Shocker: Democrat lead in US House race drops to only two points (the worm is turning Smithers)

Human Events ^ | 8/22/06 | Election Dog

[teddyballgame]

And just as I reported earlier today on the problems with the Gallup poll and other surveys showing a bias for Democrats, the Gallup poll suddenly reports a dramatic drop in the Democrat lead in the US House race to only two points.

In a poll taken over the weekend, the poll of registered voters shows that Democrats now lead only 47%-45% which is down from a nine percentage point lead earlier in August. This is well within the poll's margin of error (+-4%) so the race is essentially even. It is the best showing for Republicans in this poll since just before the 2004 November election when Democrats were ahead by four points among registered voters, but Republicans still won the popular U.S. vote and a 232-203 lead in House seats.

According to the poll, the sudden focus on the war on terror has greatly helped the GOP. The poll states that "President Bush's approval rating has topped 40% for the first time since February...Behind the movements: In the wake of the terror plot that British authorities say they broke up, Bush seems to have gotten a boost. Some of that may have reflected positively on Republican candidates as well.

[crosslink]

I am sure this will lead all of the news programs tonight.( NOT)

[Coop]

I was just laughing about this on another thread. I'll add a point. This closure can't simply be attributed to a bounce from the London airline plot. It's been a steady trend for the past two months.

[RexBeach]

The numbers are increasing at Tradesports.com as well for continued GOP control of the House.

[Savage Beast]

In such dangerous times, the American people are not about to entrust national security--or anything else of value--to that bunch of sociopaths and morons known as The Democrat Party.

[ModelBreaker]

When we are only behind by two points in the generic congressional poll, we win congress, decisively.

[Lonesome in Massachussets]

Did Rove send Lamont flowers yet?

[A Balrog of Morgoth]

When we are only behind by two points in the generic congressional poll, we win congress, decisively.

Indeed

[Coop]

Link to table showing the trend

[The G Man]

[chimera]

Control of the House is crucial for the GOP agenda. The national party apparatus must know this and put as much as they can into winning these races. The country can't afford to have clowns like Nancy Pelosi as the Speaker of the House (arrghhh) and Charles Rangel heading up key committees.

[rwfromkansas]

I was rather worried about this election, but if we are only behind 2 points in the generic, we will probably win.

We will see how it is closer to November. This could be GOP-oversampled or something.

[rhombus]

Time for the Dems to roll out another scandal. Where are those hurricanes?

[Waco]

What? The"open borders" RATS is slipping? Shazam Barney!!

[reagan_fanatic]

LOL

[Preachin']

"When we are only behind by two points in the generic congressional poll, we win congress, decisively."

I agree.

I think the democrats messed up big time by not standing behind Lieberman.

That will come back to haunt them.

[Dutch Boy]

I was talking with a lib friend at work about Lamont. He was sure Lamont would win by 75 to 80 percent of the vote in the general election. I showed him a current poll with Lieberman in a double digit lead. I think I saw a little tear forming in his eye.

[JasonC]

Notice, "registered voters". In "likely voters", Republicans always pick up 2-3%. It is a built in bias.

[teddyballgame]

All this - BEFORE Labor Day.

[boomop1]

No one wants to have those maggots to have control of congress, we don't have much, wimpy pubies but better then communist.