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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
That must be an old picture. Whenever did Jim have that much hair?
Katrina is about 65 miles away at 25N, 86.2W
Yeah, I was just thinking it's a good think Morial's gone.
When I hear of "hurricane parties," I lose a bit of sympathy...then I remember that idiots can't help what they are.
Amen to that, Gabz...
Only if no one else is arrested. I can see it now, Fox will be covering the death of millions and all of a sudden the breaking news swoosh is heard and there is Greta et. al. in breathless wonder saying some Aruban was just arrested, and droning on with Judge Napalitano or another for hour on hour.
bkmark
You are not the only one.
but I don't know much about all of this weather-reading, so hopefully more knowledgeable folks will let us know for sure.
The thing to remember is, the lower the pressure in any given area, the more force is applied by everything surrounding (atmospheric gasses) that are influenced via laws of physics to "get in" to that area. In weather systems, that force is manifested as "wind". Regarding Hurricanes, this wind force is categorized -- hence CAT 3, 4, 5 etc. Ground surface wind also has the undesirable effect of raising ocean and lake sea levels. This is why coastal cities like New Orleans would be in grave danger.
-Dan
You know, this isn't very Christian of me, but my first response to what you two said about the looting of the Superdome, and the crime rate in the Big Easy, was the old phrase "Crime doesn't pay." If you're too self-centered to not think before you get into a drug habit or run yourself into poverty because you wanted to have sex at 15.... tough luck for you.
This is a train wreck.
It is a no win situation. If NO gets nailed, it will be catastrophic. If it lands east or west, it will also be catastrophic, because all the media coverage (and models) are focused on NO.
40 years, 13 days since the last killer hurricane went through NO....
If this is the perfect storm, NO isn't coming back, ever, I suspect, in any way like it was remotely before.
They should get the word out among the criminal element that it's time to head to the underground shelters.
At least Houma isn't below sea level. Still...
Thanks for the ping, Nauti
Other problem is they have to pump water out of the below sea level city. Thus rain alone if sufficiently fast could flood the city, even in the unlikely chance that NO is "missed".
Furthermore the eye is 40 miles across so a 20 mile miss is still a hit.
The worst of the weather is not in the center of the hurricane. If I remember right it's the right side of the storm in relation to the direction of the storm path. In other words, it's the east side of the storm as it's heading north. The problem caused by the eye passing over is that the winds increase gradually as the storm approaches and stop suddenly as the eye passes over. It's when the eye wall hits again that the winds go from zero to 75mph+ in seconds. If the storms sustained winds are 100 and it's forward motion is 7 mph the winds go from 0 to 107 in no time and slam into everything. That's the destructive part. Then there's the tornados... No good part of a hurricane. Missing a direct hit isn't necessarily a good thing.
no good deed would go unpunished
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