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Poll: Dead Heat In Guv's Race (Saxton 39, Kulongoski 37)
Oregonian/OregonLive.com ^ | 10/3/06 | Jeff Mapes

Posted on 10/03/2006 12:16:36 PM PDT by B Knotts

The battle between Democratic incumbent Ted Kulongoski and Republican Ron Saxton is essentially a dead heat, according to a new survey by Portland pollster Mike Riley.

The same poll found just over half of likely voters supporting a ballot measure that would require parental notice before minors can have an abortion. It also found a plurality against a proposed state spending limit - although nearly half say they are still undecided. Lastly, support outweighs opposition for a measure to elect appellate judges by district, with 40 percent undecided.

Riley's poll projects an unusually small turnout in November - 55 percent - with fully 61 percent of voters aged 55 or older.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicsupdates.blogs.oregonlive.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Oregon
KEYWORDS: governor; kulongoski; oregon; saxton
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Here's the poll:

Riley Poll

Saxton (R) 39
Kulongoski (D-inc.) 37
Undecided 20
Starrett (Constitution) 2
Keating (Pacific Green) 1
Morley (Libertarian) 1

1 posted on 10/03/2006 12:16:37 PM PDT by B Knotts
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To: B Knotts

Is this a House race?


2 posted on 10/03/2006 12:22:07 PM PDT by jveritas (Support The Commander in Chief in Times of War)
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To: jveritas

Governor.


3 posted on 10/03/2006 12:23:10 PM PDT by B Knotts (Newt '08!)
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To: B Knotts

Wow, the incrubment is really below 50%.


4 posted on 10/03/2006 12:34:34 PM PDT by Paul8148
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To: Paul8148

This would be a pickup the GOP did not expect, i think. They need to make up some ground since polls show they will lose several other states, unfortunately.


5 posted on 10/03/2006 12:36:02 PM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: Paul8148

Kulongoski's approval ratings have been pretty bad for the past couple of years.


6 posted on 10/03/2006 12:39:02 PM PDT by B Knotts (Newt '08!)
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To: B Knotts

WOW.....If Oregon goes Repub with the Governor....this is the beginning of a big change....WOW.


7 posted on 10/03/2006 12:41:37 PM PDT by goodnesswins (I think the real problem is islamo-bombia! (Rummyfan))
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To: Salvation

FYI PING


8 posted on 10/03/2006 12:42:41 PM PDT by B Knotts (Newt '08!)
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To: jveritas

Looks like a GOP pick up here.

There are some interesting trends developing for 2008 and beyond.

Colorado
Nevada
Virginia

Are becoming less GOP and more DEM


meanwhile,
Wisconsin
Minnesota
Oregon

Are becoming more GOP friendly


I believe that Colorado is the next California for the GOP


9 posted on 10/03/2006 12:43:33 PM PDT by DontBelieveAugPolls
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To: goodnesswins

God willing.....


10 posted on 10/03/2006 1:27:36 PM PDT by OregonRancher (illigitimus non carborundun)
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To: B Knotts

Go Eastern Oregon.......


11 posted on 10/03/2006 1:31:44 PM PDT by showme_the_Glory (No more rhyming, and I mean it! ..Anybody want a peanut.....)
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To: B Knotts

So, when a repubbie leads by two points, it is a "dead heat"

When a demo trails by 12 points, he is "Making up ground" and "Governor's lead falls"

Nah. No bias here.


12 posted on 10/03/2006 1:34:27 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Hillary's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: goodnesswins

"WOW.....If Oregon goes Repub with the Governor....this is the beginning of a big change....WOW."

we Oregonians are praying it does.....we could use a change from the Lib wacko we have now......


13 posted on 10/03/2006 2:01:45 PM PDT by scottdeus12 (Jesus is real, whether you believe in Him or not.)
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To: B Knotts; abcraghead; aimhigh; Archie Bunker on steroids; bicycle thug; blackie; coffeebreak; ...

Oregon Ping

Please notify me via FReepmail if you would like to be added to or taken off the Oregon Ping List.

14 posted on 10/03/2006 4:29:14 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: B Knotts

Kulongoski -- raise taxes, hold the kicker for the people of Oregon, raise taces, propose a new mileage tax, raise taxes..........You get the picture, I;m sure.


15 posted on 10/03/2006 4:30:49 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: RobFromGa

Check this out -- #9


16 posted on 10/03/2006 4:31:40 PM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: B Knotts

The Tax issue seems to have some traction even in the Socialist Soviet Republic of Oregon! Time to man the phones for Saxton.

Pray for W and Our Troops


17 posted on 10/03/2006 4:32:46 PM PDT by bray (Voting for the Rats is a Deathwish)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

You have to realize that the Repulicans have to lead by enough margin to overcome Democratic ballot cheating.

A two point lead for Repubbies is a dead heat and when a dem trails by 12 he is closing the gap between the actual votes he needs to get and the votes he can cheat.

It's simple math, really.


18 posted on 10/03/2006 4:43:28 PM PDT by Valpal1 (Big Media is like Barney Fife with a gun.)
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To: scottdeus12

""WOW.....If Oregon goes Repub with the Governor....this is the beginning of a big change....WOW."

we Oregonians are praying it does.....we could use a change from the Lib wacko we have now......"

Believe it when I see it. I am still in the undecided column.
Saxton talks like a slick Portland lawyer (which he is, just like Kulongoski). Lots of big talk, few specifics.
So, the two major parties give us a choice between two slick Portland lawyers, neither with decent pro-life credentials.
I am still leaning to Starret, the only real conservative on the ballot.


19 posted on 10/03/2006 5:06:54 PM PDT by rogator
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To: rogator

I had my misgivings about Saxton. However, from what I understand, he will at least support reasonable restrictions on abortion.

Plus, he has said specifically will stop DMV from issuing drivers licenses to illegal aliens.

Don't waste your vote on Starrett. She's a conspiracy theorist who thinks President Bush knew about the 9/11 attacks beforehand and that the government is tracking people with RFID tags in clothing.

Saxton's not perfect, but he's the best of the choices out there, IMO.


20 posted on 10/03/2006 5:32:13 PM PDT by B Knotts (Newt '08!)
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