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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 3:25:57 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Rita continues to threaten the Greater Houston Metropolitan area. The forecast track has shifted slightly to the northeast, increasing the risk to Southwest Louisiana, and a significant portion of the oil and gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Perry is urging all coastal residents between Beaumont and Corpus Christi to evacuate as soon as possible.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: beaumont; galveston; houston; hurricane; lakecharles; matagorda; portarthur; rita; texascity; tropical
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To: CedarDave

Don't know the sponsor, was too busy running to the bathroom to lose my breakfast. (Actually, couldn't hear over my yelling at the TV and running for the remote)


881 posted on 09/22/2005 8:53:00 AM PDT by sweet_diane (I support TheShoulder dot org)
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To: CedarDave

Yes.


882 posted on 09/22/2005 8:53:13 AM PDT by headsonpikes (The Liberal Party of Canada are not b*stards - b*stards have mothers!)
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To: JFC

How many train stations are in Houston? It might be difficult to even get to the airport at this point. I would not want to be in the huge traffic jam trying to get out.


883 posted on 09/22/2005 8:53:14 AM PDT by RummyChick
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To: Petronski

Look how much the track has bent north. My prediction, made yesterday, was that NOLA was on the bullseye again. I stand by my prediction. This storm will bend it's track north again until NOLA is the target.


884 posted on 09/22/2005 8:53:14 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Islam is merely Nazism without the snappy fashion sense.)
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To: NautiNurse

winds down to 165, west edge looks lest strong........definitely weakening, perhaps an ERC.


885 posted on 09/22/2005 8:53:44 AM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: LuLuLuLu

Yes, at the top of this thread, under additional resources, there is a link.


886 posted on 09/22/2005 8:53:55 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse

Now this is criminal. KPLC-TV Lake Charles is streaming the Ellen Degeneres show with a Cat 5 hurricane on the way. They should have their FCC license pulled.

Unf***ingbelievable!!!


887 posted on 09/22/2005 8:54:07 AM PDT by abb (Because News Reporting is too important to be left to the Journalists.)
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To: SlowBoat407
Well, out of 4 million +, it is difficult to say who is leaving. All of my co-workers are staying. I do not personally know anyone who is leaving. My wife's daughter evacuated her beach house in Surfside and is staying with us. At least a million are leaving, but at this point, I do not think anyone leaving will get anywhere.

The people in the outright coastal areas had to leave, but it is looking logistically impossible for the rest of Houston to do likewise.

888 posted on 09/22/2005 8:54:20 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte (Meadows Place, TX- just S of 59 & the Beltway....)
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To: rwfromkansas

How long until the ERC completes?


889 posted on 09/22/2005 8:54:31 AM PDT by dfwgator (Flower Mound, TX)
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To: JFC

"9000 people about to be flown from Houston and Beaumont.. to Lubbock, Amarillo, Abilene, El Paso....
I tried to tell you all long ago... GO WEST YOUNG MEN!"

Got a link on that?


890 posted on 09/22/2005 8:55:05 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: JFC

I flew right over that sucker last night from JAX to IAH (Bush International - I love saying that). At the time I left JAX the skies to the south and west were nearly BLACK. Light to moderate chop at FL340 starting arond NOLA all the way in.

This was freaky... From the air I could see outbound traffic at a dead standstill for more than 50 miles. It was amazing. Folks on the airplane were gasping in shock. Some folks who live there were sobbing.

Once at the airport it was like a ghost town. I fly into IAH a LOT and last nights traffic was maybe 25% of normal. I took the last seat on the IAH-ONT leg and we saw the same scenes on departure.

I pray for those folks.


891 posted on 09/22/2005 8:55:06 AM PDT by Hattori_Hanzo
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To: LuLuLuLu

At the top of the Rita threads there is a link.

FWIW, I've offered the guest room and the rest of my large home in Allen, TX to any interested FReeper. I can accomodate six + a pet or two.


892 posted on 09/22/2005 8:55:21 AM PDT by L,TOWM (Liberals, The Other White Meat [Quicquid peius optimo nefas])
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To: All

Per FOX weather guy- going through eyewall replacement now...slower movement means harder predictabilty...


893 posted on 09/22/2005 8:55:31 AM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
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To: abb

You have GOT to be kidding.


894 posted on 09/22/2005 8:56:21 AM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
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To: abb

Have you called them yet? What network affiliate?


895 posted on 09/22/2005 8:56:35 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Howlin
#801.

(((sigh)))
Yep... I know...
Check my previous replies for details...
It's just about time for me to log-off, unplug the 'puter and stash it in an upper closet shelf.
(OTOH, maybe the insurance money will pay for replacement of the pathetic valuable antique. LOL!)

896 posted on 09/22/2005 8:56:44 AM PDT by Willie Green (Go Pat Go!!!)
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To: sweet_diane

Anyone but hard core liberals have to be insulted by these ads. Do the creators believe otherwise?


897 posted on 09/22/2005 8:57:05 AM PDT by sarasota
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To: johnb838

Sir James Lighthill in Fluid Mechanics of Tropical Storms, Theoret. Comput. Fluid Dynamics (1998) 10: 3-21 describes a hurricane as a heat engine with the warm seawater at temperature 300 degrees Kelvin as the heat source, and the stratosphere at a temperature of 200 degees Kelvin as the heat sink. By this model one would expect the intensity to increase at night as the stratosphere cools and the sea surface temperture remains essentially the same since Carnot heat engine output is the temperature difference divided by the warm temperature.


898 posted on 09/22/2005 8:57:10 AM PDT by dr huer
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To: txflake
"Haven't gotten around to the oil/gas map, so I don't know if it's worse or better now for that."...

Oil rig map

The map in this link shows yesterday's projected path for Rita, so if you shift its path N-NE, she plows through many manned oil/gas platforms (grey spots on the map). Lord help us.

899 posted on 09/22/2005 8:57:28 AM PDT by OB1kNOb (Sometimes I just can't see the forest for all the gumps.)
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To: Jrabbit

Houston floods.... I would hope the roads clear up and get people moving on the highways. 2 million people in 2 & 3 cars can not get out of Houston and invade populated areas like Dallas... in one way traffic.......... this is all gridlock areas all the time, and this evacutaion is going to make it worse...........


900 posted on 09/22/2005 8:57:32 AM PDT by JFC (West Texas flatlander)
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