Posted on 09/26/2006 4:32:41 PM PDT by okstate
Posted on RCP (source can't be linked, Gannett)
Survey USA
Ed Perlmutter (D) 54%
Rick O'Donnell (R) 37%
Undecided 6%
482 LV
9/21-9/25 with no surveys on 9/22 or 9/23 due to Jewish holiday
The one exception for the moment, might be NY-24, which seems to have a GOP candidate that is at least somewhat superior to the Dem (we need another poll; Zogby lives in that district by the way, and conducts his polling boilerroom out of there in a converted industrial warehouse beautiful downtown Utica, NY), and in the marginal GOP column, the open Wisconsin district. Having said that, this poll probably overstates the case, but it does suggest, something has happened in that campaign, or in Colorado, which has been viewed as a tough place for the GOP to be in general this year, although not of course as tough as Ohio. Nowhere is as tough as that, except oddly Indiana, where the numbers have been awful, maybe also due in part to an unpopular GOP incumbent governor.
Any thoughts MM?
What does not mean exactly? Polls that came out today, or period? What other polls came out today?
Meier's opponent has been involved in a insurance fraud scandal.
Indiana has been overhyped Torie. GOTV will pull Chocolla and Hostettler thru but not Sodrel.
The word is that Ellsworth is in big trouble with a barrage of upcoming negative ads by the RNC over his handling of a 14 year old witness who was murdured under his watch.
Donnelly is a sleazy trial lawyer
Torie thank God you see how he blatantly misinterprets posts also.
Also Duckworth is imploding in the IL 6th she is afraid to debate and her donor list is 97% out of state including Rosie O'Donnell
It should be a fun campaign. But is Chocola's magic bullet? I think he is the most vulnerable of the three, and one of the most vulnerable in the nation, although some unfortunate happenings elsewhere keep him from winning a medal in the Olympics. That district has Dem tendencies which pop out to bite you. South Bend is a rust belt town, Noter Dame to the contrary notwithstanding.
Duckworth won't be doing debates, I don't think.
So Torie are you saying Duckworth will win by not debating?
She will lose by 10% especially with Blagoevich in the DEM crosshairs
FED crosshairs . sorry
That said, I am still fumming about the border, no control in spending, and not fighting back at the Dims (including locking some of them up for treason).
I am saying she won't debate. I don't know who will win. Bean under adverse circumstances in a more GOP district, seems ahead. Chicago suburbs, as opposed to exurbs, are sort of like Philly suburbs - bad news city, particularly when a GOP incumbent has not solidified matters.
Torie you need to look at more intangebiles. Bean won in 2004 because of Obama on the ticket which carried her against Drunk Crane.
Bean is more likely than not to win again - sans the drunk and Obama. We shall see.
I agree Atlanta, these summer polls showing the GOP base staying home has gone up in flames because the DEMS and Pelosi are appeasers.
She really pissed off Labor, and is dealing with a 3rd party candidate also and the baggage of Governor under FED investigation in Blagoevich.
Yes she is, and appears to be still ahead. We shall see.
I'm just talking about today. Hardly any new public polls. One in PA-Sen with Santorum down 14. Another one showing Rainville losing in VA. And then this poll here with Perlmutter winning.
sorry, not VA. meant VT
Musgrave is almost certainly in trouble if the Reform Party candidate runs as strong as the recent Survey USA poll indicated (8%).
I think the PA poll came out two days ago, but then I don't consider PA competitive, and have not, for months and months. What did the Vermont poll say? I didn't consider that one competitive in the end either, but I'm curious. In any event, the other two polls don't mean much as far as national trends.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.