Russia would have to in that case presume America would fight wars as stupidly as Russia did (Not to mention have their own mafia selling weapons to their enemies).
Half the reason Russia did so poorly in Chechnya and Afghanistan is their own mafia arming to forces of the enemy.
Whose to say Iraq and Iran wont be for us.
And before I get lots of irate freepers flaming me.
Its not over yet and we are no where near a stable Iraq, I wont say it cant happen but we have some distance to go and a lot can happen before then.