This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
Locked on 08/28/2006 8:32:09 AM PDT by Sidebar Moderator, reason:
New Thread http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1691291/posts |
Posted on 08/27/2006 1:39:35 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Ernesto is rapidly intensifying to near hurricane strength, with heavy rains and flooding possible over much of Hispaniola. Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches...with possible isolated amounts of up to 20 inches...are expected over Haiti and the Dominican Republic. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for Jamaica. A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Cayman Islands. A tropical storm watch may be required for portions of the Florida Keys later today.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Ernesto Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 3 & 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data Caribbean Sea
Buoy Data Florida & Eastern GOM
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
"Off topic--FOX News reporting Centani and Olaf have been released."
Wonderful news! Hooraaaaaaaaaaay!!!
On that note, I have some busy work to do.
Requires flash player to view the animated swell map.
Thank you for the ping!
We need to keep an eye on this rascal.
LOL--not even close! My mother also uses dial-up. I have to downscale photos to very low resolution when I send them to her.
Oops, didn't realize there was a new thread already -- just left you a post on the old one, sorry!
Dialup... yeesh.
I'd go crazy if I had to return to it. Broadband for 7 years, woo!
The weather channel model that I saw just a little while ago was showing Ernesto could spread out clear to the La. coast as it gets closer to shore on Thursday. Did I read it wrong?
Our children live in the area and we are watching with baited breath.
"I was the only one one the planet that still used dial=up."
Don't feel alone -- I've been dialup my whole internet life, since the good ol' 2400bps days.
(okay - poverty keeps me here.. better 'n nuttin...)
You really need to upgrade. Once you go high speed you will never look back.
Broadban is not available to some parts of the country, even though they are a just outside large cities.
Thats my thoughts as well.
Good luck, our children live in your area. I worry, but so far so good.
First of all, any more, the Weather Channel is in the hurricane hype business. I would not be surprised if they were warning people in Seattle to keep tuning in to keep an eye on Ernesto.
Second, the latest NHC 5-day forecast puts the westernmost boundary of uncertainty at the FL-AL border, so Louisiana is west of that.
I would not worry about Ernesto impacting your children for now. That could change - 24 hours ago the 5-day had Ernesto's track as Katrina II, it could shift back. But the trend has been for the track to keep shifting eastward - recall that Rita's forecast track kept shifting north and east - it was at one point forecast to go into Matagorda Bay along the central Texas coast and ended up hitting the TX-LA border. It is my experience that once the forecast track starts to shift in a direction, it tends to keep shifting in that general direction, so the weather factors that are making the track shift eastward would have to reverse themselves to make it shift back towards Louisiana.
If anything, it looks like a trough will pull the system to the NE once it reaches 25N, wherever it happens to be at the time.
G'Nite, AM.
Wasn't that a song? The Admin Sleeps Tonight?
" The Admin Sleeps Tonight? "
'a-weem-a-wep, a-weem-a-wep'
That one??
And a bit more of a jog puts it north of Cuba. Very slight track movements now will have big impacts on the future track and intensity. I am holding onto hopes that this sucker never makes it into the Gulf.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.