you were the first one to complain about post number 86.
BTW, I gave to chance to withdraw the comment or say you weren't serious, but you passed. Oh well, I guess it's my fault that you post that BS. (And that IS sarcasm)
Uma Noob, meet Oprah Noob. Uma Noob, Oprah Noob.
Why be nervous? The "firming" is going Talent (even CNN admitted as much just this morning, from their Hotline DUmmie dupe), and Corker was opening +7 in the last meaningful poll on Thursday.
The Senate is not in play; the DUms know this; thusly you witnessed Madame Lugosi on 60 Minutes stating "impeachment is off the table".
A 311EV in-the-bagger for Kerry? Delivered right as people were getting off work on the West Coast? What would it take for you to doubt Zogby giving you the time of day?
Ok, but Barron's hasn't predicted anything correctly in 20 years.
Conservatives won't stay home because they think the Republican candidates will lose: they could stay home because they don't think the outcome of the election matters to them. Or they could stay home because they don't understand the ramifications of not voting.
Read the article. Better yet, read this thread -- Barron's ran their corollary back to '58; and there was an interesting link to supporting analysis from a longtime FReeper (Congressman Billybob) who has actually run for Congress. But for God's sake, don't trouble yourself with the facts.
"Even in this highly contested election, out of 435 seats there's only some 30 where that are in play. That means 93% of the seats are safe."
Let's play along, curiously...
Which 30? KY-3? Does that includes boo-birds that believe because a DUmmie-laden poll from a DUmmie newspaper showed a tie in a moderately conservative district where the Leftist DUmmie candidate Yarmouth complained vociferously that Rahm Emanuel had explicitly cut him out of DCCC ad buy money?!?
Could that be because that Leftist DUmmie blared in a recent debate that $5.15 an hour was "an unconscionable and immoral wage rate" -- yet it was immediately revealed that he and his family were majority owners in a 100+ store restaurant chain where many of his employees received that very amount!
Again, which 30? IN-9? Where former Blue Dog LiBaron has been revealed as a DC Beltway Lib lobbyist with little time spent in his home district in the past two years? With the incumbent Sodrel receiving kudos for his constituent service, even down to union members praising his commitment to the VA?
You're obviously fond of "electric future markets". Put up or shut up. You know where to go. You don't have the stones.
Have a great trip! Where in Spain? I've been to the Costa Blanca. Altea, Valencia, Benidorm and Calpe. It was great. Fantastic weather (it was August), good food, great coffee and nice people. I especially loved the lemon ice cream. Mmmm...delicious! Have a safe trip!
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