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Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Maybe 3 to 4, 10 to 15 kiloton devices in strategic points of the storm to try to disperse its cohesion as a storm...sux we can't do anything but watch it hit...seems like such an action was pondered in the fifties.
Yes, this could have a huge impact on our already strained fuel prices. They think supertankers will be unable to dock and reach refineries for weeks, if not months on end. Many oil platforms in the Gulf will be capsized and several lost.
If this was happening during the week, the DOW would be tanking big time. Should the devastation reach the hysterical proportions we hear from the press right now, Monday will be a black day for trading. (Not that it is more important than those that lose their lives or homes.)
They did Mo..
Oil platforms in the gulf have not been secured. Oil company officials expect some of them to collapse.
Point being: We all are going to pay. Look for significant increases in gasoline, heating fuel, natural gas prices.
Its gonna stink real bad in there its going to be the Stinkey domeof doom
That NWS alert does not show up on Google or the NWS website. Can anyone verify it?
The round shape offers good areodynamics in winds may come from any direction. Near Pensacola, a 'dome house' made of reinforced concrete and on the beach survived Ivan head-on last year. All the homes around it were gone! NBC had a camera crew there and they filmed the storm surge coming in.
When the power went out a few months ago in NO after tropical storm Cindy, the city did not have enough generators to pump the water out and some people were compalining about flooding. That was a TS.
Hot, typhus weather, with lots of mosquitos.
"I feel bad for the people who will be caught on the Lake Pontchatrain bridge during the storm. Could you imagine being miles out in a lake stuck in traffic why waves crash over you and you are hit with 175+ mph winds? Horrible."
You got that right, I was on that once in a motor home and there wasn't even a storm, DAMN scarey, got off it real quick. We thought we were going in the drink.
"My interpretation of this NWS warning is...New Orleans is history, as in effectively wiped off the map."
Yes, that's what they are saying that the storm is doing now.
However, we still have a good while to go before landfall and with hurricanes, anything can happen.
I'm not suggesting reducing preparedness activity, or in any way lessening the potential magnitude of this storm, but I am saying that no disaster has happened yet and there is still time for the storm to reduce it's intensity or change it's course.
Plan for the worst, hope for the best, and don't count disaster till it happens. Remember Dennis?
Wind load is one thing. What about waves battering the buildings? I've seen videos of waves demolishing homes and it doesn't take much to make matchsticks of them. While water is easy to swim through it's incompressible.
I feel like I'm living in a dream; we have been discussing these very same "facts" since early Friday.
And just NOW the media is getting on the train?
"""Basically the gist of it was this - as a meteorologist he experienced 3 hurricanes in the NO area - Camille, Betsy and a third whose name escapes me right now. He said he most remembers the dead bodies, not caused by flooding or damage but by snake bites. Those who made it to higher ground often had to share the space with thousands of poisonous snakes, and the snakes won. """
That was Hurricane Audrey. I live about 15 miles north of where Audrey came in.
http://www.booksbynolaross.com/hurricane.htm
OK, so Shep's heading into New Orleans. The most important thing we need to know now is...where is Jim Cantore? Because generally, that's where it's going to hit.
}:-)4
90 degree water to pass over in the next hours.....
He'll just hop on a Fox helicopter whenever he gets tired of it. The media don't live in a world of mundane obstacles like flooded roads.
The employees of the greyhound bus stations left, so no bus service today. Commercial airlines cancelled flights even scheduled for yesterday, stranding passengers. Nobody seemed to care. Just why the military didn't send in C-30 or whatever they are called cargo planes, I don't know. I came up with that idea Friday night.
SHEP TURN AROUND..GO BACK!!
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