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TS/Hurricane/TS Ernesto
NWS/NHC ^
| 28 August 2006
| NHC
Posted on 08/28/2006 7:27:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68
Thanks for the kind words. Hopefully Ernesto will soon be either Bahamas bound or oblivion bound.
181
posted on
08/28/2006 11:26:01 AM PDT
by
dirtboy
(This tagline has been photoshopped)
To: SE Mom
That news needs to get out .. I had no clue.
182
posted on
08/28/2006 11:28:43 AM PDT
by
STARWISE
(They (Rats) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
To: dirtboy
Maybe just blow more "BOOTY" up on the Treasure Coast ;0)
183
posted on
08/28/2006 11:29:33 AM PDT
by
1COUNTER-MORTER-68
(THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
To: Orlando
I think what is left of the circulation will be over water fairly soon, if the 2pm position is accurate. Part of the problem is that the Hurricane Hunters can't fly into the storm now and get a position fix, since it's over Cuba. So the forecasters at the NHC are doing what we are doing - looking at the sat photos and trying to figure out just where the center actually is.
However, since the circulation has gotten so badly beaten up, it will take longer to regenerate. Any signficant convection has been pushed well to the east, so that would take time to wrap back around the center, if it can. And if the trough to the west keeps shearing it and pushing it north for even just a few more hours, re-intensification will be delayed and the track could well stay off the Florida coast - a shift of only 30 miles and it won't make landfall.
184
posted on
08/28/2006 11:31:00 AM PDT
by
dirtboy
(This tagline has been photoshopped)
To: STARWISE
Sure enough, I found confirmation. What's with that?Actually, Venezuela is selling their Citgo stations.
185
posted on
08/28/2006 11:31:52 AM PDT
by
dirtboy
(This tagline has been photoshopped)
To: STARWISE
Then you'll be pleased to know that it is all Citgo stations at the service plazas on Florida's Turnpike ;(
186
posted on
08/28/2006 11:34:43 AM PDT
by
debg
(Central Florida - Ocala)
To: dirtboy
I see that in the article link. Do we not have some restrictions on foreign governments owning huge national fuel suppliers?
187
posted on
08/28/2006 11:35:53 AM PDT
by
STARWISE
(They (Rats) think of this WOT as Bush's war, not America's war-RichardMiniter, respected OBL author)
To: Fawn
LOL - thanks for the laugh, I needed it!
188
posted on
08/28/2006 11:36:54 AM PDT
by
Tennessee_Bob
("Those who "abjure" violence can only do so because others are committing violence on their behalf.")
To: onyx
Bonyx says: Onyx is a psychic!
I don't even have to try to *find* my prediction, it is seared in my mind, in fact I will never forget it...
"my money is on a cat 3 between Mary Esther and Navarre"
;)
189
posted on
08/28/2006 11:37:27 AM PDT
by
bwteim
(bwteim: Begin With The End In Mind)
To: clintonh8r
Here is Exhibit A why any tropical cyclone has to be treated as a potential major disaster within 48 hours:
It was "just" a tropical storm entering the Bahamas. Two days later, it was a Cat 5.
That's why anyone in the uncertainty cone for the forecast should not let down their guard until Ernesto is either off to sea or declared dead by the NHC.
190
posted on
08/28/2006 11:37:44 AM PDT
by
dirtboy
(This tagline has been photoshopped)
To: STARWISE
Do we not have some restrictions on foreign governments owning huge national fuel suppliers?I dunno. Maybe we should ask BP.
191
posted on
08/28/2006 11:38:29 AM PDT
by
dirtboy
(This tagline has been photoshopped)
To: new yorker 77
Why are you on this thread? You've done nothing but muck it up for people who are trying to find out real information.
Knock it off.
192
posted on
08/28/2006 11:41:03 AM PDT
by
Howlin
(Pres.Bush ought to be ashamed of himself for allowing foreign countries right on our borders!!~~Zook)
To: NautiNurse
Fair enough. It's probably pretty safe to assume that most of the "swimmers" were in fact surfers, because tropical storm conditions aren't exactly conducive to doing laps.
The kid in the creek probably wasn't a surfer, unless pre-teen creek surfing is a new extreme sport I missed, and the 71-year-old ... well, I can't begin to figure what the hell he was thinking.
My impression is wholly subjective, but based on a fair number of observations. A lot of surfers head out to places like Cocoa and New Smyrna when a storm is on the way, because those fat 5' swells aren't easy to come by on the Atlantic coast. There are a lot of kids out there 1-2 days from landfall, but not many 0-1 days out.
Now, the folks who decide to ride out the storm on small craft, they're definitely suffering from more b--ls than brains.
To: bwteim
Yes, bonyx --- that was your exact post! We can keep it. More hurricanes will be born off the coast of Africa.
194
posted on
08/28/2006 11:43:05 AM PDT
by
onyx
(1 Billion Muslims -- "if" 10% are fundamentalists, that's still 100 Million who want to kill us.)
To: Fawn
"I'll probably end up working all day tuesday here in Palm Beach county..."
Me too, I work in southern Palm Beach conty (Boca Raton) and I expect to probably be at work Tuesday and Wednesday too, unless we really get the direct hit. Already during my lunch break today I waited in a line about 30 cars long to fill up with gas, and it's like that everywhere. I can imagine how it's gonna be when I head back down to Ft Lauderdale where I live after work.
195
posted on
08/28/2006 11:43:52 AM PDT
by
Bones75
To: onyx
T'was seared in my mind, I tell ya, Onyx, seared in my mind....lol
--bonyx
196
posted on
08/28/2006 11:44:26 AM PDT
by
bwteim
(bwteim: Begin With The End In Mind)
To: dirtboy
The north Atlantic water vapor imagery shows that an exit to the east anytime soon is not very likely.
Note how the trough to Ernesto's right is filling in...I would have to think this is the reasoning as to why they expect Ernesto to left turn?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
With a High building in as well, Ernesto I would think would have a decent chance of strengthening substantially, once it regains the low level circulation. How Long, well it has a pretty substantial out flow intact so I would say that given a turn more to west, 8 hours before it is approaching hurricane status again sounds reasonable, Longer if it stays on this general NNW track.
-t
197
posted on
08/28/2006 11:45:10 AM PDT
by
onthedancefloort
(And We said thereafter to the Children of Israel, "Dwell securely in the land (of promise)": 17-104)
To: Howlin; new yorker 77
Shuuush, we just put him to bed. He's had a busy day.
;)
198
posted on
08/28/2006 11:45:52 AM PDT
by
bwteim
(bwteim: Begin With The End In Mind)
To: Orlando
Last I heard the water temp near the Keys is 90 degrees...here in SW FL about 88 or 89 degrees so 90 is probably right.
199
posted on
08/28/2006 11:51:25 AM PDT
by
jeeperz
To: STARWISE
Shell and BP are also foreign owned.
200
posted on
08/28/2006 11:52:07 AM PDT
by
clintonh8r
(American first, conservative second.....Republican a distant third.)
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