Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Howlin]

I saw that just last week!

[onyx]

Bravo!

[Howlin]

It's under Listen Live or Live Coverage.

[Ronzo]

Re-check your math. 100 cars will hold less than 10% of the 100,000 people. No way you are going to get 1000 folks in a rail car. Try 1000 rail cars and 50 or 100 locomotives. And as I asked someone else in another post - where are you going to take them?

You are correct PAR35. You can get 10,000 to 15,000 out with about 100 modern passenger cars...enough to empty the Superdome in two or three round trips.

Where would they go? Lake Charles...perhaps Beaumont. Wouldn't get them ENTIRELY out of the storms path....but both locations should be much better off than NO.

As for shelters, the usual: gymns, churches, warehouses, Sam's Club, Costco...

[justa-hairyape]

There is a good chance that by this time tomorrow nights we will have had more deaths than any disaster in US history. A completely preventable WTC, predicted for decades, yet the city and state ended up being far too unprepared.

There are quite literally thousands of people right now along this coast that fear they may die later today. The death toll has the potential of being 10 WTC attacks. This could make the Iraq War 'death toll' look very minor in comparison. Emergency response to the area could quite literally save thousands of lives. They will need hundreds of volunteers. There will be thousands of emergency evacs needed. As usual, flooding will be the main problem.

[Flyer]

Yes, and Pax and Ditter. And I'm sure there are many more.

This is gonna be an all nighter.

[buickmackane]

Alexandria coverage at this link:

http://www.thetowntalk.com/apps/pbcs.dll/frontpage

The Alexandria Town Talk reports that Rapides Parish schools will be open as usual on Monday, so it's waaaaaay past my bedtime and this will be my last post of the night. It turns out that the school board was trying to judge whether or not the schools would need to be turned into shelters for evacuees before they rendered their decision.

My little girl and I went out for a late dinner and we noticed quite a few construction vehicles parked at Shoney's belonging to a company with a Houma address. Coincidentally, I just purchased a used vehicle this week at an auction, and the title indicates that its previous owner lived in Houma. It's a cute little car that was well maintained, so I'm glad that I rescued it from possible destruction at its former home!

We struck up a friendly conversation with an evacuating family in the Shoney's parking lot, and they told us they had no hotel reservations. I told them about the City of Alexandria's decision to open its municipal buildings and animal shelter to evacuees, and they were very grateful.

MacArthur Drive was full of vehicles clogging hotel driveways even though "No Vacancy" appeared on the marquees. I noticed an Alexandria police car parked next to the office at the Super 8 and wondered whether things were starting to get ugly at the front desk.

Meanwhile, in Pineville, a power transformer had blown out affecting the streetlights running down the length of Main Street and a good portion of the city. We were at a friend's house when she got a phone call from a relative who said was trapped in the dark with a newborn baby, and my friend took off like a shot to rescue them. It was pretty eerie, and I was grateful that it didn't affect the whole town. Still, when we stocked up on supplies, we made a point not to buy any more frozen food in case we should lose power ourselves.

I can't stay awake any longer, so one more time, I'll send prayers to everyone in Katrina's path. Stay safe and dry, y'all -- pleasant dreams!

[PhiKapMom]

Great job!

[John Jamieson]

Windmill power = K*airdensity*rotorarea*velocity^3.

Want to bet dinner on it?

MIT'67 XVI (aero/astro) NASA '67-'94 retired.

[Howlin]

That's what Karl says.

[AntiGuv]

100 mph winds won't kill you unless they drop a tree or a VW Bug on your head.

[kenth]

ha! I'm here in the north GA mountains now. Last summer I saw that familiar cap on a guy in the parking lot of a local shopping center. I yelled across the parking lot. He didn't miss a beat with the SOONER. Felt like I was back home for a minute. ;-)

[BurbankKarl]

KAOK guy just said winds were 100 mph in the greater NO areas...

He used to chase tornadoes with the "young Art Bell"

back after commercials

[txdoda]

Did you see the evacuee report that his car was broken into as soon as he checked in at Houston...his car stereo, and personal belongings.

No......hope the scumbag is caught.

[warsaw44]

20 people werent killed at those apartments?

[flying Elvis]

The impact of insects at that speed stings a little though.

[raygun]

Radial point is ~90nm E Venice, LA (tip of Delta) and 65 nm south of Dauphin Island, AL:

ID      T1 TIME    LAT     LON DIST HDG WDIR  WSPD   GST  WVHT   DPD   APD MWD   PRES  PTDY  ATMP  WTMP  DEWP   VIS  TIDE
           (GMT)                 nm   °    °   kts   kts    ft   sec   sec   °     in    in    °F    °F    °F    mi    ft
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
42040    B 0550  29.18  -88.21    0   0  100  46.6  58.3  40.0    13     -   -  29.20 -0.18  81.7  84.6  79.7     -     -
42007    B 0550  30.09  -88.77   62 332   80  27.2  46.6  15.1    14     -   -  29.35 -0.15  80.1  86.0  79.7     -     -
OSTF1    O 0550  30.36  -89.61  102 315   10   7.8  19.4     -     -     -   -  29.47 -0.10  75.7     -  74.1     -     -
42039    B 0550  28.79  -86.02  117 101  130  33.0  42.7  23.0    13     -   -  29.58 -0.03  85.6  86.2  78.3     -     -
42036    B 0550  28.50  -84.52  198 101  140  25.3  33.0  16.7    13     -   -  29.71 -0.02  84.2  84.2  77.9     -     -
42001    B 0550  25.84  -89.66  215 201  240  27.2  35.0  17.1    12     -   -  29.37 +0.09  84.0  85.3  77.4     -     -
BYGL1    O 0542  29.78  -90.42  121 288   40     -     -     -     -     -   -  29.35     -  77.7  85.3     -     -     -
LABL1    O 0542  30.05  -90.37  124 295   40  22.9  41.0     -     -     -   -  29.46     -  80.1     -     -     -     -
LABL1    O 0536  30.05  -90.37  124 295   40  22.9  35.9     -     -     -   -  29.47     -  80.4     -     -     -     -
WAVM6    O 0530  30.28  -89.37   89 318   60  24.1  44.1     -     -     -   -  29.49     -     -     -     -     -     -
LABL1    O 0530  30.05  -90.37  124 295   40  22.9  39.0     -     -     -   -  29.48     -  80.2     -     -     -     -
APCF1    O 0530  29.73  -84.98  172  78    -     -     -     -     -     -   -  29.77     -     -     -     -     -     -
BYGL1    O 0524  29.78  -90.42  121 288   40     -     -     -     -     -   -  29.37     -  78.3  85.5     -     -     -
LABL1    O 0524  30.05  -90.37  124 295   40  26.0  39.0     -     -     -   -  29.47     -  80.2     -     -     -     -
BYGL1    O 0518  29.78  -90.42  121 288   40     -     -     -     -     -   -  29.36     -  78.3  85.5     -     -     -
LABL1    O 0518  30.05  -90.37  124 295   50  26.0  39.0     -     -     -   -  29.48     -  80.4     -     -     -     -
BYGL1    O 0512  29.78  -90.42  121 288   20     -     -     -     -     -   -  29.38     -  78.4  85.6     -     -     -
LABL1    O 0512  30.05  -90.37  124 295   40  21.0  38.1     -     -     -   -  29.48     -  80.6     -     -     -     -
PCBF1    O 0512  30.21  -85.88  136  62    -  15.9  22.9     -     -     -   -  29.72     -     -     -     -     -     -
APCF1    O 0512  29.73  -84.98  172  78    -     -     -     -     -     -   -  29.78     -     -     -     -     -     -
BYGL1    O 0506  29.78  -90.42  121 288   30     -     -     -     -     -   -  29.38     -  78.3  85.6     -     -     -
LABL1    O 0506  30.05  -90.37  124 295   40  24.1  39.0     -     -     -   -  29.49     -  81.0     -     -     -     -
DPIA1    C 0505  30.25  -88.07   65   6   80    36    41     -     -     -   -  29.55 -0.06  84.0  85.6  80.4     -  3.88
42067    O 0500  30.04  -88.65   56 336  100  35.0  46.6     -     -     -   -      -     -  78.8  86.0     -     -     -
BURL1    C 0500  28.90  -89.43   66 256   80    73    83     -     -     -   -  28.93 -0.28  80.8     -     -     -     -
WAVM6    O 0500  30.28  -89.37   89 318   40  25.1  32.1     -     -     -   -  29.52     -  79.2  85.1     -     -     -
PCLF1    O 0500  30.40  -87.21   90  35    -   4.1   7.0     -     -     -   -  29.63     -  81.0  85.8     -     -     -
GDIL1    C 0500  29.27  -89.96   92 274   40    47    58     -     -     -   -  29.18 -0.21  80.4  84.2  80.4   0.9     -
BYGL1    O 0500  29.78  -90.42  121 288   30     -     -     -     -     -   -  29.39 -0.12  78.3  85.6     -     -     -
ILDL1    O 0500  29.05  -90.53  122 267   10  44.1  56.9   9.2    16     -   -  29.18 -0.21  78.8  88.0     -     -  2.87
LABL1    O 0500  30.05  -90.37  124 295   40  19.0  34.0     -     -     -   -  29.49 -0.10  80.8     -     -     -     -
LUML1    O 0500  29.25  -90.66  128 272   10  35.9  47.0     -     -     -   -  29.23 -0.20  77.7  79.9  75.2     -  0.39
TAML1    O 0500  29.19  -90.67  129 271   30  39.0  52.1     -     -     -   -  29.21 -0.21  79.3  80.8  75.9     -  0.77
PCBF1    O 0500  30.21  -85.88  136  62    -  13.0  21.0     -     -     -   -  29.73     -     -     -     -     -     -
SGOF1    C 0500  29.41  -84.86  176  85  130    26    29     -     -     -   -  29.76 +0.02  84.4  86.4  77.9     -     -
MRSL1    O 0500  29.44  -92.06  202 275   50  21.0  31.1   3.3    18     -   -  29.47 -0.08  82.0  89.6     -   7.5  2.66
KTNF1    C 0500  29.82  -83.59  244  80   80    12    14     -     -     -   -  29.84 +0.01  76.6     -  74.8     -     -
    1 B = Buoy, C = C-MAN Station, D = Drifting Buoy, S = Ship, O = Other

[Diddle E. Squat]

Sure they can. Coliseum, athletic dept gyms, student recreational facilities, classrooms with chairs pushed into the corner. Numerous local school buildings and govt buildings in the capital, too. Expensive, looting problems, but in a once in a lifetime emergency that can be dealt with. We have in the past.

[pax_et_bonum]

Are you talking about me, Flyer?

[bellas_sister]

Why is it Bush's fault?

Any thing weather related is obviously Global Warming and we all know that is Bush's fault.