[AntiGuv]

I know; I read that part too. That's why I moved it to the low end of Toss Up instead of to Lean D. Here's the actual poll, BTW: Poll shows Congressman Taylor behind in race for US House. I don't see any obvious push myself. All the rest of the figures, including party self-ID (44% R to 37% D) look right to me for this district.

[Torie]

I think you put it in the right spot.

[Torie]

It is a push poll because of all of those policy questions that were asked before asking for preferences in the Taylor race. That is naughty.

[Kuksool]

It would have been a lot easier if Taylor just retired.

In 2008, Billybob may get his chance at Congress.

[Congressman Billybob]

Actually, the party self-ID in the NC 11th District in the poll you cited, is bady skewed. By registration, the Democrats have a 2% lead. The District normally votes conservative because of the large number of Zell Miller Democrats, here.

Had the sample been more like the District, the news for the 16-year incumbent would have been even worse.

The Democrat, Shuler, is running as "a conservative." But when you look at his money and his campaign advisors, they are the usual aggregation of unions and leftwing advisors.

P.S. New info. My primary is over, but because of legal and ethical problems, the incumbent may withdraw/be forced out. He is also losing in the latest poll (5/28) to the Democrat challenger. I seek to be the replacement nominee. For more information see my website. I still need your help.

Congressman Billybob

Latest article: "Ray Nagin -- 'Good and Hard' "

[Congressman Billybob]

Actually, the party self-ID in the NC 11th District in the poll you cited, is bady skewed. By registration, the Democrats have a 2% lead. The District normally votes conservative because of the large number of Zell Miller Democrats, here.

Had the sample been more like the District, the news for the 16-year incumbent would have been even worse.

The Democrat, Shuler, is running as "a conservative." But when you look at his money and his campaign advisors, they are the usual aggregation of unions and leftwing advisors.

P.S. New info. My primary is over, but because of legal and ethical problems, the incumbent may withdraw/be forced out. He is also losing in the latest poll (5/28) to the Democrat challenger. I seek to be the replacement nominee. For more information see my website. I still need your help.

Congressman Billybob

Latest article: "Ray Nagin -- 'Good and Hard' "