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Tropical Storm Rita Live Thread
NHC - NOAA ^ | 18 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/18/2005 1:56:41 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Rita has developed from TD 18 in the Atlantic Ocean. TS Rita is currently located north of Hispaniola, the eastern tip of Cuba, and ESE of Nassau, Bahamas. Hurricane watches and warnings are in effect for portions of Florida. Check for local weather statements.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only!
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live"
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP) - mms://216.242.118.141/broadband

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Announcements; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; lovelyrita; rita; tropical; weather
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
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To: HoustonCurmudgeon

You did??

Well, then, I trust you...I am going with your diagnosis!!1


1,681 posted on 09/19/2005 8:43:49 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Arlington, Texas--future home of the Dallas Cowboys!)
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To: MobileLiam

Good night.


1,682 posted on 09/19/2005 8:45:42 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) Tryin' to Reason with Hurricane season)
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To: NautiNurse

jeez....and all this time..I thought he did---

of course, I am not familiar with the geography in South Florida...so, I could be misunderstanding his location...which is HIGHLY likely!!!


1,683 posted on 09/19/2005 8:46:17 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Arlington, Texas--future home of the Dallas Cowboys!)
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To: jpsb

good night ..... good night.


.......didn't want you to feel left out :)


1,684 posted on 09/19/2005 8:46:35 PM PDT by Gabz ((Chincoteague, VA) Tryin' to Reason with Hurricane season)
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To: jpsb

Doc Frank says hold on...there partner...we've got sometime here...since Doc was with the NHC for 25 yrs and director lots of that time...I'll pay close attention to him. He talked about projection of the ridge moving eastward...not sure he thinks that will happen as fast as all that. So if I lived around CC or the KING RANCH...I'd keep my eyes on this one...in other words don't relax just yet...


1,685 posted on 09/19/2005 8:48:41 PM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
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To: jpsb

The Keys were really torn up by the wind during Andrew, but there were a lot of Boats and Buildings that were swamped. It is not like NOLA because there is not that much land and there is Water on both sides. The waters will recede right back and be absorbed by the Ocean. It will make a mess,but they are used to that especially in the Conch Republic.


1,686 posted on 09/19/2005 8:48:46 PM PDT by samantha (Cheer up, the adults are in charge.)
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To: HoustonCurmudgeon
My Jeep - insured by Houston Curmudgeon.

Thank you. No deductible, I assume, since you are so confident.
1,687 posted on 09/19/2005 8:49:43 PM PDT by Flyer (Houston FReepers ~ http://houstonliberty.com/forums/ ~ (SW Houston)
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To: nwctwx

Tide levels always rise north, east in this case, of the eye. If she turns north as hard as some models predict, it could push back into Ponchatrain. Don't know how much, if any, rain they can handle and they would be on the "wet" side. Really don't think they are out of the woods yet. ;)


1,688 posted on 09/19/2005 8:49:58 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: Txsleuth
Florida Keys map
1,689 posted on 09/19/2005 8:50:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse

Is it still a full moon tonight? That also will make the tides higher than normal.


1,690 posted on 09/19/2005 8:50:55 PM PDT by samantha (Cheer up, the adults are in charge.)
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To: NautiNurse
"They are in for a rough day tomorrow."

Yup but hopefully not a killer day, we are all making plans around here, looks like my spare car (bad tires and all) will be hitting the road weds or thurs, got a couple of employees that are carless. I will see to it that they all get out if NHC forecast holds. When I will hold up in a nice strong 3 story here for Rita.

1,691 posted on 09/19/2005 8:52:57 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: MobileLiam

Storm started moving faster too.


1,692 posted on 09/19/2005 8:53:14 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: NautiNurse

They showed them on local news. The hospital patients from Key West were loaded onto a huge cargo plane. Even though some of them were pretty ill, they seemed to enjoy the ride. Sebring's a quaint town.


1,693 posted on 09/19/2005 8:53:35 PM PDT by floriduh voter (www.conservative-spirit.org Daily Newsfeeds & Weekly Update)
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To: shield

I am thinking Mexico, based on water vapor. But I am always wrong. 3 days out NHC is very very good.


1,694 posted on 09/19/2005 8:55:27 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: NautiNurse

Interesting....Hwy. 1 is just one long bridge, looks like. I've been to Panama City and Fort Lauderdale....never knew much about the Keys. Thanks for the link.


1,695 posted on 09/19/2005 8:56:59 PM PDT by Jrabbit
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To: samantha

Yes, today is full moon.


1,696 posted on 09/19/2005 8:57:32 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: NautiNurse

I find that it is SOP at the NHC and the NWS, the same detailed and advance warnings as always and still people do not heed the warnings.

3 weeks from possibly the worst natural disaster in our countries history and people are still going to "ride it out". Katrina went from a car 3 to cat 5 in about 24 hours. Rita could do the same which puts it at a cat 3 or high 2.

Maybe it is just me being from Dallas and not understanding such complicated things as 100mph winds and 5-10ft storm surge on an island that’s is like 6 feet above sea level (I am not exactly sure on this but it can’t be much above sea level, I have been there and it looked really flat to me.)


Go Cowboys!


1,697 posted on 09/19/2005 8:59:02 PM PDT by fishntex (Something is actually happening Reg)
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To: jpsb

Most people forget that 11 people died, an overpass collapsed, and a million were without electricity in Florida following it's little clash with baby Katrina.


1,698 posted on 09/19/2005 9:00:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: SouthTexas
A storm coming in on the west side would push water into the lake, but there would never be a component to pull it towards NO (no switch to north wind as the storm passes by like we had with Katrina). The center would have to pass pretty close to the city to see massive water level rises.

Katrina hit one of the regions of the GOM most susceptible to big surge, and came ashore just east of the worst possible situation for the city.

I didn't say they are out of the woods, but focusing on NO at this point would be foolish...
1,699 posted on 09/19/2005 9:01:08 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: NautiNurse; rodguy911

Thanks for the map...does rodguy live NORTH of Seven Mile Bridge?


1,700 posted on 09/19/2005 9:02:26 PM PDT by Txsleuth (Arlington, Texas--future home of the Dallas Cowboys!)
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