Posted on 01/25/2006 5:18:23 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
Research 2000's poll of 800 likely voters in Missouri showed that 47 percent preferred McCaskill, a Democrat, while 44 percent favored Talent, a Republican. Nine percent were undecided.
McCaskill's three-percentage-point edge over Talent isn't considered statistically significant because it is within the poll's margin of error rate of 3.5 percentage points for each figure.
(Excerpt) Read more at stltoday.com ...
Jim Talent has definitely slipped over the past few months.
Talent will win easily.
Why? Rassmussen also had him 3 pts behind.
Rasmussen had Bush down in early 2004.
Missouri will vote for Talent in a Mid-Term Election.
Missouri is a red state that becomes more GOP friendly in mid-terms.
Only spineless guppies with selective amnesia would worry about Talent losing.
FYI: Bush defeated Kerry 53-46% in 2004, and Talent won his race in 2002 over an incumbent 50.5-49.5%.
Polls tend to fluctuate like this, this far out from the election. I think once the wheels get set into full motion, and more people pay attention, Talent will start rebounding big time in the polls.
Poll: Talent Pulls Ahead of Carnahan
Monday, October 14, 2002
ST. LOUIS, Mo. — Democratic Sen. Jean Carnahan trails former Republican Rep. Jim Talent in a new poll that reverses previous findings in Missouri's closely watched Senate race.
The Zogby International poll of 800 likely voters, conducted Wednesday through Friday for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, shows Talent leading Carnahan, 47 percent to 41 percent.
A Zogby poll last month showed 48 percent supported Carnahan and 40 percent in favor of Talent.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,65585,00.html
Polls jump and ebb all over.
Bottom line: Talent Wins Easy.
Conservatives have never benefitted from overconfidence.
It's not like I want McCaskill to win.
Knowing the people of Missouri the way I do, they will not elect a Democrat. Talent will win by 5 percentage points.
Polling on 2002 Key Senate Races
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Congressional/Senate_02_Polls.html#MO
This is a seat we can't afford to lose. Talent has been wonderful.
It is not being overconfident to walk upright.
What is his job approval?
There's no doubt that Jim Talent has lived up to his name and then some. That makes this race even more important.
By your handle I presume you are not from Missouri. I am. It is naive in the extreme to think that Jim Talent will have a cake walk over this. Missourians narrowly rejected this challenger because they were sick and tired of the incompetent Democrat governor (Holden) she had defeated in the primary. They just didn't want another Democrat. But, there is a fair amount of buyer's remorse right now over the Republican (Blunt) that beat her. This is tense.
I have family from Missouri.
They are not feckless.
They are students of history.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.