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Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III (TS Alpha gets honorable mention too)
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.

In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.

The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24


TOPICS: Front Page News; Mexico; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: alpha; hurricane; tropical; wilma
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To: laz

From the 1000 to the 1600 Advisory, Wilma moved 9.23 miles at 317.9 degrees magnetic (NW = 315) for a blazing forward speed of 1.53 mph.


61 posted on 10/22/2005 2:17:35 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: laz

Miami schools playing it safe...closed Monday.


62 posted on 10/22/2005 2:18:14 PM PDT by debg
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To: NautiNurse
and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself.

Why were there so many tourists still there? I guess those 28 planes didn't make it in time. I said they were cutting it close.

63 posted on 10/22/2005 2:18:41 PM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: dawn53
Are you going to board up?

that's the plan, may be doing it in the rain...

64 posted on 10/22/2005 2:18:51 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: VeniVidiVici

bump for the new thread.

Gut says a little further north.

That and a buck will get one a cup of coffee ... but not at Starbucks ;-)


65 posted on 10/22/2005 2:20:05 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (When a Jihadist dies, an angel gets its wings)
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To: VeniVidiVici

I have a feeling the coffee will be flowing around here from this evening through Monday night...


66 posted on 10/22/2005 2:21:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

That's what I told my husband. Since we'll be waiting till tomorrow, it'll probably be awful weather while we're doing preparations.

My folks have a story from years ago about a hurricane "surprise" that picked up speed and changed direction in the middle of the night. Don't know what storm it was, but evidently they went to bed thinking all was well, and woke up to find that the hurricane was headed our way and was moving fast.

They tell about making outside preps as the wind increased and the rain poured. Talked to them today in Atlanta, they're glad they're on vacation and missing any excitement, but we'll have to go over to their place tomorrow and make some preparations if it seems like it's going to give us problems.


67 posted on 10/22/2005 2:23:00 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: NautiNurse
Almost funny....almost

..as soon as Max Mayfield finished, and we heard 'Hurricane Watch' as far as Titusville on the east coast (my neck of the woods)...

..the sky darkened, as if on cue, and thunder started & it's raining.

...until then, it's been a calm, slightly overcast, non rainy type day.

68 posted on 10/22/2005 2:24:15 PM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: dawn53; NautiNurse
We're on the east side of the peninsula, but will wait till tomorrow and probably board up our bay windows, front and back.

...today would have been a perfect day to do that....sigh...

..but we kept waiting for signals...

..and tomorrow will, no doubt, be rainy, windy, etc.

69 posted on 10/22/2005 2:26:48 PM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: SE Mom
OLD VERSION OF CORNY JOKE

"What did the Governor of North Carolina say to the Governor of South Carolina?"

Answer: "It's a long time between drinks."

NEW VERSION OF CORNY JOKE

"What did the Governor of North Carolina say to the Governor of South Carolina?"

Answer: "Hurry and phone Jeb, or we'll both be in the drink."

Leni

70 posted on 10/22/2005 2:26:55 PM PDT by MinuteGal (Re: The Anti-War Sheehan-ites - They want to live in the garden but not tend the garden)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the ping.


71 posted on 10/22/2005 2:28:55 PM PDT by GOPJ (Protest a dem -- light your hair on fire -- and the MSM still won't take your picture.)
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To: NautiNurse
New Vortex Data Message -

016 
URNT12 KNHC 222110
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/2041Z
B. 21 DEG 25 MIN N
   87 DEG 04 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2720 MA
D. 50 KT
E. 225 DEG 40 NM
F. 319 DEG 90 KT
G. 224 DEG 36 NM
H. 958 MB
I. 12 C/ 3060 M
J. 14 C/ 3062 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. E36-75-55
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 1824A WILMA OB 14
   MAX FL WIND 91 KT NE QUAD 2050Z
   REMNENTS OF INNER EYEWALL ON RADAR.

Movement since the last eye fix (1:21 ago) - North (11 degrees) at 4.3 mph. This eye fix puts Wilma approximately 12 miles from the Gulf and 23 miles northwest of Cancun.

Also, add Lake Okeechobee to the hurricane watch area (somehow, the NHC left it off initially, but did a special update).

72 posted on 10/22/2005 2:29:52 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: NautiNurse

Did you hear? Tropical Storm Alpha? Just on FNL!


73 posted on 10/22/2005 2:30:37 PM PDT by md2576 (Don't be such a Shehan Hugger!)
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To: NautiNurse

Getting our first thunder here now..nasty looking clouds.


74 posted on 10/22/2005 2:31:38 PM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
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To: SE Mom

Mayfield being interviewed on CNN, reiterating that Wilma is likely to go over the loop current and reintensify to a Cat 3 briefly.


75 posted on 10/22/2005 2:35:01 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: md2576

Tropical Storm Alpha Advisory Number 2

Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on October 22, 2005

...Alpha becomes the twenty-second named storm of the season and
breaks the all-time record for the most active season on record...

At 5 PM EDT...the government of the Dominican Republic has issued a
Tropical Storm Warning for the entire northern coast. A Tropical
Storm Warning is now if effect for the entire coastline of the
Dominican Republic.

At 5 PM EDT...the government of the Bahamas has upgraded the
tropical storm watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for the
southeastern Bahamas...and for the Turks and Caicos.

A tropical Strom warning remains in effect for the entire coastline
of Haiti.


For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.


At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of tropical storm Alpha was located
near latitude 17.0 north... longitude 68.9 west or about 210
miles... 335 km... west-southwest of San Juan Puerto Rico and about
125 miles... 200 km...south-southeast of Santo Domingo in the
Dominican Republic.

Alpha is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph ...24 km/hr...and
this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours and should
bring the center of Alpha to the coast of Hispaniola late tonight
or early Sunday morning.


Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph... 65 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible before the center of the
tropical storm reaches the southern coast of Hispaniola.


Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles... 75 km
from the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb...29.68 inches.

The storm is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4
to 8 inches over much of Hispaniola...with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 12 inches. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.


Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...17.0 N... 68.9 W. Movement
...Stationary. Maximum sustained winds... 40 mph. Minimum central
pressure... 1005 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 PM
EDT.


Forecaster Mainelli/Knabb


76 posted on 10/22/2005 2:35:14 PM PDT by md2576 (Don't be such a Shehan Hugger!)
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To: md2576; NautiNurse

"Honorary" Tropical Storm Alpha

I woke up this morning to a stiff breeze from the south and heavy t-storms in the afternoon. We're under a flash flood warning. The island of Hispaniola next door is under a TS watch. And Joe Bastardi was about to write this one off yesterday.

History in the making.

Stay safe NN. My sis in Broward is talking about some flooding already.


77 posted on 10/22/2005 2:36:12 PM PDT by cll (San Juan, PR, USA)
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To: cll

Stay safe.


78 posted on 10/22/2005 2:37:40 PM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: laz

"I guess those 28 planes didn't make it in time"


Mayor Nagin again?


79 posted on 10/22/2005 2:38:00 PM PDT by mdmathis6 ("It was not for nothing that you were named Ransom" from CS LEWIS' Perelandra!)
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To: md2576
Did you hear? Tropical Storm Alpha? Just on FNL!

LOL! Did you see the title of this thread, and the time it was posted?

80 posted on 10/22/2005 2:41:33 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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