Either I'm seing things, or the trough that was to the north of Ernesto is now dug down into the western side of the storm. There is no convection and no outflow to the west - and this would also tend to push Ernesto further north for a few hours.
There was a hurricane last year I believe that looked like it was going to spin off NNE in the Atlantic that did a loop and came back and hit Florida's east coast.
Any chance of this doing that based on what you see?
I am a weather expert like my local station has, I can tell you tomorrow what it did today.
I think you're right about this continuing to have a track that is more easterly. But the cone still includes much of Florida and it would be wrong to officially discount anything west of the black line in the storm path projection.
