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Hurricane Florence update
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200606.disc.html#a_topad | NHC Via Wunderground

Posted on 09/03/2006 1:44:19 PM PDT by nwctwx



TOPICS: Extended News
KEYWORDS: florence; hurricaneseason2006; tropical; weather
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To: Pyro7480
You're right. they posted this about it: Able reached its peak of 100 mph winds.
On that map it looks like it hit at a cat 5.... .
61 posted on 09/03/2006 3:12:05 PM PDT by Fawn (http://www.jokaroo.com/funnyvideos/toilet_obsession.html)
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To: nwctwx

More of the same....


62 posted on 09/03/2006 3:17:19 PM PDT by mhking (I make my livin' on the evening news....)
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To: Fawn
That convection flare-up that would appear to be the center I don't think is. Indeed if you go to Colorado U's site and look at there Sat picture, that convection is now heading North North Eastward already.

This is a great Satellite sequence, first time I used it. The only issue is you can not direct link it. So try this;

Click on this link, then use the drop down menu to locate Channel 4 thermal Infrared, then click in the water vapor box in the lower right hand corner.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsdsol/TROPICAL.html


It would be my impression that the center is still moving westward, but it also maybe a day or so before we can see what happens with all the other waves around it. Perhaps, they combine or they all die?

-t
63 posted on 09/03/2006 3:18:13 PM PDT by onthedancefloort (And We said thereafter to the Children of Israel, "Dwell securely in the land (of promise)": 17-104)
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To: nwctwx

What is the name of this thing

Gotta have a name


64 posted on 09/03/2006 3:21:06 PM PDT by uncbob
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To: uncbob

It will be Florence


65 posted on 09/03/2006 3:30:43 PM PDT by varina davis
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To: onthedancefloort
This one:


66 posted on 09/03/2006 3:33:59 PM PDT by Fawn (http://www.jokaroo.com/funnyvideos/toilet_obsession.html)
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To: Fawn

Fawn,

Yes that One!

Did you look at the Loop?

-t


67 posted on 09/03/2006 3:36:58 PM PDT by onthedancefloort (And We said thereafter to the Children of Israel, "Dwell securely in the land (of promise)": 17-104)
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To: nwctwx

crap!


68 posted on 09/03/2006 3:37:08 PM PDT by RDTF ("We love death. The US loves life. That is the big difference between us two.” Osama Bin laden)
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To: nwctwx

Not much doubt this will develop. Right now it doesn't look like a GOM threat, but it's way too early to predict the track. Ernesto cured me of that.


69 posted on 09/03/2006 3:39:06 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: nwctwx

Should I be worried?...(east coast of Florida)


70 posted on 09/03/2006 3:41:31 PM PDT by Guenevere
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To: onthedancefloort

Yes...but I can't tell what is future or later....??


71 posted on 09/03/2006 3:51:12 PM PDT by Fawn (http://www.jokaroo.com/funnyvideos/toilet_obsession.html)
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To: Fawn

True enough, you can slow down the frame sequence to get a better idea of which is the last.

-t


72 posted on 09/03/2006 3:57:18 PM PDT by onthedancefloort (And We said thereafter to the Children of Israel, "Dwell securely in the land (of promise)": 17-104)
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To: Guenevere
"Should I be worried?"

That depends....Do you have teenagers? ;-)

73 posted on 09/03/2006 4:05:00 PM PDT by Hatteras
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To: onthedancefloort

Thanks for the link....I'm going to be checking this site as the days go by. :)


74 posted on 09/03/2006 4:13:03 PM PDT by Fawn (http://www.jokaroo.com/funnyvideos/toilet_obsession.html)
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To: Guenevere
Should I be worried?...(east coast of Florida)

Not yet. The position of the storm and the short term movement point to something that may not affect the U.S. Given the difficulty in pinpointing storm location 5 days+ out, it would be tough to say that this will threaten the east coast at this point. It is too quick to say it won't make it though, especially given the fact that a seasonal trend towards east coast threats has become apparent at this point.

I'd say the best course of action is to check in on it once or twice a day until there is a better idea of track/intensity.
75 posted on 09/03/2006 4:13:17 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; Amelia; asp1; ..
Waaaay out in the Central Atlantic, TD #6 has developed, with plans to make a name for itself.


On/Off Hurricane Ping list, mash ---> .

76 posted on 09/03/2006 4:13:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Katherine Harris for U.S. Senate)
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To: onthedancefloort

Go from image 212-213 on that first map .....something doesn't seem right....that's an awful huge leap.


77 posted on 09/03/2006 4:16:27 PM PDT by Fawn (http://www.jokaroo.com/funnyvideos/toilet_obsession.html)
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To: Fawn
I see why you think it's going north. Notice between those two frames...that the longitude-lattitude lines ALSO jump up the screen giving the impression that the storm has moved. It actually has not moved north at all. Here is frame 112:

And here is the very next frame. Look at lattitude #15

78 posted on 09/03/2006 4:20:57 PM PDT by Fawn (http://www.jokaroo.com/funnyvideos/toilet_obsession.html)
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To: nwctwx

Looks like Bush/Cheney have fired up their hurricane machine. . probably have the dynamite already strapped on the trained dolphins!


79 posted on 09/03/2006 4:21:15 PM PDT by 2nd Amendment
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To: Sam Cree
Care to make a long range tracking forecast? Wondering if it'll threaten land before it recurves.

As I said in post #75, it's probably a little too early to get very worked up about it. Historic odds of this affecting the U.S. in any meaningful way are somewhat low.

That said, if I had to make an early call (which I shouldn't after Ernesto), I would say there is a pretty good shot that this will at the very least threaten to strike the U.S. coast.

If indeed it does threaten the coast, it is likely to be a big story maker. Conditions are going to be rather favorable this go around for a decent size storm.

Some of my early favorite "large storm" comparisons are Hugo, Floyd, and Isabel. They all traveled in a similar area early on, and all occurred during somewhat similar weather patterns (strong high to the north, weakeness in the ridge in the SE). Andrew could also possibly be used as a comparison, but I don't believe this will be a similar storm based on this season's trends.
80 posted on 09/03/2006 4:27:29 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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