Posted on 02/21/2006 11:41:27 PM PST by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle
A few words on the Dubai Ports World imbroglio, written without pause or editing, which is probably just as well. Short version: the administration may have thought it was helping a Valuable Ally and probably a pal, end of story. But it plays like Bush defending eminent domain to condemn a neighborhood to build a mosque.
I dont make predictions, because well, who cares? You either repeat the conventional wisdom and hide with the herd when youre wrong, or buck the prevailing opinions and get a reputation as a maverick when youre wrong, again. Works for some. But if I had to make a prediction, Id say this: the Dubai-ports fracas will become a flap, quickly swell into a firestorm, then become a debacle before settling into the history books as a historic miscalculation providing the Republicans only lose the Congress. If they lose a city, it will be a critical turning point.
Do I expect the managers of the ports to start installing Al Qaeda operatives in key positions, so they can wave through all the containers with small nukes for national distribution? No. But such a scenario does not exact tax the imagination, which is why its such a stupendously bad idea.
Its remarkably tone deaf. Its possible that the Administration did some quiet polling, and asked the question How much Arab control over American ports are you comfortable with, and misinterpreted stunned silence as assent. Its possible the Administration believed that this would be seen as outreach, an act of faith to solidify a Key Ally, and didnt think thered be much hubbub but if thats the case, its the best example of the Bubble Theory Ive heard, and Ive not heard much convincing evidence. Until now. The average Americans reaction to handing port control over to the UAE is instinctively negative, and for good reason. There are two basic reactions: We cant do this ourselves? and We should trust them, why?
As for the first, the assertion that American firms were the lower bidder is unpersuasive, rather like saying that we should have outsourced the flight crew for the Enola Gay to Japanese nationals because they knew the terrain better. As for the trust issue, well, wanting port control to remain in American hands is not a matter of Arabiaphobia, any more than selling Boeing to China means you harbor deep hatred of Asians. Some things ought to be left in local hands. It seems absurd to have to make that argument in the first place. The UAE is not exactly stuffed stem to stern with pro-American individuals; the idea that the emirs will stand foursquare against infiltration by those who have ulterior motives is the sort of wishful thinking that makes buildings fall and cities empty. Im not worried that some evil emir is putting a pinky to his monocled eye, and saying Mwah! at last I have them where I want them! Im worried about the guy whos three steps down the management branch handing off a job to a brother who trusts some guys who have some sympathies with some guys who hang around some rather energetic fellows who attend that one mosque where the guy talks about jihad 24/7, and somehow someone gets a job somewhere that makes it easier for something to happen.
Thats a lot of ifs and maybes. But I dont want any ifs and maybes. You can't eliminate them all, of course, but I would rather we had a system devoted to worrying about ifs and maybes instead of adopting an official policy of Whatever.
Were told were at war, and we reach back for the wartime memories we all saw in the movies and read in the novels: Yanks walking along fences with a dog, rifle on the shoulder, searchlight playing on the ground, stealthy foes ever at the perimeter. It was never that tight, of course; it was never that dramatic. But there were the constant imprecations to be vigilant, because peril lurked. That would have been undercut, perhaps, if the Roosevelt Administration had given port control to Franco.
Well, not the best analogy, perhaps. But the specifics dont matter; arguments about the specific nature of the Dubai Ports World organizations global reach and responsible track records dont matter. Because it feels immediately, instinctively wrong to nearly every American, and that isnt something that can be argued away with charts or glossy brochures. It just doesnt sit well. Period. Its one thing for an Administration to misjudge how a particular decision will be received; its another entirely to misjudge an issue that cuts to the core of the Administrations core strength. Thats where you slap yourself on the forehead in the style of those lamenting the failure to request a V-8 in a timely fashion. Doesnt matter whether it was a deal struck between the previous administrators and the UAE; thats not how the issue will be seen. And it certainly doesnt matter once the President gets all stern on the topic and insists hell veto any attempt to keep the deal from going through. At that point, millions of previously resolute supporters stand there with their mouths open, uttering a soft confused moan of disbelief.
On the good side: were probably done with Shotgungate, and the DailyKos people will start getting worried about dirty nukes smuggled in through the ports. On the dark side, for conservatives: woot, there it is the politically inept, base-confounding, intuitively indefensible decision. Oh, it may be the right thing to do, in the end. Maybe youre overreacting. Wait, study, read, reflect. But hope you dont have to go on a cable show and defend it, because youd feel greasy.
Advice to the administration: If youre going to shoot yourself in the foot, dont use a bazooka. You may aim for the pinky toe but theres nothing left below the hip. The recoil should not be your first clue you grabbed the wrong gun.
here's a really relevent article exerpt from MM: (and MUST READ also Kathleen Parker's most recent 'death wish' analysis of GB)here's Michelle Malkin:
"Make no mistake. I stand with critics on both sides of the aisle who want to stop the secretive deal transferring operations of our ports to the UAE a Middle Eastern government with a spotty record of fighting terrorist plots and terrorist financing. The issue is not whether day-to-day, on-the-ground conditions at the ports would change. The issues are whether we should grant the demonstrably unreliable UAE access to sensitive information and management plans about our key U.S ports, which are plenty insecure enough without adding new risks, and whether the decision process was thorough and free from conflicts of interest.
From every angle political, safety, and sovereignty-wise--Dubai Ports World's business transaction (made possible by an unprecedented $3.5 billion Islamic financing instrument called a "sukuk" that upholds sharia law) looks bad and smells worse."
And they would do this because...?
They have purchased the British company that already has the contract for the 6 ports. I, too would vote for Haliburton.
Because the contracts are OWNED by a British firm and no American company wanted the contracts at their sale price?
Yep.
I guess the same FReepers who were against Federalizing the airport now want us to Federalize the ports.
Yes, it is interesting that so many don't seem to know that it is owned by a British company now... That is hasn't been under American ownership. The simple fact is, no American company wanted it for the asking price.
And they would do this because...?
Same "reason" as last time out, most likely.
You haven't read yet that no American company bid for the business?
Sorry but I will trust the judgement of a President who has killed more islamofascists than all Presidents combined, than a keyboard commando who imagines he kills them with keyboard strokes.
I am sensing that many/most responsible Americans of both political parties, and many FReepers, are looking closely at this proposed "deal" and finding it wanting for whatever reason. I really believe that most Americans want NOT to "federalize" the six ports, but to Americanize them.
However, please take a look at the post by pickrell at 9:45 on the 21st(last evening). It might well be relevant.
(Denny Crane: "I Don't Want To Socialize With A Pinko Liberal Democrat Commie. Say What You Like About Republicans. We Stick To Our Convictions. Even When We Know We're Dead Wrong.")
Hooboy.
Who ever thought that Hillary's political Tin Ear was communicible?
President Bush MAY be absolutely right on this, or maybe it is another strategery that is beyond my grasp... But given the entire political and social situation in the USA, it was a totally foolish move, at least the way it was done. WORSE than Harriet Miers.
Generally, (other than border security) I WANT to give President Bush the benefit of the doubt... But the fact that Jimmy Carter is about the only other person 'with a name' who thinks that it is a good idea should send up warning flags to everyone who has any more than half a functioning brain cell.
And the fact that President Bush, who NEVER has felt the need to veto any bill that has been sent to him, finds this the only thing important enough to veto really bothers me too. Why is this more important than something like Constitutional issues like the stifled 'free speech' through McCain Finegold?
I can see just about everyones points on this; except that I don't see this as racism. That they are Arabs doesn't bother me. That they (from the CEO down to the janitor) MAY be Muslims who believe literally and totally in a Quran which demands that people be converted or subjugated to mohammedism or killed violently DOES worry me.
Even if no one in the UAE company will be directly involved in port security, they will still be briefed or be able to closely observe security operations. And even if they personally are good guys, no telling who they will talk to; They will have family back in sandy places who may be threatened if they don't cooperate with terrorists.
All I know for sure is that this is a funny thing for President Bush to 'draw a line in the sand' over.
I'm against it, barring further information... If it is some sort of grand strategery that will benefit Americans, well, I guess that I and the other reasonable people who oppose it will have to be embarassed by failing to trust President Bush's grand plan.
But in the mean time, better safe than sorry, I say.
And if it is strategery that can't be made public, then President Bush has to 'toss the dice' and suffer the short term political fallout if it is the right thing to do, and hope that we don't have any real fallout in either the short term or the long them because of it.
... ummmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm... yeah. Yeah. That's what Lileks was claiming, all right.
Yooouuuuuuuuuuuuu betcha.
Just a question for all the naysaying "know it all" pundits such as lileks and malkin.
How many islamofascists have they killed pontificating from behind their keyboards.
read this:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1583271/posts
also, I agree with the blog you referred in one sense: I don't think that the Arabs should be involved in transportation either. We have out-sourced our own security, and the Arabs haven't been sleeping as we have. They've been plotting for years, putting all the pieces in place, and are a very patient people. We're idiots.
Lather. Rinse. Repeat.
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