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Locked on 08/28/2005 2:39:50 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason: |
Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Last time I was there, the dome appeared to be built on a 20 foot or so mound. I think they took elevation into account when it was built and purposely built it up. The parking lot is low though.
Don't hold me to it, it was about 6 years ago since I was there.
Dry ice in great big coolers.
The other frightening thing about Camille was what it did up here in Virginia four days after it tore up Mississippi. The remnants of the storm dumped twenty-four inches of rain in one night on the eastern slopes of the Blue Ridge where I grew up, and killed over a hundred people in the resulting flash floods. I was three and don't remember any of it, but it was the worst natural disaster in the history of that part of Virginia and caused massive flooding all the way down the James to Richmond.
We can't always forget about these things once they make landfall.
}:-)4
Dry ice.
a link to that warning on a NOAA site is posted at 442.
This is not something that a poster fabricated.
where are you located?
I acknowledge the info as legit. But the posted failed to provide linkage when asked. We cannot have that here, imo.
As I understand it, New Orleans is south of the lake, so in reality the eye passing to the east may be worse than to the west. Wind from the northeast may force water over the floodwall and into the city.
I don't think this sounds like a vacation spot at all!
And don't forget the ONE thing that came through hurricane Betsy with NO problems:
ROACHES
I know---special needs...means they have special needs that might be aggravated by a lack of electricity, etc...
I know at this point there is no other recourse, I am just, I guess, needlessly pointing out how scary this whole thing is. Sorry...
That's one of things hat has maddened me about watching the news coverage of tis storm: It's always going to be "headed northeast", haha... Funny, it just keeps heading westward every time they say that.
Just D*mn x 10^EXP10
You can't...they'll beak free of their mooring and be all over the GULF on Tuesday..if they don't capsize..
You're in my prayers!
susie
...Potentially catastrophic Hurricane Katrina menacing the northern Gulf Coast...
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the north central Gulf Coast from Morgan City Louisiana eastward to the Alabama/Florida border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect from east of the Alabama/Florida border to Destin Florida...and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect from Destin Florida eastward to Indian Pass Florida...and from Intracoastal City Louisiana westward to Cameron Louisiana.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 1 PM CDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located near latitude 26.5 north... longitude 88.6 west or about 180 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.
Katrina is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph...and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 175 mph...with higher gusts. Katrina is a potentially catastrophic category five hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are likely during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 906 mb...26.75 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 18 to 22 feet above normal tide levels...locally as high as 28 feet along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Significant storm surge flooding will occur elsewhere along the central and northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf Coast and the Tennessee Valley. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible across the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes region Tuesday and Wednesday.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible beginning this evening over southern portions of Louisiana...Mississippi...and Alabama...and over the Florida Panhandle.
Repeating the 1 PM CDT position...26.5 N... 88.6 W. Movement toward...northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 175 mph. Minimum central pressure... 906 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 4 PM CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
Pictures of Orange Beach in Mobile...guys out surfing and standing by edge of pier getting drenched. Storm surge already raised level of ocean up 5 feet.
What about the people in hospitals and nursing homes? What is being done about them?
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