Posted on 08/28/2006 7:27:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Prayers for protection of life & property in the storm's path.
Great story about the structural integrity of your grandmother's house--and nice forecast analysis. Thank you.
That does seem to be over doing it a little.
Every cat 1 storm was a disaster in my area. It was at least a week of just hell. Granted I didn't loose my house.....but it was not fun at all.
And last year there were very few West Pacific typhoons. Proof of global cooling? Of course not, but we could claim such if we adhered to the "logic" of the liberals.
And 30 miles to the west and my family will be pummeled in Wilmington!
I hope everyone is prepared and safe, but I hope this thing
brings some rain to 'Bama.
The trend is your friend. The forecast and actual tracks have continually shifted eastward. And from what I can see of the sat images (it's almost impossible to find a center right now over Cuba), it has continued to move more NNW than NW. Good news - small shifts now can mean large track varations later.
I heard on the radio this morning reporting "New Orleans Levees are considered Safe". The jock starting laughing and commented just yesterday it was considered dangerous.
The ECMWF (Euro model) has the restrengthened Ernesto hitting at/near Hatteras Labor Day.
Final hurricane prep is kinda like trying to draw an inside straight on the last card. We're all trying to handicap this thing and it looks like the hurricane panels will go up after dinner. Tues morn may be too wet to do so.
Ernesto is <40MPH...now
Either I'm seing things, or the trough that was to the north of Ernesto is now dug down into the western side of the storm. There is no convection and no outflow to the west - and this would also tend to push Ernesto further north for a few hours.
It'll be interesting to watch this one...an opinion ... 'cause of all the hype taking place in the MSM on hurricanes...people stepped out there WAY to early in their forecasting...that most probably is the reason most have so poorly forecasted Ernesto, IMHO. This a typical hurricane season and Ernesto is a typical storm.
Yeah, most of the precautions are for going without power, water, or certain groceries, etc. Even if property damage doesn't look likely, a little pre-planning can make life a lot more enjoyable should you have to go without things for a couple days.
Thing that were hard to get for a few days around me included gasoline, ice, meats & dairy, and chlorine for the pool (when there's not enough electricity to go around, you're not running the pool pump.)
Good. we need the rain.
I resented losing all my food in the freezer, not being able to use the phone, not enough gas to travel (not that you were allowed to for a few days) and no air conditioning....nothing like sweltering in a hot house with wet sticky floors....then having to get up and get ready to go to work with cold water and no hair dryer.
I should be in good shape here in western NC just as long as it doesn't shift tracks again. I heard we can flood here a bit in Buncombe with rainmakers.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
