Posted on 09/14/2006 1:20:36 PM PDT by okstate
This poll is still on Rasmussen premium, but RCP leaked the numbers.
Tester (D) .... 52 percent
Burns (R) ..... 43 percent
Undecided ..... 5 percent
500 Likely Voters, finished on September 12th, 2006.
09-13 ... Rasmussen .... Tester +9
08-27 ... Gallup ........... Tester +3
08-10 ... Rasmussen .... Push
07-06 ... Rasmussen .... Tester +7
If we believe this poll and Rasmussen in general, then the race has grown decidely worse for Burns. (Although the push result Ras recieved in August may be an outlier. Lake Snell Perry, a Rat pollster, found Tester up 7 on August 10th, as well.)
Burns has not led any polls since April 11th.
If true, we need a pick-up somewhere to off-set this loss.
New Jersey, hopefully.
Ping.. Burns is in trouble in Montana... (Rasmussen has Tester up 9)
"Are you saying 'Boo' or 'Boo-urns'?"
He needs to close that gap pretty quickly if he wants help from the RNC.
Don't give up just yet. There's still a little time, and the general trend is good for 'Pubbies.
This is really sad. They should have pressured him to retire. It's a pretty bad circumstance when the GOP can't count on holding a seat in conservative MT. Not to mention the state would then have 2 left wing senators. We'd better hope Dewine and Talent win, and that Santorum continues his comeback. If Kean manages to win in NJ and (hold your nose) Chaffee holds on RI then GOP losses could be minimal. Maybe if there's a miracle and Steele and Bouchard pull off upsets in MD and MI, we would even gain one. That's very optimistic though.
I think Burns being a seasoned campaigner will win the seat, it is hard to see Montana voters for a dem like tester, but then again their Governor is a dem is'nt he, is it still a solid conservative state.
It's hard to win an election when your foot is constantly in your mouth...
This race is a case of the Republican losing it as opposed to the Democrat winning it.
I agree with you. Inexcusable.
"I was saying Boo-urns."
Sounds as though he lost their confidence a while back over what I have no idea. Maybe this trust of character is true in most places, but they made up their minds about him a long time ago and word travels fast in a small state. Wish this could be turned around.
Absolutely, what I sensed was going on as well. They are definately voting AGAINST him.
Why not? They regularly go for Baucus.
When he ran for re-election in 2000, for some reason he narrowly won re-election while Bush carried that state by 25 points. Maybe it's just him that's the problem. He should have retired.
Montana is certainly not as solid red as Idaho, Utah, or Wyoming.
Their Rat governor is also popular. AS of now, Burns is in deep trouble. I think he may have surpassed Santorum as the incumbent most likely to lose in November (although unfortunately I think both will end up losing).
All Montana Polls are meaningless if Montana voters think that the GOP can lose control of the Senate in 2006 as a result of voting out Burns which in turn would lead to a Bush Impeachment proceeding.
Tester's lead is an empty one.
If Montana voters see the GOP losing, Burns will win.
That's just me. I just get my election predictions right.
Burns is pretty much an idiot. We can't count on him to come through, even in this red state.
In the Senate we'll probably lose:
Montana
Ohio
We'll probably win:
Missouri
Tennessee
Rhode Island
Lean Repub:
New Jersey
Too close to call:
Pennsylvania
Net result should be a dem pick up of 1-2 seats, I hope. The good news is that the most recent Generic Congressional Ballot from Fox/Opinion Dynamics (released today) has the Rats up by only 3 points among likely voters:
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,213850,00.html
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