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Melting ice sheets could spur oceans' rise
Reuters ^ | 03.23.06 | Deborah Zabarenko

Posted on 03/24/2006 8:24:22 AM PST by Dr. Marten

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Miami would be a memory, Bangkok a soggy shadow of its former self and the Maldive Islands would vanish if melting polar ice keeps fueling a faster-than-expected rise in sea levels, scientists reported on Thursday.

In an issue of the journal Science focusing on global warming, climate scientist Jonathan Overpeck of the University of Arizona reported that if global trends continue, Earth could ultimately see sea levels 20 feet higher than they are now.

By the end of this century, Earth would be at least 4 degrees F (2.3 degrees C) warmer than now, or about as hot as it was nearly 130,000 years ago.

Back then, significant portions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets melted, pushing the global sea levels to about 20 feet higher than current levels.

A similarly dramatic, and in some cases catastrophic, rise in ocean levels could happen by the year 2500, Overpeck said in a telephone interview, but he noted it could come sooner.

"We know when the sea level was that high in the past, and we know how much warming is necessary to get that amount of sea level rise from both Greenland and Antarctica," Overpeck said.

The Earth will get that hot sometime early in the second half of this century, he said, and once it does, the big ice sheets will start melting "in a more dramatic manner" than they currently are.

A conservative estimate would call for sea level rises of 3 feet (1 meter) per century, he said.

He cautioned, however, that this estimate assumes the Earth will get only as hot as it did 130,000 years ago when the ice sheets melted.

"If we decide to keep on the track we're on now and just keep on warming, because of greenhouse gas pollution, then we could easily cook those ice sheets more rapidly," Overpeck said.

The earlier ice melt was concentrated in the Northern Hemisphere in the summer months, and was due largely to changes in Earth's orbit, he said.

"The climate warming we're in now is global and it's year-round and it's due to human influences on the climate system," he said. "That will be more damaging to the ice sheets than the that warming we had 130,000 years ago."

The ice sheets are already melting, accelerated by relatively warm water that eats away at them, said NASA glacier expert Bob Bindschadler.

"It's not really a debate any more about whether sea level is rising or not. I think the debate has shifted to, how rapidly is sea level rising," Bindschadler said in a telephone briefing.

Overpeck's Web site -- http://www.geo.arizona.edu/dgesl/ -- offers dynamic maps of the projected results of the rise in sea levels.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climate; globalwarming; godsgravesglyphs
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The Horse's Mouth
1 posted on 03/24/2006 8:24:24 AM PST by Dr. Marten
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To: Dr. Marten

So obviously global warming is not an effect brought on by mankind alone as liberals would like to have you believe. It is a cyclical event which mankind contributes to, but not the cause of.


2 posted on 03/24/2006 8:25:51 AM PST by Dr. Marten ((http://thehorsesmouth.blog-city.com))
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To: Dr. Marten

Yeah, today it was warmer than yesterday, which was warmer than Wednesday. By December, it will be 90F here.


3 posted on 03/24/2006 8:29:07 AM PST by expatpat
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To: Dr. Marten

This article has been printed somewhere on earth everyday since 1996.


4 posted on 03/24/2006 8:30:11 AM PST by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Dr. Marten

Early man survived the Ice Age. Perhap we'll survive this.

Darn, looks like all the Libs will be moving to Midwest.


5 posted on 03/24/2006 8:30:27 AM PST by rightinthemiddle (Islamic Terrorists, the Mainstream Media and the Democrat Party Have the Same Goals in Iraq.)
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To: Dr. Marten

Excellent..excellent..BWAAAHAAAA...

6 posted on 03/24/2006 8:30:41 AM PST by BerniesFriend
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To: Dr. Marten
Melting ice sheets could spur oceans' rise

Or, not.

7 posted on 03/24/2006 8:31:19 AM PST by SuzyQue
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To: Dr. Marten
Miami would be a memory

What's the bad news?
8 posted on 03/24/2006 8:31:55 AM PST by HEY4QDEMS (Remember 9/11. The left have already forgotten.)
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To: Dr. Marten

Well, you know, Doc, no matter how your slice this story, I reckon we're all doomed. Yup.

Notice, please, how the author refers to the Falklands as the Maldive Islands? That's mighty strange, dontcha think?


9 posted on 03/24/2006 8:32:31 AM PST by RexBeach ("There is no substitute for victory." -Douglas MacArthur)
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To: RexBeach
Well, you know, Doc, no matter how your slice this story, I reckon we're all doomed. Yup.

And it's BUSH'S FAULT!

10 posted on 03/24/2006 8:33:24 AM PST by freedumb2003 (Diplomacy is what you do after you kick the enemy's ass and define their lives afterward)
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To: Dr. Marten

Well, you know, Doc, no matter how your slice this story, I reckon we're all doomed. Yup.

Notice, please, how the author refers to the Falklands as the Maldive Islands? That's mighty strange, dontcha think?


11 posted on 03/24/2006 8:33:40 AM PST by RexBeach ("There is no substitute for victory." -Douglas MacArthur)
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To: RexBeach

Either my computer is mighty slow this day or the website is. Sorry for the multiple postings!


12 posted on 03/24/2006 8:34:27 AM PST by RexBeach ("There is no substitute for victory." -Douglas MacArthur)
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To: Dr. Marten
Right!!!! They are standing too close to the elephant. they need to step back and see the cycles for what they really are......real big.

The amount of carbon in the atmosphere was higher back 130,000 years ago. Today it is sequestered in fossil fuels which it is our job to burn and release back into the atmosphere where it can be recycled by plants into sugars and down the line. The Earth was a tropical place.

So what caused it to chill.... We know all this because carbon dioxide is a limiting factor in plant growth. Plants would not have evolved to the point that we see them today if CO2 were in short supply back then. CO2 is the main ingredient in plant growth.
13 posted on 03/24/2006 8:34:37 AM PST by Battle Axe (Repent for the coming of the Lord is nigh!)
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To: freedumb2003

I finally figured it out.

Land ice, when melted will cause flooding. ocean ice already has its mass displaced so it won't cause a rise in the ocean.

Ok, I am clear on that. Now someone has to explain to me that if we are going through a period of global warming due to corporations polluting the environment, if they stop, will it cause global cooling which will also kill us?


14 posted on 03/24/2006 8:36:03 AM PST by EQAndyBuzz (To Serve Man......It's a cookbook!)
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To: Dr. Marten
I think the debate has shifted to, how rapidly is sea level rising

Well, I think it hasn't.

15 posted on 03/24/2006 8:36:35 AM PST by sionnsar (†trad-anglican.faithweb.com† | Libs: Celebrate MY diversity! | Iran Azadi 2006)
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To: HEY4QDEMS
Miami would be a memory

What's the bad news?
Cubans would have further to swim?

16 posted on 03/24/2006 8:38:47 AM PST by Dr. Marten ((http://thehorsesmouth.blog-city.com))
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To: Dr. Marten
Miami would be a memory, Bangkok a soggy shadow of its former self and the Maldive Islands would vanish if melting polar ice keeps fueling a faster-than-expected rise in sea levels, scientists reported on Thursday.

And huge swaths of prairie would become habitable in Asia and North America. Its a good bargain.

I suggest people add four inches to the level of their building pads in Florida, sometime over the next century or two, and stop worrying about it. Or invest in Yellowknife real estate opportunities. Do it now, before it thaws.

17 posted on 03/24/2006 8:42:44 AM PST by marron
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To: Dr. Marten

Would New Orleans finally be submerged??? There could be SOME good in all this.....apologies to freepers from N'O.


18 posted on 03/24/2006 8:43:37 AM PST by goodnesswins ( "the left can only take power through deception." (and it seems Hillary & Company are the masters)
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To: Battle Axe
Notice, please, how the author refers to the Falklands as the Maldive Islands? That's mighty strange, dontcha think?
That one actually slipped right by me, but perhaps he was confused with the South American Islands known as Islas Malvinas? (Falklands)

19 posted on 03/24/2006 8:44:41 AM PST by Dr. Marten ((http://thehorsesmouth.blog-city.com))
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To: marron

Maybe the ocean level won't rise at all, maybe arrid parts of the earth will absorb the water. Who knows maybe the sahara desert will become a jungle!


20 posted on 03/24/2006 8:46:38 AM PST by Rodm (Seest thou a man diligent in his business? He shall stand before kings)
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