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Locked on 09/23/2005 9:43:13 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:

Part VI: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1490045/posts



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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:09 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category Four Hurricane Rita continues to move toward landfall along the northwest Gulf of Mexico shoreline. Mandatory and voluntary evacuations continue across Texas and Louisiana coastal areas. Lake Charles LA is providing evacuations by bus for residents who have no transportation.

Traffic gridlock in the greater Houston area was compounded by gasoline stations without fuel, long lines at those stations still carrying fuel, and record breaking temperatures on the first day of autumn.

Offshore drilling platforms and rigs, as well as oil refineries, petrochemical and natural gas plants are in the path of the storm. Wave heights recorded by buoy have exceeded 38 feet. The refineries threatened by Hurricane Rita are on higher ground than those affected by flooding from Katrina. As a result, speculation abounds regarding future prices for winter heating fuel and gasoline.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KPLC-TV Lake Charles KPLC Streaming
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanerita; rita; tropical; weather
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To: ZOTnot

Eyewall Regeneration (Replenishment) cycle - the eyewall shifts, breaksdown and reforms as it rotates and as conditions vary.


301 posted on 09/22/2005 6:42:28 PM PDT by JustAnotherHolloway
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To: DollyCali

Hi, Girl!

You enjoying the weather?

(I really feel for these poor folks in TX & LA...)


302 posted on 09/22/2005 6:42:36 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Flyer

Yikes, I was accidentally lurking, out of force of habit. I can post here!

(When facing my imminent Death by Rita, I said to myself, if I die, I must die a FReeper.)

I'm here, but still have 6 "Thursday" things on my to-do list left--and 21 "Friday" things to go, including siliconing the bathtub plug in place before filling up the tub--it has flunked two tests so far. Then I can FReep--but of course, I'll be without power by then.

But what a day, starting with a wake-up phone call telling me "it's going east, it's going east! We're staying!"

However, I'm still considering her a Cat 5 coming in at Galveston. Never turn your back on a herricane or himmicane--they just can't be trusted.

Prayers going up for my friends in the Golden Triangle and all points twixt here, there and Lock Cholly.

Hope to BBL.


303 posted on 09/22/2005 6:42:38 PM PDT by Rte66 (SW Houston - Meyerland)
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To: Revel
Darn that RITA, seems she might tango with Houston after all...PRAYERS for God's intervention!!
304 posted on 09/22/2005 6:43:12 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: All
Accuweather's Bastardi is up on Hannity & Combs soon -- probably 5-8 mins. before the hour. He still believes Galveston is the target, then Rita sits over Dallas for a couple of days. Oy.
305 posted on 09/22/2005 6:43:16 PM PDT by alancarp (Will hack code for oil)
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To: Timeout

sound can travel quite a distance in the right atmospheric conditions.


306 posted on 09/22/2005 6:43:17 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... "To remain silent when they should protest makes cowards of men." -- THOMAS JEFFERSON)
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To: jeffers

Cameron is toast.


307 posted on 09/22/2005 6:43:38 PM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: nwctwx

Ian, are you going to be around tomorrow during the day on the threads?


308 posted on 09/22/2005 6:43:58 PM PDT by Tuxedo (San Antonio, Texas)
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To: Racehorse
Bet they're out there playing with that guy who's selling soft-serve ice cream on the freeway. (friend of mine told me about him as they passed him - he was walking faster than they were driving).
309 posted on 09/22/2005 6:43:58 PM PDT by Smarti Pants (~This American Patriot will never forget !!!~)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

Damn!


310 posted on 09/22/2005 6:44:05 PM PDT by Zacs Mom (Proud wife of a Marine! ... and purveyor of "rampant, unedited dialogue")
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To: nwctwx
The water, storm surge and flooding, always have been the biggest killers in hurricanes. Sort of frustrating knowing this while the media hypes the wind speed.
311 posted on 09/22/2005 6:44:30 PM PDT by SouthTexas (Refugio County)
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To: Dog Gone
Hee, hee. TWC just had a propane commercial...
312 posted on 09/22/2005 6:44:30 PM PDT by Warren_Piece (Nashville, TN)
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To: alancarp

ah geez...............we really don't need that!


313 posted on 09/22/2005 6:44:51 PM PDT by Zacs Mom (Proud wife of a Marine! ... and purveyor of "rampant, unedited dialogue")
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To: ZOTnot

In an eyewall replacement cycle the inner eye disolves as a newer/larger one forms around it. They happen with most storms, and it's become a very overused term. One has happened today though. During the cycle, the storm typically loses some of its punch. As the new eye take over and contract, there is usually some strengthening if other conditions are favorable.


314 posted on 09/22/2005 6:45:03 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx
"Larry Cosgrove is very good"

What was his assessment? And who is Cosgrove?
315 posted on 09/22/2005 6:45:11 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: queenkathy

You are seeing it right and it is odd. Most weather systems move west to east. It was supposed to head north. This will unfortunately drop a lot of rain in some areas.


316 posted on 09/22/2005 6:45:18 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: SE Mom; All
I made this small, and converted it to lower case, from http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/warnings.php?wfo=hgx

It is worth reading. Gives the different gradations of severity.

As of late afternoon...Hurricane rita was approaching the northwestern portions of the gulf...And is expected to continue moving west-northwest. Rita is forecast to reach the upper texas coast as a category 4 hurricane late friday night or early saturday morning. Hurricane force winds are expected to reach the coastal counties early saturday morning and spread inland across the eastern part of southeast texas throughout the day saturday. Tropical storm force winds will spread inland throughout the day saturday across the western sections of our area.

For sustained wind 90 to 110 mph with gusts 115 to 135 mph: extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage...All mobile homes will be destroyed!

Structural damage: houses of poor to average construction will be destroyed or severely damaged. Moderate to major damage of well constructed houses will include failure of up to one half of all gabled roofs. In addition....Up to one quarter of exterior walls will fail.

Aluminum and light weight steel roofs will be torn off buildings at industrial parks. Partial roof and exterior wall failures are likely at low rise apartment buildings...Especially those of poor to average construction. Most windows in high rise office buildings will be blown out...With other minor to moderate damage possible due to swaying.

Airborne debris of light to moderate weight will cause additional major damage...As well as injuries and a few fatalities.

Near total power loss is expected. Up to one half of all power poles will be knocked down...And hundreds of transformers will pop. The availability of potable water will be diminished as filtration systems begin to fail.
Natural damage: thousands of trees will be severely damaged. Up to three quarters of all healthy small to medium sized trees will snap or be uprooted... Most common on saturated ground. Up to one half of healthy large trees will snap or be uprooted. Severe damage is expected to citrus orchards...Some orchards may be destroyed. Most newly planted ground crops will be wiped out. Livestock left outside will be injured... Some critically. A few livestock deaths are likely.

For sustained wind 110 to 130 mph with gusts 140 mph or more:

catastrophic damage expected to man made and natural structures!

Houses of poor to average construction will be severely damaged or destroyed. Well constructed homes will have substantial damage to roof and walls. Destruction may occur to homes with gabled roofs... With the wind lifting them off. More than half of all industrial buildings will be destroyed...Others will have partial roof and wall damage. Wood framed garden apartment buildings will be severely damaged or destroyed...And others will have partial roof and wall failures.

High rise office buildings will sway dangerously. Most windows will be blown out...And moderate structural damage is possible.

Airborne debris...Some pieces greater than 50 pounds...Will cause extensive damage. Persons...Pets...And livestock exposed to the winds are at great risk for injury or death.

Electricity and water will be unavailable for days...And perhaps weeks...After the storm passes. The majority of trees will be snapped and uprooted...Most common among those of small and medium size. Citrus orchards will be destroyed as will all newly planted ground crops. Established ground crops will have damage...With up to one half of fields no longer arable. Livestock exposed to the winds will be critically injured or killed.

Persons in the region should take action to secure trash cans...Lawn furniture...And other loose or lightweight outdoor objects. High winds can topple trees...Blow weakened roofs off houses...And down power lines.
Hurricane rita is comparable to hurricane carla of 1961...The last destructive category 4 storm to hit the upper texas coast.

Stay tuned to noaa weather radio...Commercial radio or television stations...Or your cable television provider for the latest information concerning hurricane rita.


317 posted on 09/22/2005 6:45:26 PM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: Rte66

May the Good Lord Bless and Watch over you and your'n, stay low and take care.


318 posted on 09/22/2005 6:45:54 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... "To remain silent when they should protest makes cowards of men." -- THOMAS JEFFERSON)
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To: nwctwx

I can only imagine how difficult a stretch he's had- this has to be heaven/hell for a meteorologist.


319 posted on 09/22/2005 6:45:58 PM PDT by SE Mom
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To: Tuxedo

More than today. I have a few things to do with school tomorrow afternoon, but I should be around a good deal.


320 posted on 09/22/2005 6:46:01 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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