Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part V

NHC - NOAA ^ | 28 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:

http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Sonar5]

May the Lord bless and keep those in danger safe.

May he ease the suffering of those who will die by taking them quickly. In Jesus' name, I pray. Amen.

***

This thing is a monster.

With Pressure at 906mb, currently LOWER pressure than what Camille had in 1969.

Take a Look at what Camille did in August, 1969, and compare the satellite pics with Katrina. It Doesn't take a Rocket Scientist to figure out what this storm will be capable of doing. Take a close look down the page at the Apartment Complex.

Camille Stats, and pics:
http://www.geocities.com/hurricanen...canecamille.htm

I have a really bad feeling I have never felt with a storm before, and it concerns the Superdome. I can't explain it, and I hope it is just nerves after seeing the reports of those going in there.

What also bothers me is that Hospitals and Prisons are NOT being evacuated, and I fear much life will be lost there.

Prayers up folks, they are in need.

Joe

[Admin Moderator]

Hint:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1472323/posts?page=852#852

[janetjanet998]

confrimed 902MB

[jeffers]

We had M-60's (Sheridan tanks) trying to clear I-65.

[Dog]

Please no Christy Lane...please no.

[abb]

Per WC, 902 MB

[spycatcher]

I believe there are numerous documented cases of dam-building inducing earthquakes via water mass and fault lubrication. Both factors ought to be expected in the aftermath of a hurricane. Not to say that the effect is statistically strong , as in hurricane = earthquake, but certainly physically plausible under the right circumstances.

Thank you. Statistically possible under perfect circumstances was my only other point. That, and just triggering an event earlier then was going to happen anyhow. For instance, let's suppose this hurricane hit San Francisco at full moon and high tide.

[poinq]

There are a few. But at this time on a Sunday the place would normally be mobbed.

[Howlin]

Today after lunch, I felt like the MSM was finally "getting it," but I'm scared it might be too late.

It's like watching a slow-motion accident happening.

[nwctwx]

678
URNT12 KNHC 281825
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 28/1755Z
B. 26 DEG 20 MIN N
88 DEG 39 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2242 M
D. N/A
E. N/A
F. 140 DEG 160 KT
G. 050 DEG 22 NM
H. 902 MB
I. 14 C/ 3050 M
J. 29 C/ 3064 M
K. 6 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C25
N. 1234/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 1812A KATRINA OB 05
MAX FL WIND 160 KTS NE QUAD 1743Z
EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION

[NautiNurse]

902mb confirmed--thanks.

[Founding Father]

New Orleans is exactly at 90.0 longitude?

Yes, that's what is confusing me; everyone is predicting a slight eastward movement as the eye approaches shore, so it would seem the eye would need to hit around 90.5 before drifting back. I think if 90.0 is as far west as it goes, the eye hits east of N.O. The bad news is that the dry air over Texas is being pushed back by Katrina, which means the eye will continue NNW.

[Dog]

That is a good hint.

[Tuxedo]

902 mb equates to what in wind speed? 200+ I would guess.

[filbert]

Just announced on WDSU-TV feed: They're going to close Airline Highway at 5 pm in order to sandbag it.

[tiredoflaundry]

confrimed 902MB

Holy S***!

[topher]

I imagine the SPR may need to be tapped, but there is still a question if the storm damages refining capacity. You still have to refine the oil, and the last number I saw, we are running close to the 100% of capacity.

Minor shutdowns of major refineries have caused gasoline spikes.

Having to rebuild some refineries is a different question... How can we refine the SPR oil if some refineries are knocked out? It is also mostly sour crude (I could be wrong about that). Sour crude is tougher to refine.

[mware]

Any port in a storm my friend.

[Maigrey]

per the Weather channel:

Winds up to 184mph, and pressure at 902mb.

Prayers for the people in harm's way.

[toldyou]

"They are being bussed to Jackson State University. The university is not really in a good part of town, either."

Thanks! I didn't want to give shelterguy the wrong info, but I thought I heard Jackson, so I googled Jackson, found their website and called them. (I couldn't get onto Tulane's website after a few tries.) Since it's Sunday, no one was available in the offices at Jackson State. One of the options was "housing," (1-800-848-6817 option 8) and a student answered. He said the Tulane students were bussed there and are staying in the athletic center, but he didn't think there was a phone there. He also said that students from Tulane were bussed there last year when a hurricane was threatening New Orleans.

Hope this helps you, shelterguy.