Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part V

NHC - NOAA ^ | 28 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:

http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[jslade]

The way those walls curve, I could see them catching the wind and just lifting the roof off.

[Maigrey]

It's gonna get hairy really quick down there.

[commish]

JOe is HOPING that is what will happen because he posted a Biloxi Landfall at CAT 5 3 days ago.

Of course I predicted a Biloxi-Mobile landfall 6 hrs ago LOL, so I guess I am with Joe on this one.

Just East of NO would spare them the brunt of the devastating winds, But as the storm approaches the northern edge will push water up the missippi and also into Lake P, and NO will still become a huge Bathtub full of water.

[bannie]

snakes...fire ants...flooding...alligators...

I don't think this sounds like a vacation spot at all!

[mewzilla]

How many will remember toilet paper?

Anyone who's been through it before. You'll never forget it again :)

[agrace]

I can't even imagine what that wind is going to sound like from within the dome during the storm.

[GOP_Proud]

Is the dome on higher ground?

Yes, I know it has levels up high, but I'm asking is it located on higher ground? Realizing, of course, in NO, higher ground is relative.

[bwteim]

From what I posted on IV:

Interesting links related to history of rivers in area and possible impact of flood events:

The Mississippi Levee System and the Old River Control Structure (ORCS)
http://www.tulane.edu/~bfleury/envirobio/enviroweb/FloodControl.htm

Ecology of the Mississippi River Delta Region
Controlling the Mississippi River
http://www.loyno.edu/lucec/mrdcontrol.html

Floods on the Lower Mississippi: An Historical Economic Overview
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/topics/attach/html/ssd98-9.htm

Interesting links related to history of rivers in area and possible impact of flood events:

The Mississippi Levee System and the Old River Control Structure (ORCS)
http://www.tulane.edu/~bfleury/envirobio/enviroweb/FloodControl.htm

Ecology of the Mississippi River Delta Region
Controlling the Mississippi River
http://www.loyno.edu/lucec/mrdcontrol.html

Floods on the Lower Mississippi: An Historical Economic Overview
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/topics/attach/html/ssd98-9.htm

[LadyPilgrim]

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+12+-update+3600

This loop looks that way to me too!
Like it's jig-jogging to the west.

[Mo1]

Oh wow, Babe

Prayers that she stays safe .. this is one scary storm

[SamAdams76]

If I were in NO, I'd have been at least 200 miles north by now, regardless of what Bastardi is saying.

[IndyTiger]

From Fox News...if pumps themselves get submerged underwater and fail...four months just to fix the pumps!

[Conservababe]

Well, I don't know what has happened in Louisiana, but it was much better in the sixties.

My mother was a state public health nurse and therefore responded to civil emergencies. Her job was to command and coordinate an emergency center in Lafayette, usually a school.

How well I remember the huge guard trucks coming to pick us up at home to transport us through the flooded streets. In those days, the folks in the low lying areas, such as around New Orleans, were actually transported north on freight trains to depots where they were picked up by the guard.

The guard also transported in food, water, supplies and medicine to the school. My mother was in charge, but she had guard back-up and a ham radio operator. It was very organized and ran smoothly.

Oh, by the way, the Red Cross always showed up the next day or so for photo ops.

[spunkets]

"Unfortunately, wind loads increase with the cube of the velocity."

V², not V³

[aft_lizard]

detonating a low yield tactical nuk>>

Nope - would not make a dent.>>>

If anything it has the potential of strengthening the hurricane, not weakening it.

[Torie]

Does anybody know what wind speed the dome can withstand? I hope one of those high rises doesn't fall on it.

[TheOtherOne]

This would be a very bad time for a terror strike of any kind. Especially in the fully packed superdome. I wonder how they are screening those trying to enter with suitcases of stuff?

[Fudd Fan]

That's a great idea for everyday. We have 3 vehicles, and Mr.FF is compulsive about keeping the gas tanks as close to full as possible at all times. Especially in winter! When the gauge gets down to 1/2 tank he heads to fill it. If my car gets to 1/4 tank I hear about it!

[tet68]

Unless it turns north, it looks from the radar loop
that it will pass west of NO. just my guess.

[don-o]

Now apologize to everybody you've been snotty to.

I already did, boss. But, really, there will be trolls, and the poster did not respond to a request for linkage.

I'm outta here for the afternoon. Singing some shape note nown Greene County. Prayers will be up.