| This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
|
Locked on 08/28/2005 9:46:32 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
Locked - New Thread http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1472323/posts |
Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Yes, the NE quadrant is always the worst because that's where the winds are heading the direction of land, pushing a wall of water (surge).
But, the size of this thing in area and strength, I don't think N.O. is very safe either way.
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 28/14:17:00Z B. 25 deg 58 min N 088 deg 03 min W C. 700 mb 2294 m D. NA kt E. deg nm F. 306 deg 140 kt G. 221 deg 014 nm H. 907 mb I. 12 C/ 3059 m J. 26 C/ 3048 m K. 6 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C22 N. 12345/ 7 O. 1 / 1 nm P. AF302 1712A KATRINA OB 21 MAX FL WIND 166 KTS OUTBOUND NE QUAD 1422Z. PERFECT STADIUM EFFECT AND TEXTBOOK RADAR DEPICTION OF EYEWALL.
It's also used in this most current "Vortex" message:
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 28/15:00:20Z B. 26 deg 06 min N 088 deg 06 min W C. 700 mb 2289 m D. NA kt E. deg nm F. 089 deg 154 kt G. 002 deg 018 nm H. 907 mb I. 11 C/ 3044 m J. 27 C/ 3006 m K. 7 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C22 N. 12345/ 7 O. 1 / 1 nm P. AF302 1712A KATRINA OB 26 MAX FL WIND 166 KTS NE QUAD 1422Z. TEXTBOOK RADAR PRESENTATION AND STADIUM EFFECT. SURFACE CENTER VISIBLE AND SLIGHTLY DISPLACED FROM FL CENTER.
You have no idea whether or not that is true. Look, it is now quite evident how serious this situation is, and has been made numerous times on the thread, about every other post. Perhaps it would be wise to calm down just a bit, posting hysterical speculation really is counterproductive now.
Did you see the genius with two cases of beer on Fox News? LOL
I'm following this thing totally afraid to post because I can't think of a single hopeful of positive thing to say. So much of Louisanna, East Texas, etc. is low and already wet, the entire region will be badly hurt.
Dave Tolleris... private energy sector meteorologist. Posts a lot on easternuswx.com
More prayers incoming from Georgia, hoping it turns and misses the city in a bowl.
.... add a zero.
And then there's the 15 inches of rain...
Have had a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach since last night. Worse this morning.
Maybe the whiners "believe" that the--with all of the National Guard soldiers here--the soldiers could stand, shoulder to shoulder, and hold the water back.
< / s >
can he do that? I guess FEMA could pay them, essentially as charter planes, to fly people out. that would be a good idea.
the turn matches with the NHC track, so while it is good in the sense that it means she likely will not go to the west of NO, it will probably still come close enough to the east to give really bad winds anyway and lots of flooding problems, though hopefully not as bad as the doomsday situation since it would be moving northeast.
Down to 907mb? Holy moly.
There was a caller into 870 AM...her brother in law is in a nursing center behind the Jefferson Hospital(ground floor).
Only one nurse was left to take care of all the patients. This caller had 2 family members going over to help feed and care for the patients. Heartbreaking!
sw
Could we get a hurricane link at the top of the main page?
Perfect stadium effect photos:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1472123/posts?page=1559#1559
Now down to 907 millibars.
22 28/1200Z 25.7N/87.7W 160 195 WNW 12 908 Hrricn
23 28/1500Z 26.0N/88.1W 175 200 WNW 12 907 Hrricn
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
