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CHINESE SPACE WARFARE THREAT GROWS...
American Foreign Policy Council ^ | 9/29/06 | Ilan Berman, ed.

Posted on 09/29/2006 7:46:40 PM PDT by bruinbirdman

MISSILE DEFENSE BRIEFING REPORT NO. 208, September 29, 2006

CHINESE SPACE WARFARE THREAT GROWS...

Even as it continues its diplomatic offensive to limit the deployment of American space-based defenses, Beijing has begun probing U.S. vulnerabilities in that theater. According to Defense News (week of September 25), the PRC recently fired high-powered lasers at U.S. spy satellites orbiting over its territory. Experts tell the newsweekly that the incident represents the latest effort by China to gauge its ability to neutralize U.S. space-based assets. Such efforts on the part of China, coupled with sophisticated Russian work on satellite-jamming capabilities, is "driving U.S. Air Force plans to develop new space architectures and highly classified systems," Defense News reports.

...AS INDIA LOOKS TO THE STARS

India's military priorities are poised on the brink of major redefinition. Defense News (week of September 25) reports that the Integrated Defence Staff of the Indian Defence Ministry is in the process of formulating a concept paper that is expected to define the direction of national strategy and defense spending for the South Asian state in the coming year. Among the initiatives rumored to be under consideration is the establishment of a joint space task force to oversee the creation of an integrated military space command tasked with administering space missions for the country's Air Force, Navy and Army.

JAPANESE RADAR COMES ONLINE

Amid ongoing fears over North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities, Tokyo and Washington are moving to activate their missile defense alliance. The Associated Press (September 28) reports that the United States has powered up a key component of its ballistic missile partnership with Japan: the X-Band early warning radar array at Camp Shariki in northern Japan. The facility in the northern Aomori state was officially inaugurated on September 26th by U.S. Brigadier General John Seward, according to the news agency.

FEAR AND LOATHING IN MOSCOW

The Bush administration's plans for a European basing location for missile defenses continue to make waves in Moscow. Defense and Security (September 25) reports that a number of prominent Russian strategists have termed the planned deployment, most likely to take place in either Poland or the Czech Republic, a clear threat to Russian security, and are calling on the Kremlin to respond to U.S. plans by expanding its own work on "strategic arms." "The missile defenses in Poland and the Czech Republic will be directed against Russia and China," says Major-General Vladimir Belous (ret.), a senior research fellow at the Russian Academy of Sciences' Global Economy and International Relations Institute (IMEMO). "By approaching Russia's borders, the Americans are seeking to achieve their main objective: intercepting our strategic missiles at the early stage of their trajectory, when they are most vulnerable."

Russian officials also have another worry. Space & Missile Defense Report (September 25) reports that two leading Russian specialists – General Vladimir Dworkin of the Russian Academy of Sciences and Alexei Arbatov of the Carnegie Moscow Center – told a recent conference that officials in Moscow have “gotten used” to the idea of the limited missile defense capability being pursued by the Bush administration. But, the experts have warned, a more capable system, one incorporating space based anti-missile capabilities, “would be a shock” to the Kremlin and could elicit a serious response.

RUSSIA’S AGING STRATEGIC ARSENAL

Meanwhile, all does not appear to be well on the Russian front. The sorry state of the country's aging nuclear arsenal has begun to raise serious questions about the Kremlin’s capacity to maintain a second-strike capability. In its September 16th issue, Moscow’s Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozrenie cites missile designer Vladimir Buksshtab as saying that Russia’s aging “Topol” road-mobile missile complex, which has been active now for twice its guaranteed service life, shows signs of “aging, deterioration, and physical wear.” Although recent testing indicates the missiles will still perform if called upon, the present pace of rearmament suggests they are predicted to be on alert for another 30 years – a time span Buksshab calls “impracticable.” As a result, the engineer predicts, the country’s missile arsenal could see a serious reconfiguration in the near future. “[T]he composition of the Russian Federation’s land-based missile grouping may be drastically reduced by 2010. The same can be said of the nuclear triad’s sea-based component.” Buksshtab has also raised concerns over a noticeable decline in the level of effectiveness of command and control in Russia’s strategic missile complex - a development he identifies as a “powerful destabilizing factor.”


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; Japan; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:
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1 posted on 09/29/2006 7:46:42 PM PDT by bruinbirdman
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To: doc1019

A few nukes here, a few nukes there … problem solved.


2 posted on 09/29/2006 7:51:39 PM PDT by doc1019
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To: bruinbirdman

Take anything said by Russia with a grain of salt...


3 posted on 09/29/2006 7:51:58 PM PDT by Thunder90
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To: bruinbirdman
Seems a large part of what many may see as a peaceful world is stepping up efforts to be on a large scale military footing. I wonder why that is? Sometimes makes you wonder if there are things at work that we aren't aware of.
4 posted on 09/29/2006 7:53:59 PM PDT by KoRn
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To: KoRn
It's never, ever been a peaceful world.

L

5 posted on 09/29/2006 7:55:19 PM PDT by Lurker (islam is not a religion. It's the new face of Fascism in our time. We ignore it at our peril.)
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To: Lurker
I was speaking comparatively to WWII and the cold war.
6 posted on 09/29/2006 8:02:14 PM PDT by KoRn
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To: bruinbirdman
"The missile defenses in Poland and the Czech Republic will be directed against Russia and China," says Major-General Vladimir Belous (ret.)

Uh...they will only be directed against overt, offensive acts by the Russians. They are not offensive weapons. You can only fear them if you intend to do another country harm.

"By approaching Russia's borders, the Americans are seeking to achieve their main objective: intercepting our strategic missiles at the early stage of their trajectory, when they are most vulnerable."

Well, duh, that would be the intent, to destroy your offensive missiles before they can reach us, or our allies.

7 posted on 09/29/2006 8:03:44 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Jeff Head
You have to wonder what kind of 'friends' these Russians are when they've got their panties in a bunch over not being able to lob a couple of hundred nukes at us.

With friends like those....

L

8 posted on 09/29/2006 8:05:25 PM PDT by Lurker (islam is not a religion. It's the new face of Fascism in our time. We ignore it at our peril.)
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To: Lurker
Exactly.

Greetings to you my friend.

9 posted on 09/29/2006 8:14:57 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: bruinbirdman

bump for later


10 posted on 09/29/2006 8:15:39 PM PDT by GOPJ (Women who vote for democrats should be fitted for a burqa - freeper OrioleFan)
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To: Lurker

Truer words never spoken. The fighters have been in their corners for some time now. The bell is apt to ring.


11 posted on 09/29/2006 8:18:23 PM PDT by DanielLongo (Don't tread on me)
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To: bruinbirdman

The true krinton legacy.


12 posted on 09/29/2006 8:24:44 PM PDT by WorkingClassFilth (Ever learning . . .)
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To: Cacique

btt


13 posted on 09/29/2006 8:56:31 PM PDT by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: bruinbirdman

NOTHING TO SEE, HERE.
TRADE PARTNER.
MOST FAVORED NATION STATUS.
NO THREAT.
NOTHING TO SEE.
MOVE ALONG, NOW.



Incoming WHAT??!!


14 posted on 09/29/2006 8:56:52 PM PDT by HKMk23 (PRO-LIFE: Because a Person's a Person, no matter how small.)
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To: HKMk23
Seriously, we have been sold out. China is working to destroy us. They are much more dangerous than Al Qaida. I say since we have by far the most advanced space capabilities, it is high time we took the high ground, and took control of space. If we do not China will.
15 posted on 09/29/2006 9:03:24 PM PDT by gafusa
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To: bruinbirdman

This is one of the many reasons why we need a President and a Congress that is strong on US military and weapons development.


16 posted on 09/29/2006 9:31:40 PM PDT by LifeOrGoods? (God is not a God of fear, but of power, love and a sane mind.)
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To: bruinbirdman; All

One of the Hubble cameras has quit operating .. I wonder if there is a connection ..??


17 posted on 09/29/2006 9:40:14 PM PDT by CyberAnt (Drive-By Media: Fake news, fake documents, fake polls)
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To: Jeff Head
Can you tell us sumpin 'bout ChiCom laser tech. Did they get that stuff from Loral, too?

yitbos, old friend

18 posted on 09/29/2006 9:46:22 PM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds. " - Ayn Rand)
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To: bruinbirdman; All

By the way, today on Rush - he interviewed Bill Gertz re his new book "Enemies" (which I just ordered last night). After listening to what Gertz had to say about the Chinese spies in this country and how they are being aided by our own state dept employees and pentagon employees, this will be one of those books you can't put down.

It appears that a true "shadow party" is in operation within our govt trying to take America apart. They have "misunderestimated" us again.


19 posted on 09/29/2006 9:51:10 PM PDT by CyberAnt (Drive-By Media: Fake news, fake documents, fake polls)
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To: KoRn
Sometimes makes you wonder if there are things at work that we aren't aware of.

I'm a great grandma - and I haven't wondered about it for over 40 years - that's a given.

Indeed, I count on it. I'd hate to think that someone/agency in our government isn't aware of much more than is on the surface.

I pray they are watching our back...but I hope someone - Gonzales? - will plug the leaking of classified information.

I still remember when the secret about the stealth bomber was 'leaked', years before it should have been - by jimmah carter!

Our most dangerous enemies, I fear, are right here in our country - in DC -

20 posted on 09/29/2006 9:57:05 PM PDT by maine-iac7 ("...but you can't fool all of the people all of the time." Lincoln)
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