...Ophelia slips back into Tropical Storm status...
984mb, 70mph...Watches could be required for portions of the southeastern U.S. Coast later today.
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Posted on 09/08/2005 1:46:25 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Ophelia is churning off the Florida Atlantic coast.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Melbourne FL Long Range Radar Loop
Melbourne Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
News4Jax.com
Hurricane City
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Note to self: Better buy more beer.
PING
I'm sure she's prepared to weather any storm that comes her way. :)
Ping what? :-)
UGH.......what's the time on that? WHEN?
I'm suppose to go to North Myrtle Beach next weekend! Dang it!
Our local news said y'all can expect Ophelia on Tuesday.
Here, or come ashore somewhere on Tuesday?
Really difficult to give a landfall time on this one.
Just tell me it's NOT next Friday!
Looks like it will be sooner than that.
New GFS has flopped back to a SC landfall in 2-3 days.
Are they ready? Is FEMA already there? Are they bussing people out?
:-)
I'll probably be at the Eddie Money House of Blues concert on the 23rd. I'll be the drunk dood at the bar...
This has the potential to get ugly if they don't figure out what it's gonna do soon with enough confidence to issue evac orders. The latest NHC forecast has it making landfall over Charleston as a Category 2.
The latest forecast is landfall over Charleston on Monday and in NC by Wednesday, although it should be weakened enough that it won't be much of a big deal in NC, according to the forecast.
My mother was born in Lake Wales in 1929, after her parents re-located from central IL after my grandfather lost his shirt in the crash in Oct. My grandfather heard there was a City Clerk job open - he had a degree in accounting from Univ. of Ill. and so they moved.
Ten years later, they went back to Illinois, when my mom saw snow for the first time :-). Even though she spent almost her entire life in central Illinois, she considers herself a native Floridian.
My parents moved to Lake Wales in 1986 and they suffered through 3 of the hurricanes last year, when the eyes all went over Polk County. I told my dad, after Charley blew through in a big hurry, "Well, at least all of the trees are already down!!!!" :-/
Yomama the Weather Bird was squawking & singing her head off yesterday- which I'll interpret as a good sign, since she gets very quiet when she's scared.
Of course, there is the contrarian view- she's singing to attract the storm in hopes of locating a mate for the rainy season... :)
...Ophelia weakens slightly to a strong tropical storm but expected to regain hurricane intensity... while remaining near the southeast U.S. Coast...
Interests from northern Florida through the Carolinas should closely monitor the progress of Ophelia during the next few days.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 5 am EDT...0900z...the center of Tropical Storm Ophelia was located near latitude 31.2 north... longitude 76.8 west or about 220 miles... 350 km... east-southeast of Charleston South Carolina and about 285 miles... 460 km...south-southwest of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
Ophelia is moving toward the northeast near 10 mph...17 km/hr. A decrease in forward speed is expected today.
Data from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased and are now near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher gusts. However...some strengthening is forecast and Ophelia could again become a hurricane during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 90 miles...150 km from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb...29.06 inches.
Repeating the 5 am EDT position...31.2 N... 76.8 W. Movement toward...northeast near 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 70 mph. Minimum central pressure... 984 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 am EDT.
Forecaster Knabb
...Ophelia slips back into Tropical Storm status...
984mb, 70mph...Watches could be required for portions of the southeastern U.S. Coast later today.
There is always a hurricane thread. Search on the storm name if you can't find it at firdt.
Dang, that red path is bizzare and just one mountain range from me.
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