Tropical Depression #5

[nwctwx]

SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 315 PM EDT WED AUG 16 2006

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS DEVELOPED A CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION...AND ADVISORIES ON EITHER A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM WILL BE INITIATED AT 5 PM AST. MAXIMUM WINDS AT THIS TIME APPEAR TO BE JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT STRONGER WINDS MAY BE OBSERVED PRIOR TO ADVISORY TIME.

$$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Brytani]

Grumble

[metmom]

Gotta love FR. Get the news before it hits wunderground. Thanks for the ping. That looks like one to watch.

[metmom]

Shhh! Don't give them any ideas. (as if they need any) I'm surprised they didn't raise gas prices just in case a hurricane hit.

[Guenevere]

oddball weather today ditto!!

[38special]

[Dog Gone]

It looks like the folks at Accuweather have weighed in.

[dawn53]

Thanks for the ping. Quite the thunderstorm we had this afternoon. My dogs hated it, LOL.

[nwctwx]

[RGVTx]

Nice picture! I just don't want to see that anytime soon on SPI...please, no! I'm looking at that same stretch of beach right now and it's mostly flat.

[dirtboy]

Map is now posted at wundergound:

Expect heavy breathing and sh**-eating grins over at the Weather Channel.

[blam]

Hurricane thread bump.

[CajunConservative]

Please NO on the Central GOM......

[Strategerist]

Expect heavy breathing and sh**-eating grins over at the Weather Channel.
Like they care - between "Storm Stories" and telling people what threadcount of sweater to wear when they go outdoors I doubt they have time to cover it.

[Clive]

000 WTNT35 KNHC 242051 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006 500 PM AST THU AUG 24 2006 ...FIFTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS FORMED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THOUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MARTINIQUE AND ABOUT 455 MILES...730 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...RAIN BANDS TRAILING THE CENTER WILL BE AFFECTING THE ISLANDS TONIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAINS AND WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...AS WELL AS IN TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO...SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...12.9 N...62.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/PASCH

[NautiNurse]

Very funny! Thanks for the chuckle!

[SheLion]

Thanks for the ping.

Do you think this will hit the states????

[NautiNurse]

TD #5 is much more of a threat to the U.S., and the GOM in particular, than Debby.

[CTGOPPER]

Bastardi reports that Saint Frances Prayer of Serenity being used with each recon report he sees. Let the hysteria begin.

[Dog Gone]

It looks like it will primarily be a threat to the western Gulf, anywhere from Mexico to perhaps Louisiana.

Way too early to know at this point with much certainty. It all depends on how firm the ridge over Texas holds.

I think it's safe to say it poses a threat to the states.

[NautiNurse]

We have a trip planned to Montana leaving on Aug 31. If this thing is bearing down on Houston I guess we will have to cancel.

Today is only Aug. 24th. Do like many Floridians--shutter up the home for storm season and get out of dodge for cooler weather. No need to cancel a spectacular trip to God's Country for a hurricane.