Posted on 08/21/2006 3:04:55 PM PDT by DallasJ7
In an election for the United States Senate in Virginia today, 8/21/06, incumbent Republican George Allen edges Democrat challenger James Webb 48% to 45%, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for W*USA-TV in Washington, DC.
Since an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6/28/06, Allen has lost 8 points and Webb has gained 8 points. Allen's lead has shrunk from 19 points to 3 points.
Interviewing for this poll began 8/18/06, one week after Allen singled out a Webb campaign worker at an Allen rally. Allen has lost support across all demographic groups, but in particular, among younger voters. He has gone from Plus 23 to Minus 17, a swing of 40 points. In Southeastern VA, Allen has gone from a 2:1 lead to a tie, a 31-point swing.
Those who support Ballot Question 1, defining marriage in Virginia as between one man and one woman, vote for Allen by 39 points. Those who oppose Question 1 vote for Webb by 64 points. The election is in 11 weeks, on 11/7/06.
The Republicans have a 10-seat majority in the U.S. Senate. Allen's seat had been considered safely Republican, and Allen himself had been widely considered to be a Republican candidate for President of the United States in 2008.
Marriage Amendment Passes 2:1. In an election in Virginia today, 8/21/06, Question 1, which amends the Virginia Bill of Rights to define marriage in Virginia as between one man and one woman, passes with 65% "Yes" to 34% "No", according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for W*USA-TV Washington DC. Republicans support the Amendment 8:1. Democrats oppose the Amendment 5:4. Independents support it 3:2. 92% of Conservatives vote "Yes." 29% of Liberals vote "Yes." Those who approve of President Bush's job performance support the Amendment 9:1. Those who disapprove of Bush oppose the Amendment. The Amendment is supported by 89% of Allen voters but by only 39% of Webb voters.
The following is the result of what 567 "likely voters" said they would vote:
If the election for United States Senator were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican George Allen? Democrat Jim Webb? Independent Green Gail Parker Or some other candidate?
48% Allen (R)
45% Webb (D)
2% Parker (IG)
5% Undecided
Question 1 amends the Virginia Bill of Rights to say the following: that only a union between one man and one woman may be a marriage valid in or recognized by this Commonwealth and its political subdivisions. In an election today, would you vote yes or no on Question 1?
65% Yes
34% No
1% Undecided
A blip due to bad press, or has Allen's big mouth put yet another Republican Senate seat in serious jeopardy? Stay tuned.
He certainly put an end to any talk of him running for President.
All will be forgotten by the time 2008 rolls around.
I read elsewhere that the DNC decided to take a pass on this contest and would not be funding Webb.
If they change their mind, we'll know the polls are showing Allen slipping are real.
Not if Allen loses.
Those polls are a buncha MACACA!!!!!
One gaffe by itself doesn't finish him, but it does suggest that he isn't ready for primetime.
He's not going to lose.
Dumb-a$$...
These polls are garbage at this point in time. In a month, the phony/hyped bad press will have fizzed out.
I hopeyou are right, but won't count on it. Allen had this seat won, but the press couldn't handle that, so made a big deal over the macaca business. Allen and his campaign didn't respond properly, either. With his background, even I don't buy that he didn't know what the word meant and how it was used ... if he were smart he'd have said that was what his mother always called him as a kid who kept bugging her.
I agree.
Probably locked up 2008 for McCain.
Crimson, and knocks him out as a VP candidate also. But in reality after Allen is reelected he will serve out his 6 year term. If he ran in 2008 and won we would lose his Senate seat due to DEM governor Kaine. Did'nt Jim WEBB make some crude Jewish jokes to his primary opponent Harris Miller also???
And somebody needs to tell him to shave those G-D mini-sideburns he's sporting. Everytime I see them I wince. Just what's he trying to prove? That he's "hip"? *Sigh*
If Allen goes down the tubes, I am on board the Rudy wagon (assuming he runs). National Security is the overarching issue of our generation and we simply cannot afford to leave that in the hands of an appeasing, defeatist 'Rat.
The liberal media has regained control of all the peoples' information sources.
We're just sheep again.
Let's hope he can win the Senate.
Give it another week, it will work out.
Plus, this is a SUSA poll.
Its not every day that you have a national publication run two attack stories on a candidate. I havent seen the compost run any such stories on Web and his buddies.
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