Hurricane Ophelia Live Thread

NHC - NOAA ^ | 8 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Ophelia is churning off the Florida Atlantic coast.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Melbourne FL Long Range Radar Loop
Melbourne Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic

Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
News4Jax.com
Hurricane City
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[tomkat]

In the hope that roman numerals won't be necessary for this one, please add me to your list.    :-(

[NautiNurse]

charcoal/propane for outdoor cooking, plastic utensils, paper plates, medications (including OTC allergy meds), bug repellent, paper towels and tissues...I can't believe you haven't obtained the critical chocolate supplies yet. tsk tsk...now you have me worried! :o)

[Guenevere]

lol....

..and we have an electric grill....lot of good that's going to do me!! :)

The rest of the stuff I have.

Except the chocolate....
..will make a store run tomorrow!

[NautiNurse]

Done

[nuclady]

What about toilet paper?????? :))

[NautiNurse]

see above where I mentioned "tissues." That was to cover both tp and kleenex. ;o)

[DocRock]

I've owned this water filtration system since Sept. 11. Every survival kit should include one.



Click the Pic

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Ophelia Intermediate Advisory Number 10a
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on September 08, 2005

 
...Ophelia continues meandering off the Florida East Coast with
little change in strength...

 
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the East Coast of
Florida from Sebastian Inlet northward to Flagler Beach.  A Tropical
Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

 
A tropical storm watch is in effect for the northeast Florida
coast from north of Flagler Beach to Fernandina Beach. A tropical
storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area within the next 36 hours.

 
Interests elsewhere in northern and central Florida...and the
southeastern United States coast...should monitor the progress of
this system.

 

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Ophelia was located
near latitude 28.6 north... longitude 79.4 west or about 75 miles
east-northeast of Cape Canaveral Florida.

 
Ophelia is stationary and a slow northeastward motion may occur over
the next 12 to 24 hours.

 
Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that the maximum sustained winds are near  75 mph...with higher
gusts.  Ophelia is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.  Some increase in strength is forecast during the next 24
hours.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  15 miles... 30 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to  80 miles...130 km.

 
The hurricane hunter aircraft just reported a minimum central
pressure of  990 mb...29.23 inches.

 
Ophelia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to
3 inches across portions of central and northern Florida.

 
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...28.6 N... 79.4 W.  Movement
...Stationary.  Maximum sustained winds... 75 mph.  Minimum central
pressure... 990 mb.

 
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 PM EDT.

 
Forecaster Beven

[backhoe]

I think David is the only one that has hit the Georgia coast since 1898...

Dora in 1964 whacked us pretty good- we had a house on the beach of the south end of St. Simons. Around 9 O'clock that night, the seawall started coming into the yard, so we headed for the Strachan house up the street, the highest piece of land around. A whopping 15 feet above sea level. Where we watched their bulkhead disintegrate all night. Our house weathered the storm fine, except for needing a new seawall. The old house we're in now survived what was called "the great hurricane" of 1898- an estimated Cat 3 storm stalled offshore and beat the area for days.

[SE Mom]

Just took the dogs out for a walk...it's blowin a fine gale out there..

[Amelia]

I didn't think about Dora. I was living in Florida then.

Funny you should mention Dora, considering Ophelia's possible course....we evacuated to near Tallahassee, where we had family, and the darn storm followed us across the state, went into the gulf, and IIRC went through the panhandle and Georgia from that side.

[Amelia]

Track of Dora.

[Cedar]

watermark

[NautiNurse]

very good!

[Cedar]

Just trying to stay afloat of the news :)

[twin2]

Hot and dry in Miami today, just the way we like it.

Also, one thing I would add to your "to do" list...right before the storm take a hot shower and wash your hair, you may not get to do that again for a while.

[Textide]

Howling winds keeping me awake here near Daytona. Please add me to the ping list for new threads on this storm. Thanks.

[Corin Stormhands]

place holder

[NautiNurse]

Done!

[Corin Stormhands]

If you have a general ping list, could you add me please? Thanks.