Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part V

NHC - NOAA ^ | 28 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:

http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[hole_n_one]

That's the same program I used to get those images.

The effect of a still photo is not as informative as being able to tilt, pan, zoom in and zoom out at will.

A pretty neat little program.........

Google Earth

[Altamira]

Thanks for posting that link. I searched and searched on the National Weather Service sight, and couldn't find it before.

[mhking]

The seawall is 20 feet tall. East of the lake or west of the lake, this will force the water over it.

[mware]

Amen to that my friend. Then if the exact post is not repeated, you have no idea what post they are asking about.

[commish]

Montgomery TV just said that GUlf Water levels are already rising in Mobile Bay and that coastal area of Dauphin Island are ALREADY flooding.

[Vermont Lt]

The problem is the lake is on the east side. The storm is going to hit it head on. The thing that will wreck NO is the water flowing out of the lake and into the city.

And if you have flown into NO, you know its a big, big lake.

On the other hand, if you ever lived through a Blizzard in the northeast (or any place) you will get used to the media hype.

My god, there are people getting nervous here!

[Spiff]

no graphics

Wrong. Graphics under 50K are allowed. That graphic was 40K.

[LA Woman3]

4 PM CONTRAFLOW WILL STOP!

[Tarpon]

All I know is I was there a few years back. The startling thing is you climbed the dikes and the water was right there. You looked back into the city and it was all lower than the water. You just went yikes, what would happen if the levy broke. I suspect there may be high spots, but the whole city has been slowly sinking as the pumping has lowered the water table. There are no hills, just building and man made structures. The graves are above ground.

I used to live outside of NOLA, we had a house in Biloxi when Camille went over it, it survived.

[RDTF]

They are everywhere there, right in the middle of everything, and not even in buildings. Pop up and flying through the air.

[bannie]

I can't get my proverbial brain around this thing. I keep thinking something will happen to change this.

[ex-Texan]

The answer to your question is yes. But they had better leave real soon.

New Orleans Causeway Bridge Cam Shows Cars Leaving

More Live Cams Are on This Site Look on left side column for tropical storm and web cam links.

Live Media Links for Major Television News:

FOX News, CNN, ABC, and the Rest

[HoHoeHeaux]

What is the ETA for landfall now? Isn't it moving faster than predicted?

Awesome but frightening link here from LSU predicting where this will go.

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/content/katrina_projected_flooding082805.pdf

[HoustonCurmudgeon]

Oil platforms in the gulf have not been secured. Oil company officials expect some of them to collapse.

... and just how the hell would Fox News know what they are talking about? Even the news people in Houston have no clue how the industry operates. Platforms and rigs shut in drilling and production on the sea floor. Drilling rigs disconnect from the BOP's and most floaters will head for harbor. Production platforms and jackups take what precautions they can and then remove all personnel. Some will in fact collapse but that does not mean they were not secured as best they could be. You damn sure can't move them.

[spycatcher]

"A catastrophic hurricane represents 10 or 15 atomic bombs in terms of the energy it releases," said Joseph Suhayda, a Louisiana State University engineer who is studying ways to limit hurricane damage in the New Orleans area.

Slightly more energy than a sonic boom, wouldn't you say? It's like you equating 20 foot swells for surfing to 20 ft tsunami waves. There is no comparison when it comes to the sustained energy.

[jeffers]

"We are witnessing history my friends, and it is scary as hell and untterly heartbreaking to comprehend what is going to happen to the Gulf Coast in less then 24 hrs."

Remember Dennis.

Never say die.

[Callahan]

A nice thought. But the DUers are already blaming this hurricane on Bush for "causing global warming" and saying the the war in Iraq will take money from relief efforts. They take anything and twist it to suit their agenda.

[NautiNurse]

4 PM CONTRAFLOW WILL STOP!

Oh Lord--no.

[jpsb]

I have noticed, big bad stroms like this can, sometimes build a rid of hig pressure (out flow) north of them and can resist weak steering currents. katrina might be doing that, which would be very good news for NO and very bad news for those west of NO.

She does appear to be turning, just slower then forcast.