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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
I feel sorry for all the innocent animals too.
The Houston area is very flat. There are lots of deep drainage ditches to help prevent flooding.
It's a natural tendency I suppose, but in this situation it will be deadly - to procrastinate making the decision to evacuate, or to be cavalier about not leaving - and then, when it gets really bad, change your mind and jump in the car and try to flee.
Me too, me too. :(
So true. I do hope folks use some common sense and get out safely while they can.
Seems we do like to hang onto the last minute and it's not wise.
Hurricane Andrew of 1992 made landfall over southern Miami-Dade County, Florida causing 26.5 billion dollars in losses--the costliest hurricane on record.
Records are made to be broken. Compared to Katrina, Andrew will seem like just another tropical storm.
I thought that's what I remembered about the ditches. I've tried to google about Houston being either above or below sea level by a few feet but am having no luck yet in finding any info. I know when I was growing up we were taught Houston was a little below sea level. Of course, with new and improved ways of measuring, the maps may have changed.
The Tree and the Reed
“WELL, little one,” said a Tree to a Reed that was growing at its foot, “why do you not plant your feet deeply in the ground, and raise your head boldly in the air as I do?”
“I am contented with my lot,” said the Reed. “I may not be so grand, but I think I am safer.”
“Safe!” sneered the Tree. “Who shall pluck me up by the roots or bow my head to the ground?” But it soon had to repent of its boasting, for a hurricane arose which tore it up from its roots, and cast it a useless log on the ground, while the little Reed, bending to the force of the wind, soon stood upright again when the storm had passed over.
Aesops Fables
I think Houston's about fifty feet above sea level.
Morning all...Questionfor the group...I recall last year, on one of the many hurricane threads, somebody posted an article about a plan to build a huge 40' high wall around several square blocks of NO... a last-stand refuge for those trapped by flood waters. Anyone recall this, or have a link?
They live next to the Brazos River south of Houston. It is a little bigger than a ditch..
If this is accurate....
440
URNT12 KNHC 280951
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 28/09:21:10Z
B. 25 deg 32 min N
087 deg 20 min W
C. 700 mb 2381 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg 000 nm
F. 054 deg 144 kt
G. 326 deg 016 nm
H. EXTRAP 915 mb
I. 8 C/ 3052 m
J. 20 C/ 3055 m
K. 13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. E04/30/25
N. 12345/ 7
O. 1 / 1 nm
P. AF302 1712A KATRINA OB 04
MAX FL WIND 144 KT NW QUAD 09:16:00 Z
MAX FL TEMP 21 C, 331 / 11NM
SLP EXTRAPOLATED FROM 700MB.
Holy bleep. Look at that pressure. 915 mb. Yikes.
I knew that! ;^)
I was referencing more about Houston proper than I was outlying areas.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1472213/posts
Open letter to FEMA and Bush..declare a NATIONAL emergency
I don't recall that.
Frightening........ with so much time to travel over water near 90 degrees.
That makes it a Cat 5. At least by that standard.
Although I believe it also needs to have substained winds of 155 as well to be officially a Cat 5. But seems highly likely it will make that at this point.
You're right. I heard a meteorologist say that when they get that big they are their own "weather system," and they make the weather, other systems do not have an effect on them.
Earlier it was reported that the winds are already 145 to 150.
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