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Canadian Dollar (Loonie) surges to 13 1/2-year high as crude oil futures spike
The Canadian Press via COMTEX ^ | Sep 19th, 2005 | Rita Trichur

Posted on 09/19/2005 9:21:13 PM PDT by M. Espinola

The Canadian dollar surged to a 13 1/2-year high Monday - gaining almost a full U.S. cent - as a sharp increase in crude oil prices fired up gains against the U.S. greenback.

The loonie was trading during the day as high as 85.74 cents US, up 0.9 of a cent from Friday's close of 84.84 cents U.S. It later closed at 85.57 cents US, up 0.73 cent,.

"This is the highest we've been since the month of January 1992," said George Davis, chief foreign exchange technical analyst with RBC Capital Markets.

"The market is starting to refocus on the positive correlation between oil prices and the Canadian dollar. So, obviously with oil up over $3 (US) a barrel so far today, we've seen some fairly substantial interest to by the Canadian dollar on the back of that."

During afternoon trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, light sweet crude for October delivery jumped by $4.39 to close at $67.39 US a barrel, amid concerns that tropical storm Rita, gaining strength off the Bahamas, could turn - as hurricane Katrina did - toward U.S. energy facilities in the Gulf of Mexico.

That jump came even as OPEC ministers, meeting in Austria, discussed raising the organization's output ceiling by 500,000 barrels a day or simply making available two million extra barrels each day in an effort to ease worries about refinery shutdowns and a potential winter shortage.

On foreign currency markets, the loonie was also making gains against the euro, the pound sterling and the Japanese yen.

Davis said a 87-cent loonie is possible in the near term, especially if oil prices stay buoyant, but he warned that a high-flying dollar could spell more trouble for the Canada's manufacturing sector.

"Because most of our manufacturing sector is exporting goods to the United States, with an appreciating currency obviously it has a negative impact on the demand for those goods because they become more expensive for Americans," Davis said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Canada
KEYWORDS: cd; currencies; economy; foreigncurrency; forex; greenback; trade; usd
If the current bullish trending continues the Canadian Dollar (Loonie), when exchanged with the U.S. Dollar, will be very close to producing an equal rate of return.

Canadian Dollar (CD, CME) Monthly Price Chart

1 posted on 09/19/2005 9:21:15 PM PDT by M. Espinola
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To: M. Espinola
The price of energy has nothing to do with the value of the Loonie. The Federal Reserve is devaluing the dollar. Does anyone see similarities between this article and this one?
2 posted on 09/19/2005 9:33:19 PM PDT by SolidSupplySide
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To: M. Espinola

I thought the Canadian "Loonie" was there two dollar coin


3 posted on 09/19/2005 9:52:34 PM PDT by tophat9000 (This bulletin just in:"Chinese's Fire Drill's" will now be known as "New Orleans' Hurricane Drill's")
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To: tophat9000

I've heard the two-dollar coin referred to as a "Twonie" (i.e, too-nie). That makes the combination of the two coins a "Loonie Twonie". Th-h-h-at's All, Folks!


4 posted on 09/19/2005 9:58:57 PM PDT by StevieB
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To: tophat9000
Loonie = 1 Canadian dollar (has a picture/engraving of a loon on the obverse side, reverse has Queen on it)

Twonie = 2 dollar coin

5 posted on 09/19/2005 10:04:46 PM PDT by ikka
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To: ikka
Loonie = 1 Canadian dollar (has a picture/engraving of a loon on the obverse side, reverse has Queen on it)

That would be two loons, right? One on each side. :-)

6 posted on 09/19/2005 10:10:25 PM PDT by peyton randolph (Warning! It is illegal to fatwah a camel in all 50 states)
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To: SolidSupplySide
Some of the upside to the Loonie is directly linked to Canada's favorable bond issues. In relation to petrol fueled inflation, I firmly believe there is a lot of merit to growing concerns and the gold market is one reflection of that elevated concern.

The two-year Canadian bond rose 3 Canadian cents to C$99.07 to yield 3.192 percent, while the 10-year bond gained 11 Canadian cents to C$104.71 to yield 3.91 percent.

The yield spread between the two-year and 10-year bond moved to 71.8 basis points from 71.8 at the previous close.

The 30-year bond advanced 36 Canadian cents to C$114.00 to yield 4.197 percent. In the United States, the 30-year treasury yielded 4.565 percent.

The three-month when-issued T-bill yielded 2.83 percent, down from 2.84 percent from the previous close.

There are other factors including oil, which Canada has an abundance of.

Canada's Dollar Higher on Rate Prospects, Rise in Commodities

``The Canadian dollar remains very firm on the FX market against all major currency pairs,'' wrote Shaun Osborne, currency strategist at Scotia Capital in Toronto. ``Key commodity benchmarks help to support the unit, with gold at a new 17-year high.''

A report today showed an increase in foreign purchases of Canadian securities.

International investors bought C$3.34 billion ($2.83 billion) of Canadian stocks, bonds and other securities in July, Statistics Canada reported in Ottawa. It was the biggest monthly amount this year and exceeded economists' forecast of C$2.3 billion, based on a median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. In June, net purchases decline C$2.37 billion.

U.S. Dollar Falls as Traders Reduce Bets Before Fed Policy Meeting

7 posted on 09/19/2005 10:21:23 PM PDT by M. Espinola (Freedom is never free)
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To: StevieB; ikka; peyton randolph

Canada's Coins


8 posted on 09/19/2005 10:28:46 PM PDT by M. Espinola (Freedom is never free)
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To: tophat9000
"I thought the Canadian "Loonie" was there two dollar coin"

It is the $1 coin. The Twonie is the $2.

In 2003, and in celebration of the 50th Anniversary of the Coronation of Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II, the Royal Canadian Mint introduced a seventh effigy, the fourth to feature the Queen’s image.

Check out this $100.00 Canadian Gold Dollar Coin

9 posted on 09/19/2005 10:46:28 PM PDT by M. Espinola (Freedom is never free)
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To: tophat9000
The 2004 'Lucky Loonie' celebrates Canada's Olympic athletes and underscores their commitment to sports excellence. The one-dollar coin was minted for general circulation but was also presented to each member of the 2004 Canadian Olympic Team as a good luck charm during the Athens Games.'Lucky Loonie'.

60th Anniversary VE Day Nickel The 2005 Victory in Europe Anniversary Nickel honours the 60th anniversary of the end of WWII. This special circulation coin is a representation of the 5-cent coin created in 1943 to promote the Canadian war effort. (See page 3 to view original (1943-1945) wartime coin)

10 posted on 09/19/2005 10:57:19 PM PDT by M. Espinola (Freedom is never free)
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To: peyton randolph; StevieB
OK I guess I got it mixed up ..the last time I was up in Canuckada was in 2000 (used to work for a Toronto based company)
11 posted on 09/19/2005 11:11:50 PM PDT by tophat9000 (This bulletin just in:"Chinese's Fire Drill's" will now be known as "New Orleans' Hurricane Drill's")
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To: tophat9000

That's OK, bud. The loonie is the Canuck buck, but if you want to see the Quenn with a bare (bear, actually) behind, the twonie is the coin you want.

(Note the post a couple above for confirmation.)


12 posted on 09/20/2005 2:05:44 AM PDT by Don W (Nevermind, I live in CUBA-NORTH! AKA Canuckistan)
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To: M. Espinola
Some of the upside to the Loonie is directly linked to Canada's favorable bond issues. In relation to petrol fueled inflation, I firmly believe there is a lot of merit to growing concerns and the gold market is one reflection of that elevated concern.

You may read that in the press, but is in direct contradiction to classical economics. The value of the Loonie (or any other currency) is wholly a function of monetary policy.

13 posted on 09/20/2005 6:49:40 AM PDT by SolidSupplySide
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To: SolidSupplySide
You are right, it is a contradiction in terms of classical economics, but in todays panic driven markets things are haywire out there.

Hurricane season is not over yet and we could still have additional 'energy' flow disruptions which in turn will jack up the 'energies' and will also be effecting trending in stock indexes as well as key currencies. It's Loonie!

14 posted on 09/20/2005 7:58:56 AM PDT by M. Espinola (Freedom is never free)
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To: M. Espinola
Oh my God...Does Canada really have a DUCK on their national currency? Is THIS their national anthem?
15 posted on 09/20/2005 8:01:18 AM PDT by Capitalism2003
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To: peyton randolph; ikka
Loonie = 1 Canadian dollar (has a picture/engraving of a loon on the obverse side, reverse has Queen on it)

That would be two loons, right? One on each side. :-)

A loon on one side ... and some sort of water-bird on the other!

16 posted on 09/20/2005 8:03:22 AM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilisation is aborting, buggering, and contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: Capitalism2003
It is not a duck but actually is a "loon". Loons are a beautiful bird, have a very awesome call that echos over the lakes and is a very common bird in the lakes of Ontario, Quebec etc.

If you go into any tourist store in Cottage Country in Ontario and there are many a picture and/or sculture of the loon.

17 posted on 09/20/2005 8:06:04 AM PDT by hawkaw
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To: hawkaw; Capitalism2003
I have seen loons ('huard' in French) swimming under water in the lakes & ponds throughout the Townships of Québec and also Vermont. They are incredible swimmers in search of food with very fine colour markings.

The Common Loon - a postage stamp issued by Canada in 2000

18 posted on 09/20/2005 10:58:51 AM PDT by M. Espinola (Freedom is never free)
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To: Capitalism2003
That 'national anthem' would have the loon going totally loony.
19 posted on 09/20/2005 11:01:50 AM PDT by M. Espinola (Freedom is never free)
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