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Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
.....I have an awful feeling we are looking at dead people right now on fox......
I saw a program once on the hurricane that destroyed Galveston in 1906. The local US weatherman failed to heed the warnings of his brother, also a weatherman and stayed. He told people to come to his stormproof house. They all died.
This is appearing to be like the storm that destroyed Galveston.
No. I read it on another thread.
Maybe a zero was missing? or a 1?
Still isn't very much space.
Nope, it's not a true weakening: Take a look at this excerpt from the discussion:
HAVING SAID THAT...DATA FROM
THE STEPPED-FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER INSTRUMENT ON BOARD THE
AIRCRAFT SUGGEST THAT THE SURFACE TO 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WIND RATIO
IS NOT QUITE AS LARGE AS WE TYPICALLY USE...AND THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO 145 KT. HURRICANES DO NOT
MAINTAIN SUCH GREAT INTENSITY FOR VERY LONG. HOWEVER THERE ARE NO
OBVIOUS LARGE-SCALE MECHANISMS...SUCH AS INCREASED VERTICAL
SHEAR...TO WEAKEN KATRINA. THE HURRICANE IS LIKELY TO MAKE
LANDFALL WITH CATEGORY 4 OR 5 INTENSITY.
It's an adjustment to the estimated surface winds, and likely does not reflect a true weakening, just that the estimated surface winds earlier may have been too high. Again, it's academic at this point.
Jonathan Serrie - sometimes clueless, most of the time pretty smart; I'm guessing he'll hie it out of there pretty soon.
Agree with you totally! The news media have plans for all their reporters to get out to where it is safe, what are this idiots plans?
No, I was saying I'd like to buy the guy a drink! Wish I could have told Shep to f--- off!
Those people in the bar are like those who mocked Moses for building an ark.
God promised he would never flood the Earth again, but it's starting to look like he is going to flood New Orleans one way or another.
chicks?
Maybe, maybe not.
If Katrina is 150 miles from NO and moving at 13mph, that puts it ashore in 10 hours (3am EDT); NO at 5am EDT. Could continue to speed up.
Exactly. With the pressure as low as it is, I'd expect the wind speed to go back up rather than heading down further.
Well let's hope that the playing field is above the possible flood level.
Or that the doors seal tight enough to keep the water out.
But the people in the stands should be OK.
And there should be plenty of room behind the stands where all the concession areas are. People will have to step over each other to get around. They may be packed in like sardines, but at least they'll be safe.
it reminds me a lot of 9/11 too - the unimaginable happening before our very eyes, an unfathomable human toll, just awful.
The crowd is not going to tolerate standing in line for much longer.
You know, watching the different cable channels, and listening to the reports, my take is much of this area, and these people are not really prepared, or waited until the last minute to leave. Just my take.
Quite the contrary--this is akin to a 200 mile wide tornado that pounds 165 mph sustained winds for 2-3 hours, rather than plowing through a narrow area in seconds.
um....?
165 MPH
Has it decreased?
I am betting this is a typo...
"Shep needs to get out of there now. Just let these people take their chance with mother nature."
We don't need Shep down there to show us these pathetic people who would rather stay in denial and get drunk; we know they're fools. It's not worth Shep's life.
"I bet many of those people are poor and homeless.
I find it sad that so many no doubt can't escape."
Yep. And the mayor and governor did squat until it was too late. Sorry, my mistake, they did do something. They consulted with lawyers about whether it was legal or not to save peoples' lives.
When they say it is coming on shore about 7:00 am, do they mean the eye on shore, or the highest winds coming on shore?
I guess I am asking what time any bad damage might happen....Shep just said it started raining really hard on Bourbon street
They are telling people to be on the third floor or higher. They seem to have a lot of faith in the foundations of those buildings with the forecast storm surge.
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