Lieberman and Lamont Tied in Connecticut (ARG Poll)

ARG ^ | 22 August 2006 | American Research Group

[okstate]

August 22, 2006

Lieberman and Lamont Tied in Connecticut

Joe Lieberman and Ned Lamont are in a statistical tie in the race for United States Senate in Connecticut according to the latest survey from the American Research Group. Among likely voters in November, 44% say they would vote for Lieberman, 42% say they would vote for Lamont, 3% say they would vote for Alan Schlesinger, and 11% are undecided.

Lieberman leads Lamont 57% to 18% among enrolled Republicans and 48% to 38% among unaffiliated (independent) voters. Lamont leads Lieberman 65% to 30% among enrolled Democrats.

A total of 56% of likely voters have a favorable opinion of Lieberman and 41% have an unfavorable opinion of Lieberman. A total of 47% of likely voters have a favorable opinion of Lamont and 34% have an unfavorable opinion of Lamont.

Overall, 9% of likely voters have favorable opinions of both Lieberman and Lamont. Of this group, Lieberman leads Lamont 68% to 32%. Of the remaining 91% of likely voters, Lieberman and Lamont are tied at 44% each. Also of the remaining 91% of likely voters, 46% have a favorable opinion of Lieberman and 51% have an unfavorable opinion of Lieberman, and 42% have a favorable opinion of Lamont and 40% have an unfavorable opinion of Lamont.

Of the 11% of likely voters undecided in the US Senate ballot, 57% have a favorable opinion of Lieberman and 43% have an unfavorable opinion of Lieberman, and 4% have a favorable opinion of Lamont, 41% have an unfavorable opinion of Lamont, and 55% are aware of Lamont but do not know enough about him to have an opinion.

The following results are based on 790 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in Connecticut. A total of 188 enrolled Republicans, 261 enrolled Democrats, and 341 unaffiliated voters were interviewed. Of the 790 likely voters, 600 say they always vote. The interviews were conducted August 17-21, 2006.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 790 likely voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 600 likely voters saying they always vote is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the general election for US Senate were being held today between Ned Lamont, the Democrat, Joe Lieberman, the independent, and Alan Schlesinger, the Republican, for whom would you vote? (names rotated)

CT US Senate	Lamont	Lieberman	Schlesinger	Undecided
Likely voters	42%	44%	3%	11%
Always vote	43%	47%	2%	8%
Republicans (24%)	18%	57%	11%	14%
Democrats (33%)	65%	30%	0%	5%
Unaffiliated (43%)	38%	48%	1%	13%

 

Which of the following names have you heard of in connection with running for US Senate in Connecticut? (names rotated)

Ned Lamont.

If aware, ask: Would you say that you have a favorable opinion of Ned Lamont, an unfavorable opinion of Ned Lamont, or that you are aware of Ned Lamont but have no opinion of him? 

Ned Lamont	Favorable	Unfavorable	Undecided	Unaware
Likely voters	47%	34%	19%	-
Republicans (24%)	25%	57%	18%	-
Democrats (33%)	68%	24%	8%	-
Unaffiliated (43%)	43%	29%	28%	-

 

Joe Lieberman.

If aware, ask: Would you say that you have a favorable opinion of Joe Lieberman, an unfavorable opinion of Joe Lieberman, or that you are aware of Joe Lieberman but have no opinion of him? 

Joe Lieberman	Favorable	Unfavorable	Undecided	Unaware
Likely voters	56%	41%	3%	-
Republicans (24%)	64%	36%	-	-
Democrats (33%)	30%	68%	2%	-
Unaffiliated (43%)	71%	24%	5%	-

 

Alan Schlesinger.

If aware, ask: Would you say that you have a favorable opinion of Alan Schlesinger, an unfavorable opinion of Alan Schlesinger, or that you are aware of Alan Schlesinger but have no opinion of him? 

Alan Schlesinger	Favorable	Unfavorable	Undecided	Unaware
Likely voters	5%	45%	36%	14%
Republicans (24%)	18%	54%	25%	4%
Democrats (33%)	3%	49%	35%	14%
Unaffiliated (43%)	0%	38%	43%	19%

 

[okstate]

ARG always leans Democratic but a Rasmussen poll released today shows Lieberman now up by only 3 points. Hang on, folks, Connecticut is gonna be a tight one!

[sully777]

Are they conservatives? No! Then I hope they both lose the general election.

[Uncledave]

Good, the tighter the better to drain more moonbat dollars. I want it to poll a dead-heat until the end, then Lieberman to win by 10.

[GeronL]

I don't know why... something smells wrong...

[Dominick]

Its Lieberman. A "phoney poll" tie goes to Lieberman.

Lamont hasn't opened his mouth enough yet to cost himself votes.

[A Balrog of Morgoth]

ARG always leans Democratic but a Rasmussen poll released today shows Lieberman now up by only 3 points. Hang on, folks, Connecticut is gonna be a tight one!



Excellent! I want a bloodbath, Smithers. Do you hear me? I want a bloodbath.

Is it too much to hope for that this thing goes to extra innings, with hanging chads, in November?

[gridlock]

3% for the Pubbie. That's pathetic.

Go JOE!

[Froufrou]

I agree. I've heard Hannity stating that Joe is all go. That Lamont hasn't a snowball's chance.

[USFRIENDINVICTORIA]

The punters at TradeSports.com still favour Liberman -- the latest prices:

Democrat -- 37.0
GOP -- 0.4
Any other (Lieberman) -- 61.0

Lieberman is down 5.5 and Lamont up 4.0 from yesterday -- so these polls have "moved the market".

[johnny7]

You ain't kiddin'...

[threeleftsmakearight]

Let's just get it out of the way right now; if Lieberman wins, I'll bet anyone any amount they can afford that the kooks will scream that Bush/Rove rigged the election.

[Sooth2222]

They were even money just last week.

I have also heard Lamont speak, and I don't think he has a chance unless they wire his jaws shut.

[ElkGroveDan]

Lieberman and Lamont Tied in Connecticut (ARG Poll)

The "ARG" poll? Was it taken by pirates?

[VictoryGal]

THANK you! :-)

I think it's a fool's errand to support Joemental. When the overwhelmingly blue Connecticut voters see Rs supporting him, they'll fly back to Lamont in droves.

What genius decided to abandon the the R candidate? We could have set up a sweet situation where the Dims battled it out and split the vote between them, while the GOP candidate sailed in under the radar.

Honestly, I don't know the so-called "strategists" are thinking sometimes. Don't we *want* a guy with (R) next to his name in the Senate seat, or do we want a super liberal (except for the WOT) in there with an (I) next to his name?

[threeleftsmakearight]

How would the (R) slip under the radar in such a blue state when the 2 liberals get at least 40% each?

[A Balrog of Morgoth]

The (R) has lost every race he's run in (IIRC), and has a gambling problem so serious that he got caught trying to gamble in casinos under an assumed name. Something to do with the minor matter of unresolved gambling debt.

The guy would be hardpressed to win an election where the voter pool was his immediate family.

[Dante3]

Can't the Republicans get somebody better? This would have been a good chance for them. It's never too late as was shown in NJ when the Dems pulled a last minute substitute.

[A Balrog of Morgoth]

I don't know. I just know we gots wh we gots.

I'll be satisfied with another two months of a Rat circular firing squad. A contested election result with recounts and lawsuits would be the cherry on top.

[ronnied]

lieberman has the dem money suppliers worried, i think they will do anything to keep lieberman from winning, my advice to joe, get bodyguards and stay away from ft. Marcy park...

[Paradox]

This is easy to explain. The Democrats have no principles. They HATE US, more than they love their own. Whats happening is that Democrats that know and like Lieberman, are going to abandon him now, all because WE PREFER him.

Yup, they're gonna throw him under the bus, cutting of their noses, so to speak.

A$$holes.