Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[CaliGangsta]

There's a link to notify them of down cams, I wonder if we should let them know :D

[Ichneumon]

We are not worried about the levees breaking. The water could go OVER them. That is the real concern.

The real problem is that once any water goes over any "low spot" in a levee, it quickly erodes a "channel" into the levee, breaching it not just at the top, but for almost its entire height (rather like the graphic in post 2056.

It's like the bursting of a dam -- the water isn't just "spilling" over the top anymore, it's rushing out in a torrent, and the entire body of water which used to be held in check is now emptying itself into the other side of the levee. Before long the net effect is as if the levee wasn't there at all.

In short, once a levee starts to go at all, it's pretty much *gone*.

[Bogey78O]

We're not in a boarded up house.

I figured since we're all losing power I'd lean on the internet connection till it goes out.

I don't see the usualy haze of lights to the south like I'm used to. I imagine most of Covington is going dark. Probably not too good in the city right now.

[stlnative]

ParadeCam and StreetCarCam are the same cam

[kingu]

Paradecam back up, light across street is back on.

[LibertyRocks]

Parade Cam back on - That's one tough webcam! LOL The manufacturer should be proud... Emergency street light has come back on as well.

[F14 Pilot]

[jacquej]

got up to see the 4 AM report, and am hopeful that the pressure is up, and let us all pray that it keeps rising.

Shep on Fox news just now sounded upbeat because of the news that the cane seems to be weakening, and heading more toward the east of NO. I am confused, however, from from reading the weather guys on their forums arguing about which side would be better for the cane to head for...

I have learned enough not to pay much attention to wind reports, but to the "millebars" which is a better indicator, or so they say, of what is going on within the cane.

[Bogey78O]

Dang... my strongest powerpack is beeping telling me I have only a couple minutes of power left for the modem. Gonna try and save it for around 6AM

[Iowa Granny]

In short, once a levee starts to go at all, it's pretty much *gone*.

And once it goes, what remains of the levee prevents the water from receeding once the storm is over.

[stlnative]

ParadeCam aka StreetCarCam is back up

[KakaduDreamer]

Yeah ParadeCam! Welcome back!

[Uncle Ike]

"Paradecam is down - the light went off across the street and then the feed gave out."


What am I doing wrong?? I've got paradecam on dialup, and it's still showing images -- lights and everything...

Of course, according to the time-stamp on the images, I'm running a couple of minutes behind real-time, so that may have changed when I check back....

[itsinthebag]

Fox news reporting that eye of storm may miss New Orleans. Winds weakening, pressure rising. All good news.

[sonofatpatcher2]

Stay safe.... God Speed...

[Flyer]

Check in when ya can

Prayers up!

[Ellesu]

Any news on how high Lake Pontchartrain is ?

[SauronOfMordor]

Latest satellite image shows the eye just hitting shore now

[maggief]

Oh boy, I need some sleep. bbl

Do you have the link for Vortex Data Messages?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml

[Godebert]

Looks like NO dodged a bullet. I reckon all those prayers helped.