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Morning In Canada?
The Weekly Standard ^ | December 2, 2005 | Edward Morrissey

Posted on 12/02/2005 1:03:49 PM PST by RWR8189

The Canadian House hits Paul Martin with a vote of no confidence, paving the way for Tory Stephen Harper.

The House condemns the government for its arrogance in refusing to compromise with the opposition parties over the timing of the next general election and for its "culture of entitlement," corruption, scandal and gross abuse of public funds for political purposes and, consequently, the government no longer has the confidence of the House.
--The Canadian House of Commons
November 28, 2005

 

 

THOSE WORDS ended the reign of embattled Canadian Liberal party leader Paul Martin over a presumably outraged Canadian electorate. Canada's three opposition parties have now set in motion an unpopular holiday election campaign to determine if voters share their scorn for the administration.

The passage of the no-confidence motion was no surprise--the three opposition parties had made it clear prior to tabling the motion that they would support the dissolution of the Commons and the call for new elections. However, the strong wording of the resolution was a shock. The press had reported earlier that the Conservatives, Bloc Quebecois, and New Democratic party could only agree to generic language which would express little more than the lack of confidence in the executive. But Martin's refusal to consider a compromise election date apparently convinced NDP leader Jack Layton to support a much broader attack on the Liberal government.

 

THE NO-CONFIDENCE MOTION should surprise no one who read the recent Gomery Inquiry report regarding the kickbacks and money laundering that involved top Liberal politicians and their donors. Indeed, it's a wonder Martin avoided the axe for this long. Now that he has finally called for new elections on January 23, Martin and his party face an enormous political challenge.

How likely is a return of Liberal rule after the Gomery disaster? After twelve years of Liberal control, first as a majority and then as the plurality in the Commons, the Tories bear the burden of convincing Canadians to cross the aisle--and Gomery alone may not be enough to break the Liberal hold on power. Stephen Harper, the Conservative leader, has to convince voters that Tories offer more than just a gainsay of Liberal policies. Harper needs to deliver a "Morning in Canada" agenda, one that promises a transformation for the nation.

So far, Harper doesn't seem up to the task. Obviously uncomfortable with campaigning, his irritation often comes across when he's publicly challenged. Martin has shown that he knows how to push Harper's buttons in the Commons, provoking acidic, and often impolitic, responses from the Tory. This week, instead of remaining focused on curing the "scary" image that the Liberals have hung on Harper, he played to it by accusing Liberals of being complicit in organized crime. For his part, Martin has already pledged to go negative.

 

OF COURSE, no one expects either party to form a majority government. That gives some power to the two smaller parties, Bloc Quebecois and the New Democratic party. Given that millions of dollars--which had been earmarked for cultural programs in Quebec--were stolen from the Sponsorship Programme under Liberal management, the Bloc will likely increase its representation in the next Commons at the expense of Liberals (the Tories do not usually make any kind of showing in Quebec).

The NDP case is more complicated. Party leader Jack Layton is a gifted politician, but his party remains mired in fourth place because of its hard-left socialism. It undermined the case for elections last May, when Layton made a last-minute deal to get a big slice of Canadian taxes for his pet health-care projects, giving Martin the exact numbers he needed to block the attempt to topple the Liberal government when the Gomery testimony first emerged. Layton further damaged his case for elections in recent weeks when he made it known that he would support the Liberals if they agreed to more funding and exclusivity for the state-run medical system. Until Harper finally tabled the no-confidence motion last week, Layton shook down the Martin government for every last cent he could get.

 

MEDIA POLLS have shown a suspiciously consistent six-point advantage for the Liberals over the Conservatives. Private polling, which used a larger sample size, shows the two major parties in a dead heat at 32 percent each. But even the media polls show trends which don't auger well for Martin's future prospects. The Liberal lead in Ontario--the Liberal power base--has dropped by over half since last spring and now sits at only a 5 percent advantage over the Conservatives. Most of those voters are switching to the NDP, meaning that Jack Layton's party may pick up a few more seats--but at Martin's expense, not Harper's.

And, after signing on to the harsh language in the no-confidence motion, it will be hard for Layton to align himself with Martin after the election. So even if the Liberals managed to get into position to form the next government with the help of the NDP, they would probably have to do so without Martin.

Which means that the table is set for Stephen Harper. He can change the course of Canadian policy and North American politics. If he can convince his fellow countrymen that he has a positive vision for the future of Canada, the voters up north may end 12 years of Liberal rule and give him the opportunity to deliver on it.

 

Edward Morrissey is a contributing writer to The Daily Standard and a contributor to the blog Captain's Quarters.


TOPICS: Canada; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bloc; canada; canadianelection; conservatives; harper; liberals; martin; ndp; noconfidence; paulmartin; stephenharper; tories
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To: RegulatorCountry

So am I. I can hardly believe that ANYBODY in Ontario or anywhere else for that matter, would ever cast a vote for these CRIMINALS again. Not only have their actions been criminal, so has their behaviour toward our best ally and trading partner. HOW DARE these people call the President a moron and a bastard all the while sitting comfortably under her protection. For crying out loud Ontario, wake the hell up!! That comment is not directed at my fellow Conservatives in Ontario but to the die Hard Liberals who don't seem to know what's going on around them.


21 posted on 12/02/2005 2:24:56 PM PST by Canadian Outrage (All us Western Canadians NEED to SEPARATE from the rest of Canada because we are the ONLY Conservati)
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To: GMMAC

Your observations/conclusions in post#44 were informative ~ thanks!


22 posted on 12/02/2005 2:26:24 PM PST by blackie (Be Well~Be Armed~Be Safe~Molon Labe!)
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To: RWR8189

bump


23 posted on 12/02/2005 2:27:08 PM PST by VOA
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To: fanfan; Pikamax; Former Proud Canadian; Great Dane; Alberta's Child; headsonpikes; coteblanche; ...
"No, no, no, you both are mistaken. Canada is a patch of area across Buffalo in NY and extend to the northern shores of Lake Ontario. ;-)"

Note poster 'NZerFromHK ' - despite being from Hong Kong which Canadians died defending - is an ingrate and racist hater of all of us!
When confronted with as much as he has been many times - especially see post #25 here - he simply slinks off and waits to snipe again.

24 posted on 12/02/2005 2:27:16 PM PST by GMMAC (paraphrasing Parrish: "damned Liberals, I hate those bastards!")
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To: NZerFromHK
Two years ago.

We let you in?
Two years ago, is two years ago.

The immigrants in Toronto are the ones voting Liberal.

We will have a conservative government after the 23rd. of January.

BTW, I was in Hong Kong and New Zealand for a week.
I guess that qualifies me to have the last word on their citizens motivations./sarc

25 posted on 12/02/2005 2:29:40 PM PST by fanfan (" The liberal party is not corrupt " Prime Minister Paul Martin)
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To: GMMAC

Knock it off.


26 posted on 12/02/2005 2:38:01 PM PST by Admin Moderator
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To: GMMAC

Looks like our Canada hating FRiend has slunk off yet again.


27 posted on 12/02/2005 2:38:30 PM PST by fanfan (" The liberal party is not corrupt " Prime Minister Paul Martin)
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To: fanfan
Careful Fanfan!
The ones working to spread acrimony between North American conservatives - perhaps on behalf of their Chi-Com masters - while plainly less than articulate, can still be tricky - LOL!


28 posted on 12/02/2005 2:44:43 PM PST by GMMAC (paraphrasing Parrish: "damned Liberals, I hate those bastards!")
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To: GMMAC

It sure can be hard to catch a snake...they are so slippery.


29 posted on 12/02/2005 2:46:48 PM PST by fanfan (" The liberal party is not corrupt " Prime Minister Paul Martin)
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To: fanfan

Nope I'm still here. Basically your argument is unconvincing in the sense that immigrants comprise 26.8% of Canada's populations, but in the last election the Liberal Party and New Democratic Party combined got 62.76% of votes. Even if we suppose all immigrants vote the Left (which I suspect doesn't hold) you still have 36% of native Anglophones voting in the Left versus 31.5% voting in the Right.

In other words, yes, immigrants vote Liberals, but without the accomplice of the Anglophones voting in the Grits, these votes alone cannot catapult the Grits into power.

If you have any evidence to the contrary, fire up. Otherwise, please fall silent. An argument must be backed by evidences.


30 posted on 12/02/2005 3:00:57 PM PST by NZerFromHK (Alberta independentists to Canada (read: Ontario and Quebec): One hundred years is long enough)
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To: GMMAC

Knock it off!


31 posted on 12/02/2005 3:08:09 PM PST by Lead Moderator
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To: RWR8189

32 posted on 12/02/2005 3:11:45 PM PST by april15Bendovr
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To: GMMAC
To be honest I waffle myself between Canadian loathing and glimmers of hope for my countrymen. That's why I am torn about giving another red cent to the CPC party. Should I waste my money to try to sway a bunch of brain dead Canadians who don't deserve what hopes and dreams the Conservatives are offering them? Can you really reason with sheeple who have been brainwashed by universal socialism since day 1?
33 posted on 12/02/2005 3:15:32 PM PST by Sam Gamgee (May God have mercy upon my enemies, because I won't. - Patton)
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To: RWR8189

C-span just ran all the speeches and Q&As by the candidates. Martin looked uncomfortable as he repeated the same old stale Clintonesque, third way socialist talking points, and then ran away after a few questions. By contrast, Harper looked very confident, and I was proud to see him look into the camera and talk about tax cuts because "it's YOUR money".


34 posted on 12/02/2005 3:30:54 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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To: Siena Dreaming
They are too snobby to vote conservative as conservatives are "too provincial" for them.

That's it ,"too provincial" Now I know why Ontario had a Conservative government for 42 years straight .

Is that the French Gov't or the Quebec government we complain about? Actually I ignore them. The French one too.

35 posted on 12/02/2005 4:05:16 PM PST by Snowyman
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To: Snowyman
Ontario is often the linchpin for Canadian national elections. They have not voted conservative in this regard lately.

I would like to ignore our Federal government also. However, that is the way the bad guys gain power.

36 posted on 12/02/2005 4:20:12 PM PST by Siena Dreaming
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To: RWR8189

Maybe I am badly misunderstanding this but there doesn't seem to be the big potential for a conservative win here. I suspect that even if the conservatives attain a plurality they will be unable to build a majority coalition.

If they were able to build such a coalition they would be so hampered by the neccessary concessions that they would be unable to govern from the right.


37 posted on 12/02/2005 4:20:19 PM PST by Straight Vermonter (John 6: 31-69)
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To: Snowyman; Siena Dreaming

Now I know why Ontario had a Conservative government for 42 years straight .

Ahem, the Ontario conservative governments between 1943 and 85 were like this:

...During this period the party was led by Red Tory (moderate) premiers: George Drew, Leslie Frost, John Robarts and Bill Davis. These governments were responsible for some of the province's most progressive social legislation (including the Ontario Code of Human Rights), the creation of most of Ontario's welfare state and social programs, the creation of many Crown Corporations, and strong economic growth.

Sorry mate, but this sounds more like what the Liberals today looks like than anything pro-free market and pro-personal responsbility which defines what conservatism stands for in much of the world today.

38 posted on 12/02/2005 4:28:51 PM PST by NZerFromHK (Alberta independentists to Canada (read: Ontario and Quebec): One hundred years is long enough)
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To: NZerFromHK

Don't forget the great nationalized health care program which Ontario Anglos went for. One of the best indicators that they are/were far from conservative.


39 posted on 12/02/2005 4:41:16 PM PST by Siena Dreaming
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To: Siena Dreaming

The type of right that has always flourished in Ontario has been "Red Tories":

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_Tory

"The notion of Red Toryism was developed by George Grant in the 1950s and 1960s who argued that Canadian conservatism was strongly influenced by ideals such as collectivism and community responsibility. These Tories rejected liberal values such as individualism. Red Tories were thus socially conservative supporting traditional institutions like religion and the monarchy but fiscally consensual and moderate, with a strong belief in the welfare state. Grant traced Red Toryism to the beginning of Canadian history. The collective nation building policies of Sir John A. Macdonald are seen as the foundation of the Red Tory tradition."

They don't like free markets in fact, and love the welfare state.


40 posted on 12/02/2005 4:55:11 PM PST by NZerFromHK (Alberta independentists to Canada (read: Ontario and Quebec): One hundred years is long enough)
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