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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Category 3 Hurricane Rita became the fifth major hurricane of the 2005 season during the night. Hurricane Rita threaded the needle through the Florida Straits and moved into the Gulf of Mexico. Storm damage in the Florida Keys and South Florida Peninsula was light, with scattered power outages, scattered tornados, and mild to moderate flooding.

Mandatory evacuations are in effect for Galveston County TX and New Orleans. Additional evacuation orders in the Greater Houston Metropolitan Area are anticipated throughout the day.

Crude oil prices reacted as oil producers shut down and evacuated workers from platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Eastern Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; katrina; katrinassister; rita; tropical; twinhurricanes
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

I was thinking along the lines of a "black hole"!


2,241 posted on 09/21/2005 3:08:11 PM PDT by CedarDave ("I can't swing a dead cat without hitting a reporter" -- Lt. Gen. Honoré)
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To: carinafox5

What wind zone is your model? In that area, they are most likely a wind zone one which is built for 70 MPH winds. I would strongly recommend leaving-especially with a precious baby.


2,242 posted on 09/21/2005 3:08:31 PM PDT by LA Woman3 (On election day, they were driven to the polls...On evacuation day, they had to fend for themselves)
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To: CedarDave

I can't understand people in Galveston saying they are going to ride it out after seeing what happened during Katrina. There is an expected storm search of 16 or more feet.

Then, will they bitch and moan about the Federal Goverment not saving them fast enough after the storm is over?


2,243 posted on 09/21/2005 3:08:39 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: don-o

Why are you complaining about us when there were plenty others who complained about what that poster said?


2,244 posted on 09/21/2005 3:08:42 PM PDT by MamaB (mom to an angel)
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To: CedarDave

Boy, you are cutting it close:

---

The story of my life,,

Guy in front of me at a liquor store bought a random pick winning lotto ticket once and then married my old girlfriend and my dog ran off with him too.. to boot.

:-(

It's OK, the girlfriend and dog both had fleas.

:-)


2,245 posted on 09/21/2005 3:09:07 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... "To remain silent when they should protest makes cowards of men." -- THOMAS JEFFERSON)
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To: SouthTexas; WestCoastGal

Hope you guys are paying close attention. Looks like we're re-running Katrina a couple hundred miles west.


2,246 posted on 09/21/2005 3:09:08 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: CindyDawg

Honore saying Cat 5 gives him the creeps.


2,247 posted on 09/21/2005 3:09:28 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: jeffers

It's not theoretically possible for mb to match wind speed. :p

No way she will hold such strength all the way till landfall IMO. Though, I think she isn;t done strengthening yet. I would not be surprised to see sustained between 180-190 at some point in the next 24 hours.

Even is she weakens back to cat 4, there will likely be another catastrophic storm surge event upcoming.


2,248 posted on 09/21/2005 3:09:31 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Zacs Mom

I can't tell from those pics. The storm has been growing in size. It's easier for me to identify direction in a sat loop.


2,249 posted on 09/21/2005 3:09:49 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Knitting A Conundrum
I've got ZZ Top's song Lagrange running through my head

I've got Delbert McClinton's When Rita Leaves running through mine:

"When Rita leaves, Rita's gone.
She gave me every chance a man could want.
I've never known a love so strong
Or so crazy when she's been done wrong.
When Rita leaves, Rita's gone."

I can't wait to sing that after all of this is over.

2,250 posted on 09/21/2005 3:10:08 PM PDT by RedWhiteBlue
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To: No Blue States

BTTT....


2,251 posted on 09/21/2005 3:10:21 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma (Lord, we need a Logan miracle for Simcha7 and Cowboy. Please.)
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To: Leapfrog
Crystal Beach, can you imagine it surviving? I'm sorry to say, no. My beach house is on the other side, the West side and I've pretty much accepted now that it will be destroyed Saturday morning. I hope I'm wrong.

So houses close to the North Jetty in Port Bolivar are probably in even more trouble, being closer to the eye? I've got lots of fond memories from when my aunt and uncle had a beach house there in the 50's - 70's. (sigh)

2,252 posted on 09/21/2005 3:10:33 PM PDT by OB1kNOb (Sometimes I just can't see the forest for all the gumps.)
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To: NormsRevenge

The Lord is strengthening you for bigger things to come. :)


2,253 posted on 09/21/2005 3:10:41 PM PDT by getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL (Undocumented border patrol agent.)
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To: meyer

I was going to park the tank anyway with these prices. No difference to me between $3 a gallon and $10.


2,254 posted on 09/21/2005 3:10:43 PM PDT by tobyhill (The War on Terrorism is not for the weak.)
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To: Txsleuth

I think the pressure will drop some more, but we are getting about as low as it goes in the Atlantic. It's possible she will end up getting close to the top dogs of history yet.

I'd guess she'll bottom around 890-895mb.


2,255 posted on 09/21/2005 3:11:24 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: RummyChick

I really like him. I've wanted to use his "stupid' post a couple of times today but didn't want to ire NN:')


2,256 posted on 09/21/2005 3:11:40 PM PDT by CindyDawg (Brownsville Texas)
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To: RedWhiteBlue

I've had The Beatles' "Lovely Rita" playing constantly in my head the last few days, although this Rita is anything but lovely.


2,257 posted on 09/21/2005 3:11:56 PM PDT by dfwgator (Flower Mound, TX)
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To: texianyankee
Carla?
2,258 posted on 09/21/2005 3:12:01 PM PDT by Michael Goldsberry (Sugar Land, Texas)
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To: Dog Gone

How far are you from the coast? Are you leaving? If you are near the NHC path you should get out of there.


2,259 posted on 09/21/2005 3:12:12 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Txsleuth
I've lived around here for 50 years, and I don't remember Marine Creek Lake ever flooding.

When Arlington Lake was dug back in 1958, predictions were that it would take a year to fill.

A very wet spring filled the lake in six weeks.

2,260 posted on 09/21/2005 3:12:22 PM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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