Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part V

NHC - NOAA ^ | 28 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:

http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[mware]

Wan't it General Bulford prior to the 1st day at Gettesburg who said. I can see this battle as if it has already happen.

[BJungNan]

Sorry, came in a bit late in your discussion. Are you talking about how long it took for the Mayor to issue the evacuation order for New Orleans?

I understand 480,000 people are trying to get out of there right now. They better have both sides of the free open in the "get out of there" direction.

[painter]

I just looked at the National Hurricane Center's Satelite loop. To me it looks like it's starting to drift more to the west. From your view will it still hit NO head on?

[AntiGuv]

There seems to be a bit of confusion here, though I'm not entirely sure (it's hard to keep up with these huge threads). The worst-case scenario for New Orleans is for the eye to pass to the east, not to the west (as is ordinarily the case in hurricanes). This is because a hurricane passing to the east will push Lake Ponchetrain (sp?) into the city, whereas a hurricane to the west won't (but it'll still be a mess, just not an apocalyptic mess).

[al baby]

mega bytes millibars i dont know

[cmsgop]

Please no Christy Lane...please no.

LMAO!

[Mister Baredog]

I heard it's like Camille(1969) but much bigger. Camille was so strong the instrumentation to measure wind velocity disintergrated.(well over 200 mph)

[Styria]

The pumps I'm used to have to be underwater to work, because the switch turning them on floats. Otherwise you have to lift it up by hand.

Pumping can be dangerous, though. If the ground is saturated, all that water will be pushing on the basement walls. Water in the basement will equalize the pressure, but if you remove it, they can collapse. Our fire department won't pump basements anymore.

[Clara Lou]

My FQ webcam shows The Quearter deserted.

[spectre]

184 MPH?

sw

[Peach]

I realize there are more important things to do than to point fingers right now, but the fact is that ordering an evacuation a half day before a Category 5 storm hits the most vulnerable city in America is criminal.

It's criminal stupidity the likes of which I don't think I've seen before.

[commish]

OMG. 902 confirmed. :-(

We will see 180-190 surface at the 4PM CT advisory. I cannot express how deep my sadness for the people of LA and Mississippi is at this moment. THey are about to see Camille wiped from the record books.

[abb]

I hesitated to use the term "panic," but that's what it was

[Knitting A Conundrum]

Weeping for memories of standing at the Aquarium one hot summer afternoon when the air felt like an anvil, and walking down the moonwalk looking back at Jackson square, memories of the time struck by the Cathedral clock as I cut school and wandered through the French Quarter, the smell of the old Jackson Brewery blowing down Toulouse street, the taste of ice cream and cappichino at Brocato's and the memories when I taught one of the Brocato granddaughters, the smell of beignets and cafe aulait at Morning call, the fun of catching my first redfish under the Bridge at the mouth of the Industrial canal, the fun of chasing mullets in the green waters of Lake Ponchartrain...the smells and light and heat and wonders and frustrations and marvels that are that city....home of my childhood, how I have missed you...and now will I ever get to see you again?

[nwctwx]

The storm is a beast... I've never seen anything like it so close to land. It's annular now as well, so it probably won't go through another ERC before landfall. If you look at IR... you can see it trying to back the trough coming towards it. This is why people sometimes say theses things can create their own weather.

[oceanview]

yes. 892 is the next bogey.

[Ellesu]

TWC says pressure has dropped to 902 mb.

[janetjanet998]

the 184 MPH winds are not surface winds but flight level winds..if anything they may bring the winds down from 175 to 170..based on that..b

[Pyro7480]

That's the wind speed at the level of the hurricane hunters, I believe.

[Revel]

Minimum preasure down to 902mb per wwl tv.