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Poll: Welch takes lead in U.S. House race (Research 2000, Welch up 6 in Vermont)
The Times-Argus ^ | 21 September 2006 | AP

Posted on 09/21/2006 10:38:38 AM PDT by okstate

MONTPELIER — A new poll shows Democrat Peter Welch has established a small lead in the race to succeed Rep. Bernard Sanders, one of a few dozen contests that could help to determine control of Congress next year.

The poll found that if the election were held now, Welch would get the vote of 45 percent and Martha Rainville, the Republican nominee, would get 39 percent. The poll said other candidates would get 2 percent of the vote and 14 percent of respondents were undecided.

WCAX-TV commissioned the poll from Research 2000 of Rockville, Md.

A total of 400 likely voters, chosen randomly based on their telephone numbers, were interviewed over the phone Monday and Tuesday. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

That means that Welch, the incumbent president pro tem of the Vermont Senate, has a narrow lead over Rainville, who until recently was the commander of the Vermont National Guard.

The poll said that Welch had a wider lead among women, 49 percent to 34 percent. But among men, he and Rainville were in a statistical dead heat, with Rainville polling 44 percent and Welch 41 percent.

They are competing to replace Sanders, who is stepping down from the House to run for the U.S. Senate seat held by retiring Sen. James Jeffords.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Vermont
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; election2006; electioncongress; elections2006; electionscongress; poll; polls; rainville; research2000; vermont; welch
The last poll here was conducted by American Research Group on 9/13 to 9/14. It found Welch up 3 points, with a lot fewer undecideds than this poll.

As the article says, this is leftist Bernie Sanders's seat right now.

1 posted on 09/21/2006 10:38:42 AM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate

Upon graduating college I was offered a job by I.B.M. in Burlington Vt. After finding that Burlington was the only city with an avowed socialist city counsel at the time I declined even completeing the job interview precess with I.B.M. if that was the only opening at the time they had.

Like a used piece of toilet paper is how I think of Vt.


2 posted on 09/21/2006 10:43:47 AM PDT by Joe Boucher (an enemy of islam)
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To: Joe Boucher

It was once a great state. What a shame. Calvin Coolidge must be weeping from above.


3 posted on 09/21/2006 11:10:58 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: okstate

Sanders is independent not because he is free thinker - he is independent because there is no organized communist party in the US - even a liberal dem is better than him


4 posted on 09/21/2006 11:32:00 AM PDT by xcullen
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To: xcullen

Agreed. He's a socialist, and for the paper to portray this as a "swing" to the Dems is beyond silly. This is a Dem hold.


5 posted on 09/21/2006 11:47:17 AM PDT by LS
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