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Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part V
NHC - NOAA ^ | 28 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:


http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: RightWhale

Actually at the eyewall right now the hurricane is the equivalent of an F3 tornado.


1,881 posted on 08/28/2005 1:42:22 PM PDT by filbert (More filbert at http://www.medary.com)
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To: Howlin

Yes, also see #1844.


1,882 posted on 08/28/2005 1:42:22 PM PDT by maggief (No 'luffs)
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To: hole_n_one

They think their vehicles will survive the winds? Great pic.


1,883 posted on 08/28/2005 1:42:22 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: shield

still along the forecast track...it is beginning a more northerly course set to hit just east of NO


1,884 posted on 08/28/2005 1:42:31 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
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To: Dog

It ain't gonna hold all the people.


1,885 posted on 08/28/2005 1:42:57 PM PDT by mware (Trollhunter of Note)
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To: spectre; All
I thought I would never see the day.

Say a prayer for the people on the Gulf Coast...this is the big one.

1,886 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:04 PM PDT by Dog ( "Go tell the Spartans, stranger passing by, that here, obedient to their laws, we lie.")
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To: rwfromkansas
I assure you, if that's the right choice of words, that it does not matter if the eye hits New Orleans. Slightly east is even worse, but even that does not matter.

The city is doomed right now and that's that. I wish I could put a better spin on things but what's the use of kidding ourselves?

I don't know how many times I've read that any slow-moving Category 3 hurricane, or any Category 4 or 4 that strikes the city turns it into a lake.

A lake filled with toxins, sewage, dead zoo animals, you name it.

1,887 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:07 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: ElisabethInCincy
Ive read so much is it the worst case scenario for New orleans to be on the left of the eye wall ?

With a Cat 5, it doesn't really matter.

1,888 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:10 PM PDT by steveegg (Real torture is taking a ride with Sen Ted "Swimmer" Kennedy in a 1968 Oldsmobile off a short bridge)
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To: hole_n_one

those folks better watch their backs in there, no telling who your neighbor is.


1,889 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:12 PM PDT by RDTF
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To: andyandval
Well check this out from another thread...

The Port of Southern Louisiana is the fifth-largest port in the world in terms of tonnage, and the largest port in the United States. The only global ports larger are Singapore, Rotterdam, Shanghai and Hong Kong. It is bigger than Houston, Chiba and Nagoya, Antwerp and New York/New Jersey. It is a key link in U.S. imports and exports and critical to the global economy.

The Port of Southern Louisiana stretches up and down the Mississippi River for about 50 miles, running north and south of New Orleans from St. James to St. Charles Parish. It is the key port for the export of grains to the rest of the world -- corn, soybeans, wheat and animal feed. Midwestern farmers and global consumers depend on those exports. The United States imports crude oil, petrochemicals, steel, fertilizers and ores through the port. Fifteen percent of all U.S. exports by value go through the port. Nearly half of the exports go to Europe.

The Port of Southern Louisiana is a river port. It depends on the navigability of the Mississippi River. The Mississippi is notorious for changing its course, and in southern Louisiana -- indeed along much of its length -- levees both protect the land from its water and maintain its course and navigability. Dredging and other maintenance are constant and necessary to maintain its navigability. It is fragile.

If New Orleans is hit, the Port of Southern Louisiana, by definition, also will be hit. No one can predict the precise course of the storm or its consequences. However, if we speculate on worse-case scenarios the following consequences jump out:

* The port might become in whole or part unusable if levees burst. If the damage to the river and port facilities could not be repaired within 30 days when the U.S. harvests are at their peak, the effect on global agricultural prices could be substantial.
* There is a large refinery at Belle Chasse. It is the only refinery that is seriously threatened by the storm, but if it were to be inundated, 250,000 barrels per day would go off line. Moreover, the threat of environmental danger would be substantial.
* About 2 percent of world crude production and roughly 25 percent of U.S.-produced crude comes from the Gulf of Mexico and already is affected by Katrina. Platforms in the path of Katrina have been evacuated but others continue pumping. If this follows normal patterns, most production will be back on line within hours or days. However, if a Category 5 hurricane (of which there have only been three others in history) has a different effect, the damage could be longer lasting. Depending on the effect on the Port of Southern Louisiana, the ability to ship could be affected.
* A narrow, two-lane highway that handles approximately 10,000 vehicles a day, is used for transport of cargo and petroleum products and provides port access for thousands of employees is threatened with closure. A closure of as long as two weeks could rapidly push gasoline prices higher.

At a time when oil prices are in the mid-60-dollar range and starting to hurt, the hurricane has an obvious effect. However, it must be borne in mind that the Mississippi remains a key American shipping route, particularly for the export and import of a variety of primary commodities from grain to oil, as well as steel and rubber. Andrew Jackson fought hard to keep the British from taking New Orleans because he knew it was the main artery for U.S. trade with the world. He was right and its role has not changed since then.

This is not a prediction. We do not know the path of the storm and we cannot predict its effects. It is a warning that if a Category 5 hurricane hits the Port of Southern Louisiana and causes the damage that is merely at the outer reach of the probable, the effect on the global system will be substantial.


1,890 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:15 PM PDT by AFreeBird (your mileage may vary)
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.


1,891 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:20 PM PDT by firewalk
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To: StayAt HomeMother
As this monster approaches, may I suggest y'all put your current locations in your taglines?

What a fantastic idea.

1,892 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:22 PM PDT by Peach (South Carolina. Prayers for our Gulf coast citizens.)
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To: nevergore

They just announced the latest hurricane hunter data and the eye is 32 miles wide according to that report.


1,893 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:22 PM PDT by tutstar (OurFlorida.true.ws)
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To: Black Tooth
"They are talking about setting up refugee camps for up to a million people north of NO."

Tempting target for AQ?
1,894 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:36 PM PDT by CaptSkip
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To: hole_n_one

Too many eggs in the stadium basket. I don't trust it, I wouldn't go there.


1,895 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:56 PM PDT by Tarpon
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To: mabelkitty

< The Dome only holds 20,000 to 30,000 people. >

umm...are you sure about that?


1,896 posted on 08/28/2005 1:43:57 PM PDT by GOP_Proud (Those who preach tolerance most, have the least for my views.)
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To: Dog Gone

This is like watching an accident unfolding in slow motion..


1,897 posted on 08/28/2005 1:44:12 PM PDT by Dog ( "Go tell the Spartans, stranger passing by, that here, obedient to their laws, we lie.")
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To: mercy

No way. Get near the concrete substructure, it's as good as a bomb shleter.


1,898 posted on 08/28/2005 1:44:18 PM PDT by RightWhale (Partly cloudy, 56 degrees, wind <5 knots in Fairbanks)
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To: rwfromkansas
If foreign countries are viewing FNC and the people taking refuge at the super dome they would think this was a country habitated by afro-americans.
1,899 posted on 08/28/2005 1:44:23 PM PDT by eastforker (Under Cover FReeper going dark(too much 24))
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To: RightWhale
There will be some damage, but this is not a tornado.

Actually, the current sustained wind speeds are exaxtly the same as the wind speeds in an F3 tornado.

1,900 posted on 08/28/2005 1:44:38 PM PDT by maquiladora
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