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Twenty five reasons why Democrats have no chance in 2006
various | January 30, 2006 | self

Posted on 01/30/2006 5:26:09 AM PST by jmaroneps37

Every even year since 1996, the political “experts” tell us the Democrats will win back the House. While these people are both boring and annoying they do have to be answered. Here’s a formidable list of problems the minority party will have to overcome to win in November.

1Corinthians Ch 7: 29, 31.

"I tell you, brothers, the time is running out........... For the world in its present form is passing away."

1) America self identifies 35% to 18% conservative over liberal. Voters see the Democrats as socialists and reject their ideas.

2) Florida’s demographics

The Florida State Republican Party’s report for 2005 included these points: the party collected $12 million last year - almost three times as much money as the Florida Democratic Party.

Of much more importance, it said more than 50,000 voters registered as Republicans, compared with a gain of only 3,640 new Democrats.

This is what happens when 1100 new people a day come to Florida. They are not going to Florida to vote Democrat, and by November there will be another 300,000 new people in the Sunshine State. That would mean another 50,000 new Republican voters. People don’t move to a new area, take the time and effort to register, and then stay home on Election Day. This will get us even more seats in Florida including the Senate seat. This is a peek into the future of other growing Red states.

3) The war in Iraq is not the quagmire the black table -phone media and the Democrats have spent the last three years telling us it is. Americans know this and have stop responding to these lies half truths and distortions.

4) Big Labor’s pull back from the Democrats will hurt them. In some races it will be the difference, no matter how the old media will try to spin it.

5) Howard Dean has crossed the line from “not helpful” to hurtful.

His antics will continue to drive people away. This is why we ended 2005 up 2 to 1 in money raised so far this year.

6) No voter fraud means trouble in many locations for Democrats

7) The loss of Louisiana after the investigation

8) The conservative blogosphere: 527 times stronger

The black table- phone media’s rathered evidence doesn’t go unchallenged any longer.

9) Blacks are slowly leaving the Democrats

The Democrats have no margin for shrinkage of the Black vote. If Republicans start to regularly get only 15% of Blacks, Democrats can’t win in many places. Already 1/3 of Blacks under 35 self identify as Republicans. In 2004 President Bush got 17% of the Black vote in Ohio. That means Blacks actually reelected Bush.

10) Democrats have come to rely on liars who give them phony poll information.

Zogby on Election Day 2004, comes to mind, so does Pew.

11) Redistricting make the numbers impossible

The effects of Republican controlled re-districting has resulted in a condition where only 20 or so House seats can be called "competitive" By any measure, however, there are 2 Democrats at a disadvantage for every Republican at a disadvantage. Current conditions put some Congressional Democrats in clear inescapable danger. John Barrow 12th Georgia, Charlie Melancon 3rd Louisiana, Chet Edwards 17th Texas Melissa Bean 8th Ill., come to mind.

12) Doom and gloom, rooting for the terrorists, doesn’t sell very well

With no escape strategy in hand, Democrats are rumbling toward the November elections as the American Al Qaeda Party. The things Democrats have said are very toxic to good politics. Even if they shut up this very day, their words would still be burning coals destroying the minority party’s chances for victory in 2006.

13) Scandals can carry you just so far

There is a theory in Behavioral Science that holds that “When the stimulus is constant, it disappears.” We saw this in the Clinton years. Scandal after true and real scandal tumbled out of the Whitehouse, but nothing much came from them. He beat impeachment and gave us the finger by selling pardons as he walked out the door, still in office.

14) America knows and understands the Democrats stand for:

Your 13year old daughter can have an abortion without telling you;

Two queers (their word not mine) “marrying” is a healthy alternate lifestyle;

America is a force for evil in the world;

An American defeat in Iraq would be a good thing;

America is always wrong. Europe is superior to America;

We should cut and run in a quick surrender in Iraq;

Hollywood values are American values;

Voters are stupid and liberal activist judges know better;

Patriotism is child like and corny;

School prayer was the cause of problems in our government schools;

All money belongs to Washington;

15) Evangelicals are in the game to stay

Another problem for the Democrats is the Christian mega church movement. The Evangelical Christian has become the GOP’s Black voter. They were a very powerful force in 2004. They will be again in November.

16) Banning guns still won’t win elections

The Democrat’s anti gun positions have helped the Republicans gain and hold seats and states. Their gun grabbing intentions gave us West Virginia, and helped us keep Arkansas and Tennessee. The tilt of West Virginia went from Bush +5 in 2000 to Bush +14 in 2004. No matter what the “experts” say this threatens Sen. Robert Byrd’s seat. Democrats will still be forced to lie about their real positions on guns or face defeat. The joke here is that the Democrats will have to put up genuine 2nd Amendment supporters in some places, then if they elect him, they’ll have to worry that he might flip parties. It happens.

17) Cindy Sheehan is the crazy cat woman from the Simpson’s

Cindy Sheehan has become a real embarrassment to the Democrats. Nevertheless, they won’t disavow her because they hate Bush as much as she does. She is saying what they think. That it hurts them with voters is secondary.

18) Queers (that’s their word not mine) marrying? No thanks.

In 2004, all eleven state level efforts to further the cause of queer (their word not mine) “marriage” went down to defeat. The Democrats are “married” to gay marriage. It hurt them last time, and it will continue to hurt them as long as they hold on to this destructive idea.

19) The candidate Gap

America’s continued roll to the right has brought the GOP to a position of dominance in the pool of potential candidates. Our bench is deeper.

Because of this advantage, Republican “down ballot” candidates are defeating Democrats, sometimes in surprising places. These defeats add up. They mean fewer new Democrat faces ready to step up to run for higher office.

This shallow bench problem has lead the Democrats to run people like Paul Hackett, a fraud who called President Bush an S.O.B. in Washington and ran commercials at home featuring Mr. Bush as if he were a Hackett supporter. Not once in his campaign, did Hackett mention he was a Democrat.

In a recent special election in Virginia, a state known as friendly territory for the military, the Democrats tried their “Democrats in uniform” strategy again. Again they had a candidate that wanted to talk only about his being an Army Ranger who served in Desert Storm. Again he avoided mentioning that he was a Democrat. Again the minority party lost.

20) The message Gap

After every losing campaign one thing is sure: The Democrats will lament their “not being able to get our message across.” Most honest observers know that when they do “get their message across” they lose.

This cycle they have made a very lame attempt to define what they stand for. The minority party has put together a vague seven point list of mays and shoulds. They probably tired very hard to get to ten items but couldn’t. They don’t stand for enough substance. Getting to ten was apparently too difficult. They have to lie to win.

21) The money Gap

The Republican National Committee received better than $102 million in 2005 and now has the largest cash-on-hand lead over the Democrats in over ten years. The RNC has $34 million in the bank. The minority party raised only $51 million and has just $5.5 million cash on hand.

22) The Economy is now in the best shape it has been in our lifetime

There are more Americans working and more Americans living in their own homes than ever before. There is less unemployment than there has been in decades. The “Tax Freedom Day” for America has moved up from May 3rd in 2000 to April 17th because of Republican tax policies. Americans feel the difference and will vote their back pockets.

23) The meaning of Bush’s improved voter numbers

In 2004, George W. Bush increased the number of votes he received in forty seven states. Why so many “experts” think nothing of this fact is a curiosity. Nevertheless, none of the issues of 2004 that got him those votes has turned against him by any honest observation.

As always, President Bush will be a great asset campaigning for GOP candidates.

24) The Clinton magic is over

“Most American voters now say there's no way they'd vote for Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton if she runs for president in 2008 — while just 16 percent are firmly in her camp, a stunning new poll shows. The Gallup/CNN poll found that 51 percent say they definitely won't vote for Clinton (D-N.Y.) in 2008, another 32 percent might consider it, and only 16 percent vow to back her. That means committed anti-Hillary voters outnumber pro-Hillary voters by 3-1.” Gallup Poll results.

Mrs. Bill Clinton will be of little value campaigning for other Democrats.

25) Bungling the Alito hearings

The question for the minority party in respect to its disgraceful conduct during the Alito Hearing, is not IF it has hurt the Democrats, but how deeply it hurt them.

26) The never ending millstones around their neck

After seventy five years of drawing power from a conglomeration of special interest groups, the weight of these groups has now turned on them and is collapsing the minority party.

The Democrats have become indistinguishable from America’s fringe groups. Identifying with these groups has now become a millstone pulling down the Democrats

The Feminists are now a millstone pulling them down.

The NARAL is a millstone pulling them down.

The Big Labor is a millstone pulling them down.

The anti war crazies of moveon.org are a millstone pulling them down.

Gay “marriage” supporters are a millstone pulling them down.

The affirmative action lobby is a millstone pulling them down.

Hollywood is a millstone pulling them down. When “Brokeback Mountain” wins all the Oscars, it will have the same effect that “The Passion of the Christ” had, but for the exact opposite reason.

The National Educational Association is a millstone pulling them down.

The lying black table phone media has become a millstone pulling them down.

The left wing blogs are turned on them and are pulling them down.

The anti second amendment “Brady” groups are pulling them down.

And we have to be afraid of the Democrats?

Yes there are 26 but twenty five sounds better.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2006; brilliant; democrats; losers; lostdems
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To: for-q-clinton

[But I don't need a law to do for me what I can easily do myself--don't go near it.]

Waitresses and bartenders don't really have a choice. They need legal protection. That is how most of the laws go down in the USA and around the world. This isn't leftism. It is being humane to workers. It is common sense. Tobacco is a pollutant and a drug that got grandfathered in as something "acceptable" but the new generation and 70% of Americans are saying Bulls&%t to that.

Here in Germany, customers don't have a choice either. Bar and restaurant owners are too thick-headed and slow in my experience. So I have to eat in non-smoking sections, which the smoke travels to. There is no way to find a place without smoke that isn't super expensive.

You can say all you want that "antis" can "take it or leave it". But they are going to "take it" no matter what...and those who call themselves "conservative" and fight this...are possibly in for one mother of a battle that they will lose.

And they will lose on the OSHA angle: employee right to a smokeless work environment.

Does anyone here seriously believe a Republican candidate will be stupid enough to publicly come down against protecting the health of bartenders and waitresses?

Count on the Democrats to be even stupider: they will talk treason about the War on Terror throughout 2006 and they will lose.

In 7 years, I will be able to walk into your favorite smoky bar in Alabama...and know I am protected by law as a non-smoker to enjoy a smoke-free meal just as much as I'd be protected by law to be served if I were African American.


101 posted on 01/30/2006 1:12:23 PM PST by GermanBusiness
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To: Terabitten
Eventually, I believe the Democrat Party will split. There will be an ultra-liberal faction that will be small but influential due to the amount of money they bring in. They will likely create a "new" party with a new name. Eventually, due to inability to actually win any elections, that party will fade to obsolescence. The larger, more centrist party will retain the name Democrat, and, in time, will move towards the center and become a serious challenge to Republicans again, probably around 2020.

Excellent post. Nothing left for me to say.

102 posted on 01/30/2006 1:12:41 PM PST by MinorityRepublican (everyone that doesn't like what America and President Bush has done for Iraq can all go to HELL)
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To: Dichroic

And a great example of the thick-headedness of the type of person who often runs a bar or restaurant...they think that it is "fair" to create a smoking and non-smoking section in a room that shares the same air! Around the world, this sheer stupidity on the part of the dumbest business owners ...has forced anti-smoking bans.

Again...the legal loophole is the employee rights. I've already said that customers who smoke or don't smoke will vote for or against these laws in their own perceived interest and nobody will give a damn about the employees.


103 posted on 01/30/2006 1:26:22 PM PST by GermanBusiness
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To: jmaroneps37

I like it!


104 posted on 01/30/2006 4:03:52 PM PST by Bob J (RIGHTALK.com...a conservative alternative to NPR!)
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To: Bob J

OK you buncha smartie pants.

This "GermanBusiness" came roaring into this room like a whirling dervish and magically and (actually rather frighteningly) changed the whole subject of the thread, got several of our brightest going on like failing law students and generally turned the whole shootin match upside down. I truly hope none of you expect to be trial lawyers.

This entire thread ought to be saved as an example of what a guy with a mental buzz saw can do to a sleepy buncha self-congratulatory "conservatives". Everyone should travel in pairs from now on...and carry a tooth brush and change to call your mommy.


105 posted on 01/30/2006 4:59:41 PM PST by CBart95
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To: jmaroneps37

Excellent analysis. We still need to contribute money and effort to campaigns, but victory is clearly available to us.


106 posted on 01/30/2006 5:08:39 PM PST by jimfree (Freep and Ye shall find.)
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To: jmaroneps37
Another problem for the Democrats is the Christian mega church movement.

Don't worry, we have a solid contingent of religous FReepers doing their darndest to beat this emerging movement into the ground. Their motto, "If it has a drum set, it must be a false sect."

107 posted on 01/30/2006 5:19:51 PM PST by Larry Lucido
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To: JamesP81
"pro-capitalist ideas of the right are preferred by most evangelical Christians to the somewhat more regulated ideas coming from the libertarian party"

I think you have this backwards!
Most evangelical Christians that I know if you talk economic issues with them are very susceptible to class demagoguery ! Most of the ones I know the only things that keeps them GOP is the Democrat party's continued championing of the notion that being a sociopath is a civil right.
108 posted on 01/30/2006 5:21:17 PM PST by Reily (Reilly (Dr Doom))
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To: GermanBusiness
"Waiters, waitresses, hosts and bartenders all have an OSHA right to a healthy work environment."

OSHA and the rest of the nonsense in your reply is an insult to the Constitution and the people who have read and understand it. I still haven't looked at your "about" page, but your views are more akin to east Germany or pre-WWII Germany. Rush refers to the feminazis; now you are trying to form the antismoking nazis.

"But there is no need to argue anymore. The game is over. A Supreme Court decision that goes against the majority on this will only cause a major backlash."

Your comment illustrates the necessity for Constitutions. Constitutions make tyrannies of the majority much less likely. Your statement also is illustrative of the old adage about power corrupting. And when you talk about backlash, I suggest you give some very careful thought before trying to use government to ban anything. History has not been kind to such efforts and sometimes they backfire. If people can't light up, could the result be that other things might get lit.

109 posted on 01/31/2006 4:16:49 AM PST by HopefulPatriot (Freedom means making your own choices instead of government making the choice for you.)
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To: GermanBusiness
employee right to a smokeless work environment.

Where is that in the consitution? Not to be mean, but to understand where you're coming from. Did you ever live in the US? If so how long? And are you a US Citizen?

Your basic lack of understanding of our Federal vs. State gov't makes this an impossible discussion. If American's wanted to vote to remove FREE SPEECH they still can't make it a law as that's in our bill of rights. If they voted to make slavery legal again...it's not allowed because of the bill of rights. Same goes for passing federal laws to the entire US.

110 posted on 01/31/2006 4:59:03 AM PST by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: CBart95

Looks like you're smoking crack. This is a forum not a court room. We are free to discuss what we want with who we want.


111 posted on 01/31/2006 5:00:20 AM PST by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: Amos the Prophet
The Libertarian party has a strong inclination to become extremely left wing. There are influences from radical environmentalist groups who like the elitist tendencies of the Libertarians. With relatively minor modifications the Lib party could become a neo communist party.

Moonbat Award post of the day.

112 posted on 01/31/2006 5:03:44 AM PST by steve-b (A desire not to butt into other people's business is eighty percent of all human wisdom)
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To: steve-b

Moonbat Award post of the day.

______________________

Sticks and stones....
You should get out more.


113 posted on 01/31/2006 5:13:26 AM PST by Louis Foxwell (Here come I, gravitas in tow.)
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To: for-q-clinton

You are right.

You are free to miss the entire point all you want.

Have a joyful day.


114 posted on 01/31/2006 5:16:42 AM PST by CBart95
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To: JamesP81

It's true that Liber'Ts and conservs don't mix well at a LOCAL level, but nationally we want the same thing- smaller government, FAR less taxation...
We can work together to destroy the dems.


115 posted on 01/31/2006 5:17:40 AM PST by 13Sisters76
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To: 13Sisters76
It's true that Liber'Ts and conservs don't mix well at a LOCAL level, but nationally we want the same thing- smaller government, FAR less taxation...

The only difficulty I'd foresee is the abortion issue. Most evangelicals are not willing to give ground on this. I would personally be willing to give ground to libertarians on drugs if they gave ground on abortion, but getting everyone to agree with that would be problematic.

We can work together to destroy the dems.

And well we should.
116 posted on 01/31/2006 5:47:44 AM PST by JamesP81
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To: for-q-clinton

I want to show exhibit A from a liberal Moonbat who emailed me last night:

"did you know that most Democrats would NEVER want a federal anti-smoking ban? Do you really think that we WANT to prevent people from smoking in their own homes???

Trying to pretend that our venture to acquire Iraqi oil and bases had anything to do with fighting Islamofascism is at this point ridiculous; you are either knowingly lying, or you watch too much Fox News. I cannot help you either way.

Frankly, your desire to prevent American citizens from smoking in their own homes, coupled with your fervent desire to continue bombing Iraqi children who have nothing to do with any of the people who attacked is, is highly disturbing to me. That you would play Democrats and Republicans off one another to achieve these ends is even more disturbing. I suggest you seek counseling to resolve your deep-seated insecurity issues."

The above exhibits stark-raving Moonbat logic, mostly emotional...but it comes pretty close to the emotional logic of some FReepers. The bottom line is that anti-smoking laws are now sweeping the nation with an average 63% majority saying yes to a worker's right to fresh air.

And OSHA, as much as you might wish, is not unpopular nor is support for tighter OSHA regulations "Nazi" or "liberal."

Frankly, any employer who would publicly condemn OSHA is someone who should be reported to the media, and who better then have something good to say about his concern for his employees.

I told the liberal Moonbat that Anti-Smokers are going to win while Anti-War activists are not going to win.

And CBart was only pointing out that you guys who try to argue with me are like flailing first year law students.

Coming soon to a bar near you: no smoking by law. Period.

A conservative will tell an Islamic smoker: Don't blow smoke in my face.

A pansy liberal will tell an Islamic smoker: Please blow smoke in my face, because it is your "right".


117 posted on 01/31/2006 5:51:42 AM PST by GermanBusiness
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To: CBart95

What a loser you are. Not only do your try to turn a forum into a court of law, but you also send a completely whacky freepmail offline to me.

Do me a favor, and let's make this our last post to each other.


118 posted on 02/01/2006 10:21:42 AM PST by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: jmaroneps37

Right On.

I'll read the whole post later.


119 posted on 02/11/2006 9:11:34 AM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
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To: jmaroneps37

bttt


120 posted on 02/18/2006 11:50:59 PM PST by nopardons
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