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Analysis: Polish right triumphs
BBC ^ | 10 October 2005 | Adam Easton

Posted on 10/10/2005 10:08:05 AM PDT by Stultis

Analysis: Polish right triumphs
By Adam Easton
BBC correspondent in Warsaw

Poland's presidential election has confirmed a swing to the right.

Whoever wins in the second round in two weeks' time, Poland will have a right-wing president and prime minister for the first time in 12 years.

In both the presidential and recent parliamentary elections voters punished the former communists for failing to reduce high unemployment and curb corruption.

With more than 90% of the votes counted, Donald Tusk of the liberal Civic Platform party led with 35.82% and Lech Kaczynski of the conservative Law and Justice Party trailed slightly with 33.29%.

Market reforms

As none of the 12 candidates managed to win 50% of the ballot, a second round run-off between Mr Tusk and Mr Kaczynski will take place on 23 October.

Both men come from parties that have their roots in the Solidarity movement which helped topple communism in Poland in 1989.

And both agree that previous governments were incompetent and corruption is widespread.

But they offer different solutions and Poland is in for two weeks of intense debate.

Mr Tusk, 48, wants less state interference and more pro-market reform to promote growth and jobs.

A keen football player, the youthful-looking candidate comes from the small ethnic Kashubian community in north-west Poland and he is promising to be a president who will unite people.

"I hope Tusk will win to counterbalance Law and Justice. I support the liberals who will definitely help with small business," Joanna, a language school owner, told me.

"A lot of young people cannot find jobs and if there are some new laws which could help employ people, that would help the economy and make the country grow."

Traditional values

Mr Kaczynski, 56, is promising more radical change. A strident ant-communist, his father fought against the Germans in the World War II resistance.

He wants Poland to become a new Fourth Republic based on Catholic and family values.

Such a republic would represent a symbolic end to post-communist influence in Poland of the Third Republic, which was created when the communists and Solidarity opposition movement negotiated the end of the communist regime in 1989.

He is in favour of preserving the welfare state, and says Mr Tusk's liberalism will hurt the poor in a country which has the highest unemployment in the European Union.

It is a message that has gone down well among people cut adrift by the free market reforms in many small towns and rural areas in the poorer eastern parts of Poland.

"After the tough changes we went through in the beginning of the 90s, people react allergically to the word 'liberal', so that's why social and Christian values are very important to people," Katarzyna, an assistant to a Polish MEP, told me.

Confusing resemblance

With so little between them after the first round, it looks likely to be a close race in the run-off.

But Ewa Milewicz, a columnist for Gazeta Wyborcza, writes that Mr Kaczynski's message may have more to offer people. "Law and Justice are not angling, it's fishing for the voters with huge nets," she writes.

But Mr Kaczynski's chances may be hurt by his identity problem.

An identical twin, his brother Jaroslaw heads the Law and Justice Party. He refused to become their candidate for prime minister to help Lech get elected.

But it is obvious that Jaroslaw is the main power in the party which won the recent parliamentary elections.

Voters may shy away from handing too much power to twins that many here simply cannot tell apart.



TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: poland; polishelection; tusk
Other threads:



Polish Candidates Headed for Runoff ^
  Posted by knighthawk
On News/Activism ^ 10/10/2005 11:19:57 AM CDT · 2 replies · 38+ views


Las Vegas Sun ^ | October 10 2005 | MONIKA SCISLOWSKA/AP
The final count in Poland's presidential election confirmed Monday that the pro-market lawmaker Donald Tusk won more votes than conservative Warsaw Mayor Lech Kaczynski, but fell short of a majority needed for an outright victory in a first round of balloting. Tusk, the smooth-mannered deputy parliament speaker, had 36.3 percent of the votes from Sunday's election, while the outspoken Kaczynski had 33.1 percent. Tusk vowed to next take his campaign to small towns and villages to win over rural voters ahead of the runoff election Oct. 23. The race in the formerly communist country centered on the Europe-wide issue of...
 

Polish presidential election results (with 91,53% of the votes counted) ^
  Posted by Tarkin
On News/Activism ^ 10/09/2005 7:58:23 PM CDT · 28 replies · 1,053+ views


1. Donald Tusk (social moderate, fiscal conservative) 35,82% 2. Lech Kaczynski (social conservative, fiscal moderate) 33,29% 3. Andrzej Lepper (left-wing populist) 15,59% 4. Marek Borowski (socialdemocrat) 10,19% 5. Jaroslaw Kalinowski (agrarian moderate) 1,85% 6. Janusz Korwin-Mikke (libertarian) 1,41% 7. Henryka Bochniarz (liberal) 1,25% Other candidates received less than 1%.
 

Polish Solidarity duo to face off for presidency ^
  Posted by Valin
On News/Activism ^ 10/09/2005 7:51:01 PM CDT · 36+ views


Reuters ^ | 10/10/05 | Pawel Kozlowski
WARSAW (Reuters) - Poles picked two centre-right candidates with roots in the Solidarity movement for a run-off presidential ballot on October 23, which may be decided by leftist voters suspicious of both contenders. Exit polls and partial results of Sunday's election gave free-market enthusiast Donald Tusk around 36 percent of the vote, a 3-point lead over conservative Lech Kaczynski, but short of the 50 percent needed to avoid a second round of voting. Both finished well ahead of 10 other candidates, cementing a swing to the right in Poland after their parties trounced the scandal-tainted ruling left in parliamentary polls...
 

Liberal, conservative to fight it out for Polish presidency ^
  Posted by lizol
On News/Activism ^ 10/09/2005 2:44:20 PM CDT · 2 replies · 62+ views


AFP via Yahoo! News ^ | 9.10.2005
Liberal, conservative to fight it out for Polish presidency. WARSAW (AFP) - Polish voters confirmed their shift to the right as they handed Donald Tusk of the centre-right Civic Platform party a lead over his main rival for the presidency, Warsaw's conservative mayor Lech Kaczynski, in an election. But neither Tusk nor Kaczynski, whom exit polls credited with around 38.5 percent and 33 percent respectively, had enough votes to claim victory in the first round of the election, exit polls showed. The two will have to fight it out to succeed centre-left President Aleksander Kwasniewski in a run-off on October...

1 posted on 10/10/2005 10:08:08 AM PDT by Stultis
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To: Stultis

Kudos to our Polish friends.


2 posted on 10/10/2005 10:23:19 AM PDT by Ciexyz (Let us always remember, the Lord is in control.)
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To: Ciexyz

Analysis from the BBC? This can't be good.


3 posted on 10/10/2005 10:24:40 AM PDT by bkepley
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To: bkepley

better than analysis from The Guardian. As for the American papers, they don't seem to care.


4 posted on 10/10/2005 10:26:27 AM PDT by Ciexyz (Let us always remember, the Lord is in control.)
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To: lizol; Lukasz; AdmSmith


5 posted on 10/10/2005 10:31:19 AM PDT by anonymoussierra ("Ephesians 2:8-9 For by grace you are saved through faith, and this is not of yourselves")
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To: anonymoussierra

Smart Polish voters!


6 posted on 10/10/2005 10:37:12 AM PDT by blackie (Be Well~Be Armed~Be Safe~Molon Labe!)
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To: Ciexyz; All; Lukasz; lizol; AdmSmith

Dzieki



“This situation will be resolve soon. I am staunch supporter and voter of Donald Tusk eto we definitely need some economic changes. Many of our young bright people have hard time to find jobs of fore depends on situation you are looking at. Situation itself is not critical eto some changes have to be made. I absolutely detest communism and their arrogance and I am still ticked SLD has got 55 votes in new government. I am confident Donald will win of fore makes me little bit nervous here, we will deal with this our old polish way logic of deduction. Kaczynski doesn’t have stigma to be President of my country, he is ok in lower levels but not as strong and comprehensive as Tusk is. We will see soon. Keep your fingers cross, eto fore hope more people will vote this second time and move their rear end and do something useful, in seriousness we have to take control of this and kick this into high gear.“


7 posted on 10/10/2005 10:43:26 AM PDT by anonymoussierra ("Ephesians 2:8-9 For by grace you are saved through faith, and this is not of yourselves")
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Comment #8 Removed by Moderator

To: Stultis

This is good news. The left appears to be losing credibility in most of Europe.


9 posted on 10/10/2005 11:06:00 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Jeanine Pirro for Senate, Hillary Clinton for Weight Watchers Spokeswoman)
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To: anonymoussierra

Thanks for your persepective from the home front.


10 posted on 10/10/2005 12:19:11 PM PDT by Ciexyz (Let us always remember, the Lord is in control.)
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To: Ciexyz

My pleasure:}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}}


11 posted on 10/10/2005 12:23:00 PM PDT by anonymoussierra ("Ephesians 2:8-9 For by grace you are saved through faith, and this is not of yourselves")
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To: anonymoussierra

Good week for Poland, with qualifying for the World Cup and now the Right firmly in control.


12 posted on 10/10/2005 12:23:10 PM PDT by dfwgator (Flower Mound, TX)
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To: dfwgator

Yes Yes Yes You got it, how are you good friend"dfwgator", albo ponaszemu co tam slychac? Dzieki


13 posted on 10/10/2005 12:28:53 PM PDT by anonymoussierra ("Ephesians 2:8-9 For by grace you are saved through faith, and this is not of yourselves")
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To: All



14 posted on 10/10/2005 12:32:37 PM PDT by anonymoussierra ("Ephesians 2:8-9 For by grace you are saved through faith, and this is not of yourselves")
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To: anonymoussierra

Greeting from "Little Warsaw" in Chicago to our alley, Poland. May wisdom guild the Polish voters in this election. Sounds like the "Liberal" candidate is the more conservative.


15 posted on 10/10/2005 2:38:34 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Public Enemy #1, the RATmedia.)
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To: Stultis

This is fascinating. In fact, I will stick my neck out and say that this is the most dramatic change in direction in Poland since the early 1700s. In other words, at long last, there is hope for full recovery and true strength.


16 posted on 10/10/2005 2:51:31 PM PDT by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Looking at Kaczynski, I would define him as Christian socialist. Or at the very least, a strong communitarian.


17 posted on 10/10/2005 7:28:34 PM PDT by Sam the Sham (A conservative party tough on illegal immigration could carry California in 2008)
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