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The 'wobble' that wipes out life on Earth every 2.5m years
The Daily Mail ^ | October 12, 2006 | JULIE WHELDON

Posted on 10/11/2006 11:43:56 PM PDT by MadIvan

If you are the kind of person who worries about the future, this might not make happy reading.

Scientists have found that on average mammal species enjoy only 2.5 million years of life before being wiped out because of the Earth's "wobble."

They say when the tilt and orbit reach key points it can spark dramatic global cooling - and the last time this happened was 2.6 million years ago.

This suggests we are overdue a wave of extinction.

However, before you panic, scientists say our planet has changed beyond all recognition in the last 3 million years.

The new research published in the journal Nature (must keep) however sheds new light on just why individual mammal species seem to come and go with mysterious regularity.

The study, conducted by researchers at Utrecht University in the Netherlands, involved looking at 22 million years of data on rodent species to see which ones appeared and died out at key points.

They then studied the pattern of the Earth's wobble, which is caused by two factors, our orbit around the sun and the tilt of the planet.

Both of these can be slightly altered by the gravitational pull of other planets, in the case of the tilt it can adjust by as much as two degrees, and the orbit can vary from a circle to an ellipse.

Lead researcher Dr Jan van Dam said when the tilt reaches a certain point and the orbit is almost a perfect circle it can trigger ice sheet expansion.

This could then lead to colder summers, changes in humidity and significant climate cooling.

He found a clear pattern between the Earth's wobble and mammal species dying out.

There were two distinct cycles of species turnover, one with peaks every 2. 5 million years and the other every million years.

Dr van Dam said the last peak was 2. 6 million years ago.

However he said this does not necessarily mean we are on the brink of dramatic global cooling.

'The last three million years are not representative of those we studied,' he said.

"Northern hemisphere glaciation is fully developed and that also affects the climate system."

He said global warming and destruction of habitats could also change the patterns of the past.

He also thinks people may well be able to survive global cooling, give the way our ancestors coped with past Ice Ages.

"Humans have survived ice ages which were quiet extreme and are well adapted to survival," he said.

Based on the fossil record it appears on average we have lost around 10 to 100 species - including insects, bacteria, fungi and mammals - each year.

There are currently around 5,000 known species of mammal at present and in the past 400 years 89 mammals have died out.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: astronomy; catastrophism; chandlerswobble; chandlerwobble; doomed; earth; globalcooling; globalwarming; hesdeadjim; maunderminimum; milankovitch; milankovitchcycles; pleistocene; poleshift; science; solarflares; thejupitereffect; weredoomed; youngerdryas
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To: Miss Marple

I wonder if during a magnetic pole transition there will be any increase in radiation at the surface. Is our atmosphere enough to protect us? I know lots of charged particles are deflected around Earth. Will we be ok but all our satellites hosed?


61 posted on 10/12/2006 6:39:27 AM PDT by ko_kyi
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To: tired&retired
When molten lava forces up between the separating teutonic plates

How can you tell if the plates are Teutonic? Blond hair and blue eyes?

62 posted on 10/12/2006 6:40:19 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Goldbugs, immune to logic and allergic to facts.)
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To: happinesswithoutpeace

More use of the furnace, less use of the A/C. It works out. ;-)


63 posted on 10/12/2006 6:41:37 AM PDT by RockinRight (She rocks my world, and I rock her world.)
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To: tired&retired
This global warming stuff that Gore is talking about...

Gore gave a speech in Fargo, ND, where he blamed that year's seasonal flooding in the Red River Valley on global warming...

Yeah, right, Al. We call that "spring" in these parts...

He has been beating that drum for a long time, the epitomy of "Stuck on stupid".

64 posted on 10/12/2006 6:42:31 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly.)
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To: MadIvan

Makes you wonder why these ancient advanced cultutres built huge stone monuments. Maybe to hide in during earth changes.


65 posted on 10/12/2006 6:44:09 AM PDT by jetson
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To: MadIvan

For all the science about wobbling orbits and changing axis tilt, I have never seen anyone show what part of the cycle(s) we are in now and what are the projections for the future.

Clearly the ice age cycles are caused in part due to changes in Earth's orbit, tilt, precession.

But where are we NOW is the question?


66 posted on 10/12/2006 6:49:57 AM PDT by JustDoItAlways
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To: fabian

There are three types of people:

those who don't know,

those that don't know they don't know

and those that know they don't know but get paid big bucks to act like they do know.


67 posted on 10/12/2006 6:56:50 AM PDT by Hostage
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To: MadIvan

News flash: We are all going to die someday.


68 posted on 10/12/2006 7:34:42 AM PDT by jjm2111 (http://www.purveryors-of-truth.blogspot.com)
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To: MadIvan
He said global warming and destruction of habitats could also change the patterns of the past.

So what humans do can change the tilt and orbit of the earth?

69 posted on 10/12/2006 8:40:25 AM PDT by Mike Darancette (Those that do not heed the warnings of history....)
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To: MadIvan; xsmommy

Another end of the world story.


70 posted on 10/12/2006 8:41:20 AM PDT by NeoCaveman (living in interesting times)
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To: NeoCaveman

take me now : )


71 posted on 10/12/2006 8:44:29 AM PDT by xsmommy
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To: MadIvan
Scientists have found that on average mammal species enjoy only 2.5 million years of life before being wiped out because of the Earth's "wobble."

Shucks, and there I was expecting to live 3 million years, what a disapointment...

72 posted on 10/12/2006 8:44:41 AM PDT by CarryaBigStick
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To: xsmommy
take me now : )

Please control yourself, you are on a public forum :)

73 posted on 10/12/2006 8:49:04 AM PDT by NeoCaveman (living in interesting times)
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To: NeoCaveman

as i hit send, i FIGURED you were going to take that personally! ; )


74 posted on 10/12/2006 8:50:25 AM PDT by xsmommy
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To: tired&retired

The interesting thing about this...is that this is material that a environmentalist won't touch. It has nothing to do with their "science" or agenda. Yet, it probably has more to explain about our earth...than anything else out there today.


75 posted on 10/12/2006 8:52:52 AM PDT by pepsionice
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To: Toddsterpatriot

LOL....Sorry about the typo. Yes they were Germans who caused it. It is the cause of the earthquakes in Caulifornia!

don't know why I put a "u" in for a "c"....should have been "tectonic" not "teutonic"

Thank you...


76 posted on 10/12/2006 9:59:05 AM PDT by tired&retired
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To: tired&retired
As a German, I was hoping we caused it. LOL!
77 posted on 10/12/2006 10:01:17 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Goldbugs, immune to logic and allergic to facts.)
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To: red flanker
Except that Spock and McCoy went back in time.





I do too have a life!!

78 posted on 10/12/2006 10:07:35 AM PDT by Redcloak (Speak softly and wear a loud shirt.)
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To: MadIvan
I would have replied sooner, but most of the wobbly jokes had already been used!

Not to be frivolous, this could well happen, but there's sod all I or anyone can do about it if it does.

I am left thinking of a commercial from a few years back for Basset's Jelly Babies - they, apparently, are in a wibbly wobbly world of their own, not unlike the average liberal.

This is the wobbliest thing I could find ... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EQ2dQt_Ex-0

Is it wrong that I am now giggling?

79 posted on 10/12/2006 11:34:32 AM PDT by Mrs Ivan (English, and damned proud of it.)
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To: Cementjungle

Al Gore's mass is the primary cause of Global Wobble.


80 posted on 10/12/2006 1:03:44 PM PDT by BJClinton (Celebrate diversity: re-elect Congressman Foley!)
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