[dfwgator]

Democrats do great in polls when it's a "unnamed" Democrat, it's when they actually have to put the name on the ballot when they get into trouble.

[CWW]

The Dummies are just not credible on terrorism or foreign affairs.

And when John Q public starts paying attention, they are going to see the Ned Lamonts and Nancy Pelosi wing of the Dummycrap party.

[Proud_USA_Republican]

MSM will quitely go into panic spin mode from now on.

NY times email from the editors to staff writers today

"We must now raise our quotas on these:

1) More stories about how republicans are going to lose the elections to help discourage republican and swing voters from going to vote.
2) More negative stories about republicans.
3) More positive stories about democrats.
4) Triple the amount of positive stories on Hillary

[AuH2ORepublican]

Did the GOP pick up 7% in the generic congressional ballot in August 1974 to trail by only 2% before Labor Day? The latest generic congressional ballot looks almost exactly as it looked in August of 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002 and 2004. I think the *most likely* (albeit not certain) result of the House elections is somewhere between a net gain of 5 for the Democrats and a net gain of 2 for the GOP, and in Senate elections between a net gain of 2 for the Democrats and a net gain of 1 for the GOP.

[GOPJ]

This happens every election - we hear "the dems are winning - their numbers are up Waaaaaaaaaaaay Up -- It's OVER for Republicans... Then the closer the election comes, the more the pollsters have to "get real" and the numbers get closer and closer, and in the only poll that counts - the election - we win.

I'm not saying this routine is getting old... Well, yeah, I guess I am saying that...

[Katya]

I'm not surprised...also the polls while showing that the public wanted incumbants to lose...didn't translate to their own district...where they usually supported their own rep. I don't see any sea of change shift in general.

[ProudCopperhead]

This should be a good time to ride a little wave of momentum and shake loose some fresh bucks for Rightroots and other conservative PACs and candidates.

[GOPJ]

bump

[RinaseaofDs]

I think Lieberman's primary defeat has a lot to do with this. As a party, you can't nominate someone to be Vice President, and then two years later fire him without exposing yourself to be insane.

[TexasPatriot8]

But but!!! But... the Democrats are supposed to win the House and Senate back!!! What the!!! :) Uh huh. Quiet, everyone hear that? That's the sound of the rubber meeting the road. Reality cometh. Get the champaign ready. :)

[NeoCaveman]

I just saw gas for $2.59, that's got to help a lot.

[Revenge of Sith]

Most of the people polled will probably vote to re-elect their own congressman.

[letsgonova19087]

This looks like this could be the beginning of a domino effect that will culminate in a GOP win in '08. The Democrats have no choice but to attack Bush on his core issue, security, but their base refuses to acknowledge that there is even a need for said security. Either they try to make their way towards the center, advocating a strong anti-terrorism policy coupled with otherwise liberal policies and completely lose the base, or they try to appease the base by attacking Bush and coming out looking weak on security.

The Lamont win showed which path they took, and mark my words, come November, they will regret it.

[kittymyrib]

Uh-oh...this means another push for the right for felons to vote, a big voter registration drive for "immigrants" who unfortunately can't read or write, and more griping about touch-screen voting machines (dead people find that difficult).

[TASMANIANRED]

You can only pretend for short periods that the world is not dangerous.

[SmoothTalker]

These polls mean nothing unless our election system switches and we have nationwide elections instead of district by district elections. The Democrats could win more votes and end up with fewer seats. Heck they have polled more votes in the last three senate cycles and still have a ten vote defecit.

[BlueNgold]

If I'm not mistaken the raw aggregates need to be somewhere in the >=59% for the Dems to be able to take the house...

Anything close in raw polling generally favors the GOP due to the high concentration of liberals in the large cities and the Gerrymanding that ran rampant in the 70s and 80s.

This is just random notes from the back of my brain, someone more in touch with the science of elections can feel free to correct me.

[SunkenCiv]

sorocrats -- my favorite recent keyword on FR (thanks to whomever originated it)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=sorocrats

[george wythe]

The Dems peaked too early, assuming the previous polls were correct

[DesScorp]

Two reasons why the GOP will hold both houses:

1- Even though Americans haven't been happy with the GOP, they still don't trust the Democrats to run things, especially on national security.

2- As much as Iraq is unpopular right now, Americans know the Dems would pursue the infamous cut and run policy, leading to an Arabic Saigon, which would then mean it would be open season on US interests around the world. Like the Russians before them, nothing encourages Arabs and Islamofacists so much as percieved weakness.