Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

McCaskill and Talent are in statistical dead heat
The St. Louis Post-Dispatch ^ | January 20, 2006 | Jo Mannies

Posted on 01/25/2006 5:18:23 PM PST by Clintonfatigued

Research 2000's poll of 800 likely voters in Missouri showed that 47 percent preferred McCaskill, a Democrat, while 44 percent favored Talent, a Republican. Nine percent were undecided.

McCaskill's three-percentage-point edge over Talent isn't considered statistically significant because it is within the poll's margin of error rate of 3.5 percentage points for each figure.

(Excerpt) Read more at stltoday.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Missouri
KEYWORDS: 109th; 2006; clairemccaskill; election2006; jimtalent; polls
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-22 next last

1 posted on 01/25/2006 5:18:24 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Kuksool; Dan from Michigan; zbigreddogz; JohnnyZ; ...

Jim Talent has definitely slipped over the past few months.


2 posted on 01/25/2006 5:22:19 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (Sam Alito Deserves To Be Confirmed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

Talent will win easily.


3 posted on 01/25/2006 5:30:23 PM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: new yorker 77

Why? Rassmussen also had him 3 pts behind.


4 posted on 01/25/2006 5:31:38 PM PST by uscabjd ( a)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: uscabjd

Rasmussen had Bush down in early 2004.

Missouri will vote for Talent in a Mid-Term Election.

Missouri is a red state that becomes more GOP friendly in mid-terms.

Only spineless guppies with selective amnesia would worry about Talent losing.


5 posted on 01/25/2006 5:33:22 PM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
Here's the internals.

FYI: Bush defeated Kerry 53-46% in 2004, and Talent won his race in 2002 over an incumbent 50.5-49.5%.

6 posted on 01/25/2006 5:33:31 PM PST by Coop (FR = a lotta talk, but little action)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

Polls tend to fluctuate like this, this far out from the election. I think once the wheels get set into full motion, and more people pay attention, Talent will start rebounding big time in the polls.


7 posted on 01/25/2006 5:35:47 PM PST by BigSkyFreeper (Proud to be a cotton-pickin' Republican on the GOP Plantation)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

Poll: Talent Pulls Ahead of Carnahan

Monday, October 14, 2002

ST. LOUIS, Mo. — Democratic Sen. Jean Carnahan trails former Republican Rep. Jim Talent in a new poll that reverses previous findings in Missouri's closely watched Senate race.

The Zogby International poll of 800 likely voters, conducted Wednesday through Friday for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, shows Talent leading Carnahan, 47 percent to 41 percent.

A Zogby poll last month showed 48 percent supported Carnahan and 40 percent in favor of Talent.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,65585,00.html


8 posted on 01/25/2006 5:35:48 PM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: All

Polls jump and ebb all over.

Bottom line: Talent Wins Easy.


9 posted on 01/25/2006 5:37:08 PM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: new yorker 77

Conservatives have never benefitted from overconfidence.

It's not like I want McCaskill to win.


10 posted on 01/25/2006 5:38:41 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (Sam Alito Deserves To Be Confirmed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: new yorker 77

Knowing the people of Missouri the way I do, they will not elect a Democrat. Talent will win by 5 percentage points.


11 posted on 01/25/2006 5:39:57 PM PST by no dems ("99% of lawyers give the rest a bad name." Steven Wright)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: All

Polling on 2002 Key Senate Races

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Congressional/Senate_02_Polls.html#MO


12 posted on 01/25/2006 5:41:02 PM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

This is a seat we can't afford to lose. Talent has been wonderful.


13 posted on 01/25/2006 5:41:03 PM PST by winner3000
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

It is not being overconfident to walk upright.


14 posted on 01/25/2006 5:41:34 PM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued
Way too early from uber liberal St. Louis Post "Disgrace".
This sounds like Dems wishing & hoping as they whistle past the graveyard. Talent has a spotless reputation & is perceived in Missouri as an excellent Senator. McCaskill has skeletons in her closet.
15 posted on 01/25/2006 5:42:53 PM PST by Apercu ("Res ipsa loquitur")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Apercu

What is his job approval?


16 posted on 01/25/2006 5:44:31 PM PST by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: winner3000; Apercu; new yorker 77

There's no doubt that Jim Talent has lived up to his name and then some. That makes this race even more important.


17 posted on 01/25/2006 5:48:00 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (Sam Alito Deserves To Be Confirmed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas
51% approval - 40% disapproval in an Oct. 2005 SurveyUSA poll & 48% - approval - 38% disapproval in a June 2005 SurveyUSA poll.
18 posted on 01/25/2006 5:54:06 PM PST by Apercu ("Res ipsa loquitur")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: new yorker 77

By your handle I presume you are not from Missouri. I am. It is naive in the extreme to think that Jim Talent will have a cake walk over this. Missourians narrowly rejected this challenger because they were sick and tired of the incompetent Democrat governor (Holden) she had defeated in the primary. They just didn't want another Democrat. But, there is a fair amount of buyer's remorse right now over the Republican (Blunt) that beat her. This is tense.


19 posted on 01/25/2006 5:54:07 PM PST by Another Thought
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Another Thought

I have family from Missouri.

They are not feckless.

They are students of history.


20 posted on 01/25/2006 5:56:41 PM PST by new yorker 77 (FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-22 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson