Posted on 10/18/2006 12:59:40 PM PDT by Kaslin
The GOP is [rearranging] "deckchairs on the Titanic," and single women will propel Hillary Clinton to the White House in 2008, says political analyst Dick Morris.
Republicans are watching their base shrink dramatically in the wake of the Mark Foley scandal, said Morris, appearing on "Your World" with Neil Cavuto.
The former Clinton advisor and confidante pointed to a recent Gallup poll that revealed what has happened among church-going whites, whom Morris called "the ultimate GOP base." They are "splitting 47-47 in their vote," he told Cavuto, who said "Then it's a matter of just sitting home [on election day] but they're actually voting for the other guy."
Said Morris: "White church-goers have moved 21 points away from the Republicans in margin since pre-Foley," Morris explained. The percentage of white, frequent church-goers that vote Republican has dropped from 58 pre-Foley to 47 now."
Cavuto asked if the strong equity market and pretty good economic numbers were "falling on deaf ears?" Morris recalled that there were pretty decent economic numbers in 1994 under the Democrats when the GOP captured control of Congress.
Noting that the good economy is not helping because it takes a "long time for the economy to percolate through" and thus cannot help the GOP, Morris said the "short term cause" of the coming Republican disaster is "the base abandoning the Republican party because the Foley scandal hurt - you can't imagine how much that scandal hurt." Morris said incredulously, "Right now Democrats have an 8 point lead over Republicans on promoting morality in America? Duh!"
Cavuto commented that even though we have a Dow flirting with 12,000, the Evangelical base is saying "it's not the money it's morality." He asked, "That's going to trump all?" Morris said, "I think the Republican Party has survived because of [Karl] Rove's fabulous capacity to generate the base, but now we're having the base slipping out."
He explained that most politicians work on getting a percentage of the voters who are out there, but Hillary Clinton works on increasing the number of voters on her side.
He pointed out the recent article which revealed that half of all households in the U.S. are unmarried. He also said that 19 million single women voted in 2000, and 28 million voted in '04. "And I'll bet 35 million vote" in 2006. "The number of single mom, minimum wage earning waitresses who come out and vote are going to be the phenomenon."
Hillary might not do that well among the current electorate, Morris said, but she'll grow the electorate by 10 million votes and that's how she'll win.
delusional. Is he back on the Clinton's payroll?
OK FOLKS,
Someone with the resources educate us here. Let's forget Dick Morris' past sexual escapades ( after all, his wife has forgiven him and is now his partner and often, co-author ).
The question I want to ask is this -- WHAT IS HIS PREDICTION TRACK RECORD ?
HOW GOOD WAS HE ?
CNN REPORTING DIRTY BOMB THREATS AT 7 NFL GAMES THIS WEEKEND
CNN
Posted on 10/18/2006 4:07:44 PM EDT by Babsig
BREAKING ON CNN
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1721781/posts
Morris dicks another prediction.
Somebody on FR was just wishing Morris would come out and say this, 'cause then they'd know the Republicans would retain power and Hillary would lose in '08.
And we know how often Dick Morris is right.
50% of the time, 'cause Dick NEVER stops talking and eventually will say everything.
Owl_Eagle
If what I just wrote made you sad or angry,
it was probably just a joke.
I heard him say this line on Cavuto and thought, "Just how many waitresses does he think there are in this country that haven't voted yet?"
Let's see, Foley was a Pubby Congressman in some other state and a pitiful freak. Therefore, I will surrender my own Congressional district to the Dem candidate? No way. Not me.
Dick Morris' analytical acumen can be explained in three words: hallucinogenic toe fungus.
Sometimes when Morris appears, he attempts to predict candidates' chances of winning elections. His record with political predictions is somewhat mixed. In his current book (on the upcoming 2008 Presidential race), Morris states that it is most likely that Hillary Clinton will face Condoleezza Rice for the presidency. Morris critics, however, have mocked his sureness on this issue, due to the fact that he has made predictions which have been wrong in past races. For instance, he stated "I don't give much for his chances", referring to John Kerry challenging Howard Dean for the Democratic nomination for the presidential run in 2004, a prediction that was not borne out when Dean was beaten in the race. Additionally, he predicted that Hillary Clinton would face a "nightmare" in her 2006 senate race against moderate Republican candidate Jeanine Pirro, whose campaign subsequently collapsed within a matter of two months after repeated crushing defeats in the opinion polls. He even went so far as to suggest that Clinton would "give up" and drop out to focus on her 2008 campaign.[2][3]
He takes all the facts and figures and comes up with a wrong conclusion. His opinion isn't worth any more than mine, but he sounds more "in the know" because he's (or was) the Klintoon's Rove...........
The toesucker better stay out of the prediction business
Uh huh
Every point Morris makes in the article is bunk, but I'm glad he makes them because he's ALWAYS wromg.
The voters Morris is talking about are those who intensely study the elections and aren't just casual voters. So where does he get the idea that they would so casually turn away from the GOP because of Foley, and then vote in the party that supports gay marriage, abortion and banning all Christian symbols from public places?
What logic is operating there?
Where do those 12.45% come from?
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