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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 3:25:57 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Rita continues to threaten the Greater Houston Metropolitan area. The forecast track has shifted slightly to the northeast, increasing the risk to Southwest Louisiana, and a significant portion of the oil and gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Perry is urging all coastal residents between Beaumont and Corpus Christi to evacuate as soon as possible.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: beaumont; galveston; houston; hurricane; lakecharles; matagorda; portarthur; rita; texascity; tropical
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To: frankjr
Trust me, I have been exposed to weather for over 40 years.

Are you under the impression that the rest of us haven't?

1,501 posted on 09/22/2005 11:34:50 AM PDT by Howlin (Yeah, I'm a BushBot.....so what?)
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To: steveegg
You are right. It is not so good news, and there is even more unpleasant news buried at the bottom AFTER the storm hits where ever it hits:

"Beyond the issue of the actual landfall point -- for the past 2 days, the global models have been forecasting the re-development/intensification of the high pressure ridge over the central U.S. -- and then expands it towards the Gulf coast. What this means, is that after Rita moves inland Saturday morning, it will gradually slow down, then stall out over west central Louisiana - and then is forecast to drift SOUTHWESTWARD towards Houston by Monday. This type of motion would lead to extreme rainfall totals across much of Louisiana and the east-southeast areas of Texas following landfall. Tremendous, life threatening flooding could result from portions of Louisiana southwestward to the Houston area. Storm rainfall totals could easily exceed 20" in some locations."

1,502 posted on 09/22/2005 11:35:16 AM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: Normal4me; NautiNurse

Been nice knowing you ....


1,503 posted on 09/22/2005 11:35:27 AM PDT by tx_eggman (Home is I45 S, just south of Beltway 8 in Houston ... I'm outta here ...)
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To: Howlin

LOL


1,504 posted on 09/22/2005 11:35:31 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: JFC

Add a prenant or pmsing woman to the scenario...

Now, that would be a nightmare. Back window broke of our station wagon in Corpus when I was 7-8 months pregnant -and grammie and gramp in the back seat with the other baby in a car seat on a 115 in the shade day and we had to drive back to Houston.

My hubby is a saint : )


1,505 posted on 09/22/2005 11:36:15 AM PDT by freema (Ready to Rock AND Roll)
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To: Howlin

maybe Frank is an outdoorsy guy that lives in a tent


1,506 posted on 09/22/2005 11:36:15 AM PDT by RDTF
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To: Howlin

I have over 55 years exposure.


1,507 posted on 09/22/2005 11:36:20 AM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: Normal4me

Back off NautiNurse. She and Howlin, jeffers, janet and dozens of others have put their time and effort into making sure we have up to date hurricane information. They save lives (for those willing to listen).
Contribute constructively or go find a DU forum to play in.


1,508 posted on 09/22/2005 11:36:52 AM PDT by brothers4thID (Do you stand with us, or are you going to just stand in the way?)
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To: numberonepal

Rita appears to be intensifying...EXTREMELY impressive satellite images again.


1,509 posted on 09/22/2005 11:37:00 AM PDT by silentknight
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To: Dog Gone
DG,

I can still go. I can get to the river just this side of Eagle Lake driving section roads 80% of the way. No one but farmers or duck hunters could find their way on those roads.

1,510 posted on 09/22/2005 11:37:23 AM PDT by HoustonCurmudgeon (Houston - Showing New Orleans how it's done.)
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To: NautiNurse; All
This is probably a silly question..but..

looking at the pic always shown on FOX, of the long pier sticking out into rhe ocean in Galveston...where is that camera located..It's a live shot..but looks like a fixed location..is that from a high rise on the water? is so..good gawd?

1,511 posted on 09/22/2005 11:38:02 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: Howlin; frankjr
Trust me, I have been exposed to weather for over 40 years.

Are you under the impression that the rest of us haven't?

Over 40 years! Dang, Frank - go in the house once in a while! :o)

1,512 posted on 09/22/2005 11:38:31 AM PDT by GaltMeister (“All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing.”)
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To: Types_with_Fist; frankjr

T_w_F, how many years have you been exposed to weather?


1,513 posted on 09/22/2005 11:38:35 AM PDT by kx9088
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To: ken5050

one of these?

http://www.galveston.com/webcams/


1,514 posted on 09/22/2005 11:38:55 AM PDT by RDTF
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The windspeeds in a Category 5 Hurricane are comparable to the windspeeds in an F3 (Severe) Tornado.

An F3 Tornado has wind speeds from 158 - 206 MPH.

In a "Severe" tornado, there is severe damage including roofs and walls
torn off well-constructed houses, trains overturned, most trees in forests
uprooted, heavy cars lifted off the ground and tossed around, and weak
pavement blown off roads!

At sustained wind speeds of 165 MPH, Hurricane Rita is basically a 100-mile
wide F3 Tornado. [Letter on Hugh Hewitt's website from a listener]


1,515 posted on 09/22/2005 11:39:08 AM PDT by ZGuy
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To: Howlin

The doggone storm is AGAIN moving significantly to the east/north of the REVISED NHC track - the new track is already being overcome by events - looks to me like a solid hit on mid-Lousiana cost is in the offing, unless the trend changes.


1,516 posted on 09/22/2005 11:39:17 AM PDT by LikeLight
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To: SolomoninSouthDakota

LOL! That is what my husband heard a bunch of insurance people saying last night in a hotel.


1,517 posted on 09/22/2005 11:39:17 AM PDT by Lady Heron
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To: OleMissRebelYell; numberonepal

I think we have the beginnings of a fan club here. Somehow, after studying her ... pressure gradients, it is so much clearer than looking at a weather map.


1,518 posted on 09/22/2005 11:39:44 AM PDT by Truth29
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To: Howlin; NautiNurse
New Vortex Data Message - pressure trending down 1 mb to 914 over the last 1:26, but max flight-level wind down 10 knots to 125 knots in the northeast quadrant -

000
URNT12 KNHC 221825Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/1745Z
B. 25 DEG 34 MIN N
   89 DEG 01 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2333 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 300 DEG 120 KT
G. 200 DEG 08 NM
H. 914 MB
I. 12 C/ 3050 M
J. 21 C/ 3056 M
K. 16 C/ NA
L. OPEN SE
M. C015-50
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 1818A RITA OB 29
   MAX FL WIND 125 KT NE QUAD 1754Z

Other notable changes -

- Movement 8 minutes north, 11 minutes west
- Inner eyewall diameter down 3 nm to 15 nm, while the outer eyewall diameter up 2 nm to 50 nm (eyewall replacement cycle seems to be continuing).

1,519 posted on 09/22/2005 11:39:46 AM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: brothers4thID

Tell me what part of Are you the Sultan of Oompompamaumau? saves lives. Are you threatening me?


1,520 posted on 09/22/2005 11:39:49 AM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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