Posted on 09/12/2006 7:26:11 AM PDT by Hydroshock
AUSTIN — Two polls released Monday found Gov. Rick Perry is vulnerable to defeat, but his campaign is questioning the surveys' accuracy.
Conventional wisdom in the governor's race has been that none of the governor's four opponents would have a chance to beat him if he gets more than 35 percent of the vote on Nov. 7. There is no runoff in the general election, so the top vote-getter wins.
Perry has hovered between 35 percent and 41 percent in public polls for months. But he has fallen into the defeatable zone in polls done by Rasmussen Reports and the Wall Street Journal/Zogby Online.
The Rasmussen poll put Perry's re-election support at 33 percent, and the Zogby poll had his support at 31 percent.
"It's hard to see him losing above 37 percent, but below 35 percent, somebody might get that much out of the remaining 65 percent of the vote," said University of Houston pollster Richard Murray, a Democrat.
But Perry spokesman Robert Black said the polls paid for by news media companies should not be trusted because their methodology is not sound political science.
(Excerpt) Read more at chron.com ...
dogone deport, you are right...
But still Ras is a GOP leaning pollster and I still see where he handles it pretty impartially. But I'm totally blown out of the water on my reference.
Very similar. In fact it wouldn't surprise me if some of these newer names are retreads.
That's feat and it says a lot.
I remember in 2000 Portrait of America [Scott Rasmussen] was the rage on Fr as he consistently had Bush over Gore by serveral points.
I'm not sure what to decipher out of these polls in Texas just yet... Paul Burka just recently said he's getting background talk from some Republicans that the bottom seems to be falling out. One thing that has been showing up in internal democrat polls that Bell is concerned about is that a large section of The Joker's supporters are disenchanted Anglo liberals which have left the democrat plantation. That makes it hard for him to hold the democrat percentage which could put him within winning distance if Perry drops below 35% on election day.
At 35% Perry becomes vunerable if'n the democrat can hold his base and pickup a few of the other votes. I still don't think Perry will lose but who knows how mad the voters will be when they step into the booth on Nov. 7.
My dad is a lifelong Republican and says the same thing. He will support the Party but after 40 years of working for them (including 6 times a State Convention delegate) he wants them to know how unhappy he is. The Gov will have little effect if we keep the legislature. He has already cost the gov a couple of dozen votes and is just getting started.
Besides it sure won't be the first nut we've had in office!
Go Kinky!
We have had more nuts in TX government then nuts on the pecan trees on the capital grounds, in a bumper crop year. ;)
Go Kinky.
We have now found the problem. No matter what is done you will vote Republican, sort of like my Yellow Dog Democrat Grand Parents.
The Great State of Texas can withstand Kinky as Governor. He's got some good ideas & some bad ideas but he is NOT beholding to the Big insurance lobby or foreign investors who want to grab land for toll roads in Texas. He is also serious about defending the Texas border which is about as basic as it gets...
"We've waited 153 years for the feds to help us," Friedman said. "They haven't yet. We have our own army. I want 10,000 Texas National Guard troops on the border and I want them now."
~ Kinky Friedman ~
He's Kinky but he aint crazy.
I do not agree with everything from him but I agree with him more then I do the others. He has my vote.
http://www.kinkyfriedman.com/2006/03/press_release_immigration_poli.html
3-28-06
Kinky Friedman today said he supports the legislation passed Monday by the Senate Judiciary Committee, which includes the legalization of the country’s 11 million illegal immigrants who hold jobs, pass background checks, and pay fines and taxes.
Friedman also supports the expansion of the guest worker program, which would allow approximately 400,000 new guest workers per year. Friedman has been calling for a Bracero-sized program since he first announced his candidacy for governor in February 2005.
He has changed his position.
"but who knows how mad the voters will be when they step into the booth on Nov. 7."
And who knows WHO they'll be mad AT?
There are a lot of dynamics. I have to admit, I'm not enamored with Perry. I support him but I'm so tired of "almost".
Besides Kinks social liberal trend, I am afraid of who he will appoint to important positions around the state. Not because he will be promoting an agenda per se. Rather because of the opposite. He will really not have any driving set of standards guiding him. But... I don't know that Perry does either anymore.
I'm so wore out thinking both sides of this issue.
And I'm on the ballot in my county!
And I'm on the ballot in my county!
I'm not too concerned. If he appoints very liberal judges (which I doubt he will do), then he will be voted out of office. I don't really see that happening, but your point is well taken.
I ran for County Clerk 4 years ao and lost by 3%(I think) total spread (1400 votes).
I ran for Chairman of the Republican Party of Galveston County in 2004 and beat out the 7 year incumbent chair. In the general election to follow, we defeated the first countywide Dem incumbents in 150 years (ever).
I also had to win a primary to get here and my opponent is now my biggest campaign helper!
Good luck.
I am voting for Kinky.
Kinky does love a good cigar. He seems to like Cuban cigars if available.
Kinky sez....
"I don't look at it as supporting Castro...
I think of it as burning his fields"
I was going to put Bell in fourth in that race but we DO have 100,000 New Orleans Democrats to consider who have now indicated their desire to claim Texas residency.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.